[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT31 KWNH 250307
TCPAT1

PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 38 FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL062008
1000 PM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

...FAY NEARLY STATIONARY OVER SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...

FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN
LOUISIANA...MISSISSIPPI...ALABAMA...AND NORTHERN FLORIDA.

AT 1000 PM CDT...03Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.0 WEST...OR ABOUT
75 MILES..120 KM...SOUTH OF JACKSON MISSISSIPPI AND 90 MILES...145
KM... NORTH OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA.

THE DEPRESSION IS NEARLY STATIONARY. THE FORECAST TRACK WILL KEEP
FAY STALLED FOR ANOTHER 12 TO 24 HOURS BEFORE ADVANCING TO THE
NORTHEAST INTO EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI OR WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA BY
TUESDAY MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 25 MPH..40 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.

SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 700 PM CDT

...LOUISIANA...

BATON ROUGE			      2.80
NEW ORLEANS (MSY)                     1.17
BOOTHVILLE                            0.98
NEW IBERIA			      0.67
LAFAYETTE                             0.39

...MISSISSIPPI...

NATCHEZ/HARDY			      2.54
COLUMBUS AFB			      2.40
MERIDIAN/KEY FIELD                    2.29
MERIDIAN NAS/MCCAIN                   1.96
JACKSON 			      1.79
VICKSBURG			      1.70
MCCOMB/LEWIS FIELD                    1.61
TUPELO			   	      1.45
HATTIESBURG			      0.99
BILOXI				      0.21
GULFPORT			      0.12

...ALABAMA...

TROY                                  5.65
OZARK                                 5.42
DOTHAN				      4.38
AUBURN				      4.04
MONTGOMERY                            3.58
BIRMINGHAM                            3.31
ANNISTON			      2.82
TUSCALOOSA                            2.30
EVERGREEN			      1.81
MOBILE				      0.63

...GEORGIA...

THOMASVILLE 2.8 E                    17.43
COOLIDGE 3.2 SSW                     12.03
VALDOSTA			      8.31
ALBANY				      4.64
COLUMBUS			      4.29
ALMA				      4.24
SAVANNAH			      3.16
BRUNSWICK			      2.88
MACON				      2.26
PEACHTREE CITY			      1.48

...SOUTH CAROLINA...

BEAUFORT                              5.84
CHARLESTON                            2.72

...FLORIDA...

MELBOURNE BEACH 	             25.28
COCOA BEACH                          24.38
CAPE CANAVERAL                       22.83
DELTONA                              22.69
SATELLITE BEACH                      22.40
PALM SHORES 1.4 W                    21.44
PALM BAY 1.0 NE                      21.00
ORANGE CITY                          19.81
HILLIARD 5.4 NW                      19.70
SANFORD                              15.70
TALLAHASSEE			     11.93
FORT PIERCE			     11.58
JACKSONVILLE			     11.70
VERO BEACH			     11.34
CROSS CITY			      9.97
DAYTONA BEACH			      8.82
WEST PALM BEACH			      7.32
ORLANDO				      7.26
FORT MYERS			      6.85
MARATHON			      6.80
MIAMI				      6.19
KEY WEST			      3.35

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER MUCH OF ALABAMA...PORTIONS OF
MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...WESTERN GEORGIA AND THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING....WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE. LIGHTER RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1
TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN TENNESSEE... EASTERN
GEORGIA... WESTERN NORTH AND SOUTH CAROLINA AND THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA.

REPEATING THE 1000 PM CDT POSITION...31.3 N...90.0 W.
MOVEMENT...NEARLY STATIONARY... MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
PREDICTION CENTER AT 400 AM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE OR WEATHER.GOV FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION ON FAY.

HEDGE

FORECAST POSITIONS

INITIAL 25/0300Z 31.3N 90.0W
12HR VT 25/1200Z 31.1N 90.1W
24HR VT 26/0000Z 31.8N 89.7W
36HR VT 26/1200Z 32.7N 88.5W
48HR VT 27/0000Z 33.9N 87.3W
72HR VT 28/0000Z 37.4N 83.5W...REMNANT LOW
$$




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