[Tropical] Tropical Cyclone Discussion

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT45 KNHC 101435
TCDAT5

REMNANTS OF ERNESTO DISCUSSION NUMBER  37
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
1000 AM CDT FRI AUG 10 2012

SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM MEXICO INDICATE THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER
OF CIRCULATION HAS BECOME DISRUPTED BY THE HIGH TERRAIN AND IS NO
LONGER TRACKABLE. ERNESTO NOW CONSISTS OF A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO. HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH THE
REMNANTS OF ERNESTO WILL CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING OVER MUCH OF
SOUTHERN MEXICO.

THE REMNANTS OF ERNESTO ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE OFF MEXICO INTO THE
EASTERN PACIFIC WITH THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE. IF
THIS IS THE CASE...IT WILL ACQUIRE A NEW DEPRESSION NUMBER...OR A
NEW NAME IF IT BECOMES A TROPICAL STORM.

THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON
ERNESTO.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  10/1500Z 18.0N  99.2W   20 KT  25 MPH
 12H  11/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER AVILA


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