[Tropical] Tropical Cyclone Discussion

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT43 KNHC 241821
TCDAT3

HURRICANE RINA SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182011
200 PM EDT MON OCT 24 2011

SATELLITE IMAGES AND REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE
HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT RINA HAS RAPIDLY STRENGTHENED.  THE
AIRCRAFT REPORTED PEAK 850 MB FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS OF 68 KT AND
BELIEVABLE SFMR WINDS AROUND 65 KT.  BASED ON THESE DATA THE
INITIAL INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 65 KT...MAKING RINA THE 6TH
HURRICANE OF SEASON IN THE ATLANTIC BASIN.  THIS SPECIAL ADVISORY
HAS BEEN ISSUED TO INCREASE THE INITIAL AND FORECAST INTENSITIES
FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST...BUT NO CHANGE TO THE TRACK WAS
REQUIRED.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  24/1800Z 17.1N  83.0W   65 KT  75 MPH
 12H  25/0000Z 17.4N  83.4W   75 KT  85 MPH
 24H  25/1200Z 17.6N  84.0W   90 KT 105 MPH
 36H  26/0000Z 17.8N  84.8W  100 KT 115 MPH
 48H  26/1200Z 18.1N  85.7W  105 KT 120 MPH
 72H  27/1200Z 19.2N  87.0W  100 KT 115 MPH
 96H  28/1200Z 20.5N  87.0W   90 KT 105 MPH
120H  29/1200Z 21.0N  86.0W   80 KT  90 MPH

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/ROBERTS



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