[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT34 KNHC 072031
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM COLIN ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL     AL042010
500 PM AST SAT AUG 07 2010


...COLIN EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR BERMUDA ON SUNDAY...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.4N 65.7W
ABOUT 205 MI...335 KM SSW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB...29.88 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE UNITED
STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM COLIN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.7 WEST. COLIN HAS
BEEN MEANDERING FOR THE PAST FEW HOURS BUT IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO
MOVE TOWARD THE NORTH AND NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR
LATER TODAY. BECAUSE COLIN HAS BEEN MEANDERING ITS ANTICIPATED
EFFECTS IN BERMUDA HAVE BEEN DELAYED UNTIL SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TODAY BUT
THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR SLIGHT STRENGTHENING TOMORROW.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB...29.88 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD OVER
BERMUDA ON SUNDAY.

STORM SURGE...COLIN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE COASTAL FLOODING AND
LARGE AND BATTERING WAVES IN BERMUDA...PARTICULARLY ALONG
SOUTH-FACING BEACHES.

RAINFALL...COLIN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 1 TO 3 INCHES IN BERMUDA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA


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