[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT34 KNHC 292358
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ISAAC INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  35A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092012
700 PM CDT WED AUG 29 2012

...SLOW-MOVING ISAAC DUMPING HEAVY RAINS AND STILL PRODUCING
A SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE...


SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.1N 91.1W
ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM S OF BATON ROUGE LOUISIANA
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM W OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...90 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...977 MB...28.85 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER
HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAMERON LOUISIANA TO THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS
LOCATED BY NOAA DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 30.1 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 91.1 WEST. ISAAC IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 5
MPH...7 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST BY THURSDAY
NIGHT OR EARLY FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ISAAC
WILL MOVE FARTHER INLAND OVER LOUISIANA TONIGHT AND TOMORROW...AND
MOVE OVER SOUTHERN ARKANSAS BY EARLY FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...90 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE PRIMARILY OCCURRING OVER
WATER OR NEAR THE COAST. STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS ISAAC CONTINUES TO MOVE FARTHER INLAND...AND ISAAC
IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY THURSDAY NIGHT.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER.  SUSTAINED WINDS OF 46 MPH WITH A GUST TO 55 MPH
WAS RECENTLY REPORTED NEAR MANDEVILLE LOUISIANA.  A WIND GUST TO 67
MPH WAS REPORTED AT GULFPORT MISSISSIPPI DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF
HOURS.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON NEARBY SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS IS 977 MB...28.85 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
EVEN THOUGH ISAAC IS NO LONGER A HURRICANE...LIFE-THREATENING
HAZARDS FROM STORM SURGE AND INLAND FLOODING ARE STILL OCCURRING.

STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL
CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING
WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND IF
THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...

* MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...6 TO 12 FT
* SOUTH-CENTRAL LOUISIANA...3 TO 6 FT
* ALABAMA...2 TO 4 FT
* FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND APALACHEE BAY...1 TO 2 FT

THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN AREAS OF
ONSHORE WINDS.  SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE
TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER
SHORT DISTANCES.  FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE
SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.  NEAR THE
COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.

A STORM SURGE OF NEARLY 7 FEET IS STILL OCCURRING AT WAVELAND
MISSISSIPPI.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE WARNING
AREA THROUGH TONIGHT.

RAINFALL...ISAAC IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
7 TO 14 INCHES...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 25
INCHES...OVER MUCH OF LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL
ARKANSAS THROUGH FRIDAY. THESE RAINS COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT
LOWLAND FLOODING.

AN UNOFFICIAL RAINFALL TOTAL OF 18.35 INCHES HAS BEEN REPORTED IN
GRETNA LOUISIANA...LOCATED IN METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS.

TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE CENTRAL GULF
COAST REGION AND PARTS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY
THROUGH THURSDAY.

SURF...DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO
AFFECT THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA AND THE NORTHERN GULF COAST FOR THE
NEXT DAY OR SO.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/KIMBERLAIN



This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net