[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Aug 24 23:23:04 CDT 2011


WTUS82 KMLB 250423
HLSMLB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IRENE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1223 AM EDT THU AUG 25 2011

...HURRICANE IRENE TO MOVE THROUGH THE BAHAMAS OVERNIGHT...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED
ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA AND THE ADJACENT ATLANTIC WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE
ATLANTIC WATERS FROM 20 TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE FLAGLER BEACH
TO JUPITER INLET.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE ATLANTIC WATERS OUT TO
20 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE FLAGLER BEACH TO JUPITER INLET.

ALTHOUGH NO TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT OR
ARE EXPECTED TO BE ISSUED FOR BREVARD...INDIAN RIVER...SAINT
LUCIE...MARTIN...OR COASTAL VOLUSIA...IMPACTS FROM RELATED HAZARDS
ARE STILL A SIGNIFICANT CONCERN.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.8 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 75.4 WEST...ABOUT 450 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF CAPE CANAVERAL FL...OR ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
FORT PIERCE FL. STORM MOTION WAS NORTHWEST AT 12 MPH. IRENE
REMAINS A DANGEROUS CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR SIMPSON
SCALE WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS AROUND 120 MPH. THE MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 952 MB OR 28.11 INCHES.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
HURRICANE IRENE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH THE BAHAMAS
OVERNIGHT AND IS FORECAST TO EMERGE INTO THE ATLANTIC WATERS BY
LATE AFTERNOON. IRENE WILL PASS EAST OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA ON
FRIDAY AS A DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE.

THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK KEEPS THE CENTER OF IRENE 200 TO 250
MILES OFFSHORE. TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ARE NOT ANTICIPATED FOR
LAND AREAS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE OVER THE EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA ATLANTIC
WATERS OVERNIGHT WITH SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
DEVELOPING BEYOND 20 NAUTICAL MILES AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE
GUSTS WITHIN 20 NAUTICAL MILES BY LATE MORNING. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE WATERS THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

SEAS OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD TO 20 TO
25 FEET...LEADING TO DANGEROUS POUNDING SURF WITH BREAKING WAVES
OF 8 TO 12 FEET OR POSSIBLY HIGHER AT AREA BEACHES.

THE COMBINATION OF LARGE LONG PERIOD SWELLS AND STRONG ONSHORE
FLOW WILL PRODUCE MODERATE TO SEVERE BEACH EROSION ALONG AREA
BEACHES. THE THREAT FOR RIP CURRENTS WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY DURING
THE DAY.

THOUGH WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINS ARE NOT EXPECTED...THERE WILL BE A LOW
THREAT FOR LOCALIZED FLOODING RAIN ALONG THE COAST THIS EVENING
INTO FRIDAY MORNING IF SEVERAL OUTER RAIN BANDS OF IRENE PASS OVER
A SINGLE LOCATION. ISOLATED TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS ALSO WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THESE SAME RAIN BANDS ALONG THE COAST.


.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT
THROUGH FRIDAY AND RUSH PREPARATIONS TO COMPLETION FOR SECURING
YOUR CRAFT.

AT THE BEACHES...IT IS RECOMMENDED TO NOT ENTER THE HIGH SURF.
LARGE BREAKERS COULD KNOCK YOU DOWN AND MAKE YOU SUSCEPTIBLE TO
DROWNING. THE LARGE BATTERING WAVES WILL ALSO POSE A HAZARD TO
VULNERABLE PIERS WHICH MAY BE DAMAGED FROM LARGE BREAKING WAVES.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...SEE THE
MELBOURNE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV AND THEN
CLICK ON EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND 6 AM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

AMZ570-572-575-260430-
/O.CON.KMLB.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
1223 AM EDT THU AUG 25 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE IRENE MOVES CLOSER...SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 25
KNOTS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE OFFSHORE ATLANTIC SOUTH OF SEBASTIAN
INLET OVERNIGHT. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED
SOUTH OF SEBASTIAN INLET BEGINNING LATE THURSDAY MORNING AND OVER
THE REMAINDER OF THE OFFSHORE WATERS BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT OVER
ALL OF THE WATERS IN ANY FAST MOVING RAIN SQUALLS. MAXIMUM WINDS
BETWEEN 30 AND 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS ARE FORECAST INTO
EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. SEAS WILL BUILD TO 20 TO 25 FEET OFFSHORE.

$$

AMZ550-552-555-260430-
/O.CON.KMLB.TR.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
1223 AM EDT THU AUG 25 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS AROUND
40 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE IRENE MOVES CLOSER...SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15 TO 20
KNOTS OVER THE NEARSHORE ATLANTIC WILL INCREASE INCREASE TO 20 TO
25 KNOTS ACROSS THE NEAR SHORE ATLANTIC WATERS BY MORNING. WINDS
WILL STRENGTHEN TO 25 TO 30 KNOTS LATER THIS EVENING. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT OVER ALL OF THE
WATERS IN ANY FAST MOVING RAIN SQUALLS. SEAS WILL BUILD TO 12 TO
16 FEET ACROSS THE NEAR SHORE ATLANTIC WATERS. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING WHILE WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE
AS HURRICANE IRENE MOVES OUT OF THE AREA.

$$

FLZ047-054-059-064-141-147-260430-
/O.CON.KMLB.HU.S.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SOUTHERN BREVARD-INDIAN RIVER-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
NORTHERN BREVARD-
1223 AM EDT THU AUG 25 2011

...RAIN SQUALLS WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE GUSTS POSSIBLE BY
DAYBREAK THURSDAY...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

COASTAL RESIDENTS SHOULD TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THIS OPPORTUNITY TO
REVIEW THEIR HURRICANE DISASTER PLAN. IF YOU DO NOT HAVE A PLAN...
MAKE ONE. FOR COMPLETE INSTRUCTIONS ON HOW TO BEST PREPARE FOR AN
APPROACHING STORM...PLEASE VISIT THE EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WEBSITE
AT: WWW.READY.GOV.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE ONSET OF SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS IS NOT EXPECTED.

...WINDS...
FAST MOVING RAIN SQUALLS HAVE DEVELOPED OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS
AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF IRENE. THESE SHOWERS WILL INCREASE IN
COVERAGE OVERNIGHT. THESE SQUALLS WILL GENERATE GUSTS BETWEEN 30
AND 40 MPH THROUGH DAYBREAK.

SUSTAINED WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH ALONG COASTAL AREAS BY
LATE MORNING AS HURRICANE IRENE APPROACHES. WIND GUSTS IN SQUALLS
ALONG THE COAST MAY REACH 40 TO 45 MPH THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON AS
IRENE MAKES ITS CLOSEST APPROACH.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO BE MINIMAL WITH THE CENTER OF HURRICANE
IRENE REMAINING WELL OFFSHORE. HOWEVER...HIGH SURF AND LARGE
SWELLS WILL IMPACT THE BEACHES WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
EROSION AND LOCALIZED COASTAL FLOODING IN VULNERABLE AREAS. THE
THREAT FOR BEACH EROSION WILL LAST THROUGH THE HIGH TIDE CYCLES
FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. HIGH TIDES INTO
SATURDAY WILL GENERALLY BE AROUND 6 AM AND 6 PM. A HIGH SURF
ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BEACHES THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.

AGAIN...IT IS STRONGLY RECOMMENDED THAT BEACH GOERS NOT ENTER THE
HIGH SURF THROUGH FRIDAY.

$$

MOSES




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