[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT31 KNHC 230834
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
500 AM EDT SAT AUG 23 2008

...CENTER OF FAY CURRENTLY INLAND OVER THE CENTRAL FLORIDA
PANHANDLE...WARNINGS AND WATCHES EXTENDED WESTWARD...

AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED
WESTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL
RIVER.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE
NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST FROM SUWANEE RIVER FLORIDA WESTWARD
TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT WEST OF
THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA...INCLUDING
METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.  A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE
WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 29.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.9 WEST OR OVER THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE ABOUT 15 MILES...25 KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF APALACHICOLA
FLORIDA AND ABOUT 50 MILES...85 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PANAMA CITY
FLORIDA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...FAY WILL BE NEAR OR OVER THE GULF COAST OF
THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND NEAR OR OVER
THE GULF COAST OF MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA ON SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 TO
48 HOURS...AND FAY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM INTO
SUNDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
MAINLY TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER.  BAINBRIDGE GEORGIA RECENTLY
REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 43 MPH...69 KM/HR.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS.  ABOVE
NORMAL TIDES ALONG THE GEORGIA AND FLORIDA ATLANTIC COAST SHOULD
SUBSIDE TODAY.

OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS...FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE
NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHWESTERN
GEORGIA...AND THE SOUTHERN HALF OF BOTH MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA...
WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.  ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT IN PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN FLORIDA...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA.

REPEATING THE 500 AM EDT POSITION...29.9 N...84.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN



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