[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KMOB 230713
HLSMOB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
213 AM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008

...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WILL MOVE JUST SOUTH OF THE
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE COAST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND THEN
MOVE ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AFTER MIDNIGHT...

AT 200 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS NEAR LATITUDE
29.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.7 WEST...OR 20 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF
APALACHICOLA FLORIDA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...TAKING FAY NEAR
OR OVER THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST TODAY AND SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE
CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND FAY IS
FORECAST TO REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM INTO SUNDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150
KM...MAINLY TO THE SOUTH FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.

ALZ061>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-240715-
/O.CON.KMOB.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN-
INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
213 AM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM DESTIN WESTWARD TO THE
ALABAMA-MISSISSIPPI BORDER.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA...SOUTH
CENTRAL ALABAMA AND THE EXTREME WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. THE FLASH
FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE POTENTIAL OF HEAVY FLOODING RAINS
GENERATED BY FAY STARTING ON SATURDAY AND LINGERING THROUGH POSSIBLE
MONDAY.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS
IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...

ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA AND OKALOOSA

IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...

MOBILE AND BALDWIN

THE GULF COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
OUT TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA AND
OKALOOSA COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES
IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AS WELL AS PORTIONS
OF INTERIOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

...STORM INFORMATION...

AT 200 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.7 WEST...OR 20 MILES EAST-
NORTHEAST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...TAKING FAY NEAR
OR OVER THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST TODAY AND SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE
CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND FAY IS
FORECAST TO REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM INTO SUNDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150
KM...MAINLY TO THE SOUTH FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.


...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BEGIN TROPICAL CYCLONE PREPARATIONS
TODAY. TAKE ACTION NOW TO SECURE PROPERTY...ESPECIALLY AT BEACH FRONT
HOMES AND WITH BOATS. VESSELS GOING OFFSHORE OVER THE GULF WATERS
SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS OVER THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ARE RUNNING ABOUT ONE-HALF TO ONE FOOT BELOW
NORMAL DUE TO THE PERSISTENT OFFSHORE WIND FLOW THIS EVENING.
HOWEVER...THIS WILL CHANGE. BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK AND
SPEED...MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL TIDE HEIGHTS ALONG THE COAST COULD REACH
3 TO 4 FEET IN SOME AREAS. AS THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES WESTWARD JUST
SOUTH OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE COAST...THE MAXIMUM STORM
TIDES WILL EFFECT THE COASTAL SECTIONS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...AND FROM PENSACOLA TO PASCAGOULA
BETWEEN AFTER MIDNIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. THE ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS BETWEEN 2 AM AND
5 AM OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

MINOR TO MODERATE BEACH EROSION ALONG THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
AND ALABAMA GULF COAST WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.

...WINDS...

NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH TONIGHT WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST AND
INCREASE TO NEAR 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH BY LATE AFTERNOON OVER
THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AS THE CENTER OF FAY PASSES. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS WILL THEN SPREAD FARTHER TO THE WEST ACROSS MOBILE
AND BALDWIN COUNTIES BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

OVER THE COASTAL WATERS...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 45 KNOTS
WILL AFFECT THE GULF WATERS OFF DESTIN BY NOON. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WILL THEN SPREAD WESTWARD OVER MOST OF THE FLORIDA BY
NOON...THE SPREADING INTO THE ALABAMA COASTAL WATERS BY LATE THIS
AFTERNOON. SEAS FROM 8 TO 10 FEET ARE FORECAST OVER THE GULF WATERS
SOUTH OF DESTIN...NAVARRE...AND PENSACOLA SATURDAY NIGHT. SEAS TO
NEAR 8 FEET ARE FORECAST TO BUILD ACROSS THE ALABAMA COASTAL WATERS
SUNDAY.

...INLAND FLOODING...

HEAVY RAINS WILL ONSET FROM EAST TO WEST THROUGH THE DAY TODAY. DURING
THE 30 HOUR PERIOD ENDING EARLY SUNDAY MORNING SUNDAY SOME 10 TO 15
INCHES OF RAIN COULD FALL ACROSS THE AREA. THE AXIS OF THE HEAVIEST
OF RAINFALL SHOULD LINE UP FROM BUTLER ALABAMA TO ATMORE AND
SOUTHEASTWARD TO NAVARRE. HEAVY RAIN WILL THEN DEVELOP WEST OF THIS
LINE ON SUNDAY. THIS ALL DEPENDS ON THE EXACT TRACK OF FAY AND HOW
FAST SHE MOVES...HOWEVER THAT IS THE LATEST THINKING.

THESE TYPE OF RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT FLASH
FLOODING BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND LINGERING INTO
MONDAY. WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF RIVERS AND STREAMS IS POSSIBLE WELL
INTO NEXT WEEK...ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE WHERE HEAVIER RAINS ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST.

...TORNADOES...

THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS FAY MOVES WESTWARD. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE
EAST SIDE OF FAY ARE MORE LIKELY TO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE BY 5 AM CDT THIS
MORNING.

$$

ALZ051>060-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-240715-
/O.CON.KMOB.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
213 AM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM DESTIN WESTWARD TO THE
ALABAMA-MISSISSIPPI BORDER.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA...SOUTH
CENTRAL ALABAMA AND THE EXTREME WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. THE FLASH
FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE POTENTIAL OF HEAVY FLOODING RAINS
GENERATED BY FAY STARTING ON SATURDAY AND LINGERING THROUGH POSSIBLE
MONDAY.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS
IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN SOUTHERN ALABAMA...COVINGTON...ESCAMBIA...CONECUH...CRENSHAW...
MONROE...WILCOX...CLARKE...WASHINGTON AND BUTLER COUNTIES.

IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...WAYNE...PERRY...GREENE...STONE AND GEORGE
COUNTIES.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY.

...STORM INFORMATION...

AT 200 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.7 WEST...OR 20 MILES EAST-
NORTHEAST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...TAKING FAY NEAR
OR OVER THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST TODAY AND SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE
CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND FAY IS
FORECAST TO REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM INTO SUNDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150
KM...MAINLY TO THE SOUTH FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.

...WINDS...

BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK OF FAY...GUSTY WINDS FROM 25 TO
35 MPH WILL OVERSPREAD THE INLAND COUNTIES OF SOUTHERN ALABAMA THIS
AFTERNOON AS THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES TO NEAR PENSACOLA. WINDS OF 25
TO 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP WESTWARD INTO
SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI THIS EVENING AS THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES
THROUGH THE MOBILE AREA.

...INLAND FLOODING...

HEAVY RAINS WILL ONSET FROM EAST TO WEST TODAY AND SUNDAY. DURING THE
30 HOUR PERIOD ENDING EARLY SUNDAY MORNING SUNDAY SOME 10 TO 15 INCHES
OF RAIN COULD FALL ACROSS THE AREA. THE AXIS OF THE HEAVIEST OF
RAINFALL SHOULD LINE UP FROM BUTLER ALABAMA TO ATMORE AND
SOUTHEASTWARD TO NAVARRE. HEAVY RAIN WILL THEN DEVELOP WEST OF THIS
LINE ON SUNDAY. THIS ALL DEPENDS ON THE EXACT TRACK OF FAY AND HOW
FAST SHE MOVES...HOWEVER THAT IS THE LATEST THINKING.

THESE TYPE OF RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT FLASH
FLOODING BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND LINGERING INTO
MONDAY. WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF RIVERS AND STREAMS IS POSSIBLE WELL
INTO NEXT WEEK...ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE WHERE HEAVIER RAINS ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST.

...TORNADOES...

THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE LATER TODAY
AS FAY MOVES WESTWARD. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE EAST SIDE OF FAY ARE
MORE LIKELY TO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE BY 5 AM CDT THIS
MORNING.

$$

PURDY



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