[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 040609
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT WED AUG 4 2010

CORRECTED TO ADD MOTION FOR REMNANT OF COLIN

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE...THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL STORM COLIN...IS
LOCATED ABOUT 250 MILES EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND IS MOVING
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 25 MPH.  ALTHOUGH THE ASSOCIATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INCREASED...UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR REDEVELOPMENT FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINS AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE
LEEWARD AND VIRGIN ISLANDS ISLANDS TODAY AND TONIGHT.

DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS...AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE.  SOME
SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS AS IT MOVES GENERALLY WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH.  THERE IS A
LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

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