[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Aug 27 21:57:07 CDT 2008


WTNT31 KWNH 280256
TCPAT1

PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 50 FOR REMNANTS OF FAY
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL062008
1100 PM EDT WED AUG 27 2008

...REMNANTS OF FAY MOVING INTO THE MID ATLANTIC STATES...

FLASH FLOOD WATCHES REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND
WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA.  FLOOD WARNINGS
REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF GEORGIA...FLORIDA...AND ALABAMA.

AT 1100 PM EDT...03Z...THE WEAK SURFACE LOW ASSOCIATED WITH FAY
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.2 WEST...OR
ABOUT 40 MILES SOUTH OF JACKSON KENTUCKY.

THE SURFACE LOW IS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. THE
REMNANTS OF FAY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD AND WEAKEN
TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 10 MPH.  THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE
IS 1010 MB...29.82 INCHES.

SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 800 PM EDT

...ALABAMA...
CLAYHATCHEE 5.9 E                    15.27
HIGHLAND HOME                        12.74
VALLEY 0.4 NNW                       11.87
WETUMPKA 9.9 NNE                     10.81
MEADOWBROOK 1.7 NE                   10.50
LAKE PURDY 3.6 ENE                   10.37
CLIO 0.2 SSW                         10.27
CALERA      9.73
TROY      9.57
BIRMINGHAM INTL      7.28

...FLORIDA...

MELBOURNE/WINDOVER FARMS             27.65
CAPE CANAVERAL /USAF FIELD MILL 21/  22.83
SEBASTIAN /SCRIPPS SPACE COAST/      22.25
PALM SHORES 1.4 W                    21.44
PALM BAY 1.0 NE                      21.00
VIERA                                20.75
HILLIARD 5.4 NW                      19.70
MELBOURNE WFO                        19.62
CAPE CANAVERAL/COCOA BEACH           19.01
SANFORD 2 ESE                        18.27
ST MARKS 4 ESE                       17.67
JACKSONVILLE/INTL APT                12.07
MONTICELLO 3.6 WSW                   11.90
VERO BEACH/MUNI APT                  11.34
WACISSA 1.1 SW                       10.80
DAYTONA BEACH/REGIONAL APT            8.99
GAINESVILLE/REGIONAL APT              8.25
NAPLES/MUNICIPAL APT                  7.96
FT LAUDERDALE/HOLLYWOOD               7.12

...GEORGIA...

THOMASVILLE                          27.50
NEWTON 11 SW                         13.50
COOLIDGE 3.2 SSW                     12.03
ELMODEL                              11.80
VALDOSTA 9 N                         11.67
BLAKELY                              10.85
MORGAN 5 NW                          10.83
MILFORD                              10.73
TIGER 1.7 S                          10.00
IRON CITY 6 NE                        9.54
ALBANY 1 N                            8.68
FORT GAINES 13 ENE                    8.48
BLUFFTON 0.2 N                        8.35
FORT BENNING/COLUMBUS                 6.77
SAVANNAH/HUNTER AAF                   4.87
PEACHTREE CITY/ATL WFO                2.56

...KENTUCKY...

SCOTTSVILLE 5.5 NE                    1.90
EUBANK 4.7 NE                         1.80
LONDON-CORBIN ARPT                    1.78
LEXINGTON/BLUE GRASS FLD              1.78
BRONSTON 2.7 WSW                      1.75
GREENUP 7 WNW                         1.73
ALBANY                                1.62
FOUNTAIN RUN 5.7 NW                   1.58
BRODHEAD 7.3 SSW                      1.57
MONTICELLO 9.1 W                      1.57
DIXON                                 1.14
JACKSON                               1.04
TAYLORSVILLE                          1.00

...LOUISIANA...

BATON ROUGE/SHERWOOD                  4.49
MILLERVILLE                           4.38
ZACHARY                               4.20
SHENANDOAH 0.8 W                      4.02
INNISWOLD 4 E                         4.01
WALKER 1.1 N                          3.93
DENHAM SPRINGS                        3.91
GREENWELL SPRINGS 2 SW                3.79
VIDALIA                               3.30
JACKSON                               3.26
RESERVE                               3.20
NEW ORLEANS/MSY                       1.46

...MISSISSIPPI...

ACKERMAN 3 SE                         7.87
NOXAPATER 1 N                         6.80
DAMASCUS 1 SE                         6.27
STATE UNIVERSITY                      5.50
STARKVILLE 2.5 ENE                    5.47
GHOLSON 8 W                           5.12
CRAWFORD 5 W                          5.07
TOPTON                                4.88
PHILADELPHIA 5 N                      4.87
BROOKSVILLE 2 NNE                     4.59
TOOMSUBA 5 SE                         4.53
PASCAGOULA                            4.52
MERIDIAN/KEY FLD                      4.45

...NORTH CAROLINA...

BURNSVILLE 9.4 SE                    11.18
HARRISBURG 0.8 S                     10.84
CONCORD 4.9 SW                       10.30
CHARLOTTE      8.51
ASHEVILLE      5.32
CHAPEL HILL      4.77
WILMINGTON                            4.53
FAYETTEVILLE                          3.26
MONROE                                2.94
HICKORY      2.93
RALEIGH/DURHAM                        2.12

...OHIO...

HAMILTON APT                          2.70
LANCASTER                             1.18

...SOUTH CAROLINA...

LAKE WYLIE 2.3 SW                     9.00
LOWRYS 3.6 ENE                        7.66
SALEM 3.1 WNW                         7.56
FORT MILL 3.5 ENE                     6.86
CLEVELAND 8 WSW                       6.24
BEAUFORT                              6.11
MARIETTA 1.8 SW                       5.09
MEGGETT 1.8 W                         4.97
SALEM 0.1 SE                          4.65
WALTERBORO 2 SW                       4.33
HARDEEVILLE 13 S                      4.25
CHARLESTON/MUNI APT                   4.07
FOLLY BEACH 2.5 SW                    3.96
WALHALLA 5 NW                         3.94
GREENVILLE/SPARTANBURG      3.14
COLUMBIA/METRO ARPT      3.10

...TENNESSEE...

DUNLAP 3.1 NW                         8.84
RED BANK 3.4 NNE                      7.87
SIGNAL MTN 1.2 WSW                    7.75
GRAYSVILLE 0.1 NW                     7.43
FAYETTEVILLE 8.8 S                    6.08
CARTHAGE 0.1 W                        5.30
COLUMBIA 0.9 SE                       5.05
EAGLEVILLE 1 SE                       4.39
SMYRNA 4.5 SSW                        4.24
CHATTANOOGA/LOVELL FLD ASOS           4.41
KNOXVILLE      1.82

...VIRGINIA...

DANVILLE                              6.03
ROANOKE/MUNI APT                      3.77
WOOLWINE 0.4 SW                       3.20
CAVE SPRINGS 2.4 SSW                  3.00
HILLSVILLE 8.9 SE                     2.46
LYNCHBURG      2.11

...WEST VIRGINIA...

BLUEFIELD                             1.43
PARKERSBURG                           1.44
HUNTINGTON                            1.38

THE REMNANTS OF FAY ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 1 TO 3 INCHES THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING OVER PARTS OF NORTHEASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA...VIRGINIA...EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA...WESTERN
PENNSYLVANIA AND MARYLAND.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER PORTIONS OF NORTH
CAROLINA.

REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION...37.0 NORTH...83.2
WEST...MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AT 8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...10 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
PREDICTION CENTER AT 500 AM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE OR WEATHER.GOV FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION ON FAY.

HEDGE

FORECAST POSITIONS

INITIAL 27/2100Z 37.0N 83.2W...EXTRATROPICAL
12HR VT 28/1200Z 37.8N 82.5W...EXTRATROPICAL


$$


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