[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sun Aug 31 16:47:32 CDT 2008


WTUS84 KLIX 312147
HLSLIX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE GUSTAV LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
447 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008

...GUSTAV MOVING QUICKLY NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF
MEXICO...

.AT 400 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.3 WEST OR ABOUT 215 MILES...
SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK... GUSTAV
SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV
IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR- SIMPSON SCALE. SOME
RE-INTENSIFICATION IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT. FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH
ARE LIKELY THEREAFTER...BUT GUSTAV IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A MAJOR
HURRICANE UNTIL LANDFALL.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 65 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 220
MILES. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SHOULD BEGIN TO SPREAD ONTO THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST TONIGHT...WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS STARTING
TO SPREAD ONSHORE EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 957 MB...28.26 INCHES.

LAZ039-MSZ068>071-077-010300-
/O.CAN.KLIX.HI.W.0001.080901T0900Z-080902T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KLIX.TI.W.0001.080901T0900Z-080902T1200Z/
WASHINGTON-WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE-WALTHALL-PEARL RIVER-
447 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM MONDAY TO 7 AM CDT
TUESDAY...
...HURRICANE WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

...NEW INFORMATION...

A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM MONDAY TO
7 AM CDT TUESDAY FOR WILKINSON...AMITE...PIKE...WALTHALL AND PEARL
RIVER COUNTIES IN SOUTH MISSISSIPPI AND WASHINGTON PARISH IN
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE NOW EXPECTED
TO IMPACT THESE LOCATIONS MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
WILKINSON...AMITE...PIKE...WALTHALL AND PEARL RIVER COUNTIES IN
SOUTH MISSISSIPPI AND WASHINGTON PARISH IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI STARTING AT 7 AM MONDAY.

...STORM INFORMATION...

AT 400 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.3 WEST OR ABOUT 215 MILES...
SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK... GUSTAV
SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV
IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR- SIMPSON SCALE. SOME
RE-INTENSIFICATION IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT. FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH
ARE LIKELY THEREAFTER...BUT GUSTAV IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A MAJOR
HURRICANE UNTIL LANDFALL.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 957 MB...28.26 INCHES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED. MOST MOBILE HOMES WILL EXPERIENCE
MODERATE TO SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE. HOUSES OF POOR TO AVERAGE
CONSTRUCTION WILL HAVE DAMAGE TO SHINGLES...SIDING...AND GUTTERS.
SOME WINDOWS MAY BE BLOWN OUT. UNFASTENED HOME ITEMS OF LIGHT TO
MODERATE WEIGHT WILL BECOME AIRBORNE...CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE
AND POSSIBLE INJURY. DOZENS OF WIRES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN. LOCAL
POWER OUTAGES WILL AFFECT ENTIRE NEIGHBORHOODS. MANY LARGE
BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED...AND WEAKENED SMALL TO
MEDIUM SIZED TREES WILL BE UPROOTED OR SNAPPED.

...WINDS...

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 50 TO 60 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 70 MPH
WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM MONDAY MORNING INTO MONDAY NIGHT.

...INLAND FLOODING...

GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6
TO 12 INCHES OVER SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...
WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20 INCHES POSSIBLE...OVER
THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS MAY LEAD TO MODERATE TO MAJOR FLOODING ON
SOME RIVERS.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI MONDAY INTO TUESDAY.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 730 PM CDT.

$$

LAZ038-040-049-050-056>070-MSZ080>082-010300-
/O.CON.KLIX.HU.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
TANGIPAHOA-ST. TAMMANY-ASCENSION-LIVINGSTON-ASSUMPTION-ST. JAMES-
ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST-UPPER LAFOURCHE-ST. CHARLES-UPPER JEFFERSON-
ORLEANS-UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST. BERNARD-UPPER TERREBONNE-
LOWER TERREBONNE-LOWER LAFOURCHE-LOWER JEFFERSON-
LOWER PLAQUEMINES-LOWER ST. BERNARD-HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON-
447 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI STARTING AT 7 AM MONDAY.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ALL PERSONS IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY
ACTIONS TO SECURE AND PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FOR THE LANDFALL
OF GUSTAV AS A MAJOR CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE ALONG THE SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA OR MISSISSIPPI COAST.

MANY PARISHES IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND COUNTIES IN SOUTH
MISSISSIPPI HAVE EVACUATION ORDERS IN EFFECT. PLEASE FOLLOW THE
ADVICE OF LOCAL GOVERNMENT AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS.

IN THE AREA NEAR LANDFALL OF THE EYE...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS WINDS
WILL CAUSE EXTENSIVE DAMAGE...AND ALL MOBILE HOMES WILL BE
DESTROYED. HOUSES OF POOR TO AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION MAY BE SEVERELY
DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. MODERATE TO MAJOR DAMAGE COULD OCCUR TO
WELL CONSTRUCTED HOMES. MANY GABLED ROOFS MAY FAIL ALONG WITH SOME
EXTERIOR WALLS. ALUMINUM AND LIGHT STEEL ROOFS WILL BE TORN OFF
BUILDINGS AT INDUSTRIAL PARKS. PARTIAL ROOF AND EXTERIOR WALL
FAILURES ARE LIKELY AT LOW RISE APARTMENT BUILDINGS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OF POOR TO AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION. SOME WINDOWS IN HIGH RISE
OFFICE BUILDINGS WILL BE BLOWN OUT. AIRBORNE DEBRIS HAS THE
POTENTIAL TO CAUSE ADDITIONAL MAJOR DAMAGE...AS WELL AS INJURIES
AND A FEW FATALITIES. NEAR TOTAL POWER LOSS IS EXPECTED WITH
NUMEROUS LINES AND POWER POLES KNOCKED DOWN. THE AVAILABILITY OF
POTABLE WATER WILL BE DIMINISHED AS FILTRATION SYSTEMS BEGIN TO
FAIL. NUMEROUS TREES...ESPECIALLY SMALL TO MEDIUM TREES...WILL BE
DOWNED...SNAPPED OR UPROOTED.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

A POTENTIAL STORM SURGE OF 10 TO 14 FEET WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR
AND TO THE RIGHT OF LOCATION OF LANDFALL. LIFE THREATENING
FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. SECTIONS OF WEST JEFFERSON...AND LOWER
LAFOURCHE HURRICANE PROTECTION LEVEES COULD BE OVER TOPPED. AREAS
OUTSIDE OF HURRICANE PROTECTION LEVEES...WILL BE SEVERELY
INUNDATED.

MANY RESIDENCES OF AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION IMPACTED BY THE STORM
SURGE MAY BE HEAVILY DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. NUMEROUS ROADS WILL BE
SWAMPED. ENTIRE FLOOD PRONE COASTAL COMMUNITIES WILL BE CUTOFF BY
STORM SURGE FLOODING. SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE FLOODING WILL MOVE
WELL INLAND ESPECIALLY ALONG BAYS AND BAYOUS. A STORM SURGE OF
THIS MAGNITUDE COULD RESULT IN EXTENSIVE FLOODING AND POSE A
THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

...WINDS...

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPACT COASTAL AREAS
OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA DURING THE PRE DAWN HOURS MONDAY MORNING
AND SPREAD INLAND ACROSS SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND ACROSS COASTAL
MISSISSIPPI MONDAY MORNING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED
ALONG PORTIONS OF THE COAST BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND WILL
SPREAD INLAND TO MANY AREAS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND MONDAY NIGHT.

...INLAND FLOODING...

GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6
TO 12 INCHES OVER SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...
WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20 INCHES POSSIBLE...OVER
THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS MAY LEAD TO MODERATE TO MAJOR FLOODING ON
SOME RIVERS.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA
AND MISSISSIPPI COASTS LATE TONIGHT AND ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF
THE AREA MONDAY INTO TUESDAY.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 730 PM CDT.

$$

GMZ530-550-555-570-575-010300-
/O.CON.KLIX.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
447 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTH MISSISSIPPI.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

NO ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MARINERS SHOULD PREPARE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS THIS
EVENING AND HURRICANE CONDITIONS FROM AROUND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
INTO MONDAY NIGHT.

...WINDS...

THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED BY THIS EVENING
WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXPECTED FROM AROUND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT OVER THE GULF COASTAL WATERS. TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS WILL SPREAD ACROSS LAKES PONTCHARTRAIN AND MAUREPAS
LATER TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT WITH
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE AT TIMES.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 730 PM CDT.

$$

LAZ034>037-046>048-010300-
/O.CON.KLIX.HI.W.0001.080901T0900Z-080902T1200Z/
POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA-EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA-IBERVILLE-
WEST BATON ROUGE-EAST BATON ROUGE-
447 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008

...HURRICANE WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM MONDAY TO 7 AM
CDT TUESDAY...

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI STARTING AT 7 AM MONDAY.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ALL PERSONS IN THE HURRICANE WIND WARNING AREA SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY
ACTIONS TO SECURE AND PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY AS MAJOR CATEGORY 3
HURRICANE GUSTAV MAKES LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST
MONDAY MORNING. OVER INLAND PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...INCLUDING
THE CITY OF BATON ROUGE...WIND SPEEDS OF UP TO CATEGORY 1...75 MPH...
WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM MONDAY MORNING INTO MONDAY NIGHT.

POORLY CONSTRUCTED OR UNSECURED MOBILE HOMES MAY HAVE SIGNIFICANT
DAMAGED. UNSECURED LIGHT TO MODERATE WEIGHT OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL
BECOME PROJECTILES...CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE AND PERHAPS INJURY.
MANY AREAS WILL HAVE POWER OUTAGES WITH NUMEROUS DOWNED WIRES AND
SOME POWER POLES PULLED DOWN. SOME LARGE TREES WILL BE
UPROOTED...ESPECIALLY THOSE ON SATURATED GROUND. NUMEROUS LARGE
BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL SNAP.

...WINDS...

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPACT INLAND AREAS OF
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA EARLY MONDAY MORNING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
WILL BE POSSIBLE BY LATE MONDAY MORNING AND COULD CONTINUE INTO
MONDAY NIGHT.

...INLAND FLOODING...

GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6
TO 12 INCHES OVER SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20 INCHES POSSIBLE...OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS
MAY LEAD TO MODERATE TO MAJOR FLOODING ON SOME RIVERS.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA
COAST LATE TONIGHT AND ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA MONDAY
INTO TUESDAY.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 730 PM CDT.

$$




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