[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT31 KNHC 051749
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM IDA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   5A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL112009
100 PM EST THU NOV 05 2009

...IDA WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM...HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUES
OVER MUCH OF NORTHERN AND EASTERN NICARAGUA...

AT 100 PM EST...1800 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF NICARAGUA HAS REPLACED
THE HURRICANE WARNING WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.  A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM BLUEFIELDS NORTHWARD TO THE
HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER.

AT 100 PM EST...1800 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF NICARAGUA HAS
DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WATCH.

INTERESTS IN HONDURAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IDA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

AT 100 PM EST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF IDA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.7 WEST OR ABOUT 75 MILES...
125 KM...NORTH OF BLUEFIELDS NICARAGUA AND ABOUT 65 MILES...105 KM
...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA.

IDA HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS.  A MOTION
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATER TODAY.  A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS FORECAST LATE FRIDAY OR FRIDAY NIGHT. ON
THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IDA WILL MOVE ACROSS EASTERN
NICARAGUA AND EASTERN HONDURAS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS
IDA MOVES INLAND OVER EASTERN NICARAGUA TODAY AND TONIGHT.  IDA
IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON FRIDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES.

IDA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 7
INCHES OVER THE ISLANDS OFF THE COAST OF NICARAGUA WITH MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE.  RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 15 TO 20
INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER EASTERN NICARAGUA AND EASTERN HONDURAS
WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 25 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD
PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOOD AND MUD SLIDES.

HIGHER-THAN-NORMAL WATER LEVELS ALONG PORTIONS OF THE EAST COAST OF
NICARAGUA SHOULD BEGIN TO DECREASE LATER TODAY.

...SUMMARY OF 100 PM EST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...13.1N 83.7W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
400 PM EST.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/BLAKE

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