[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT31 KNHC 222026
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
500 PM EDT FRI AUG 22 2008

...FAY IS NOT IN A HURRY...SLOWLY MOVING WESTWARD...

AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM FLAGLER
BEACH ON THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA NORTHWARD HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM ARIPEKA NORTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO DESTIN.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF
DESTIN TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.2 WEST OR ABOUT 50 MILES...
 80 KM...NORTH OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA AND ABOUT 110 MILES...175 KM...
EAST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/HR. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE CROSSING THE
NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA TONIGHT AND THEN MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE ON SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDES IS STILL
POSSIBLE ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AND GEORGIA TO THE
NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER OF FAY.  STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4
FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS ALSO POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA
ALONG THE FLORIDA GULF COAST IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES ACROSS THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE....SOUTHERN GEORGIA...SOUTHERN ALABAMA...AND SOUTHERN
MISSISSIPPI...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.
ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA IN OUTER RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH
FAY. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ALSO POSSIBLE
OVER COASTAL SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA. ISOLATED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 20 TO 30 INCHES HAVE BEEN OBSERVED WITH FAY ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE EAST-CENTRAL COAST OF FLORIDA.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER PORTIONS OF
NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND SOUTHERN SOUTH
CAROLINA.

REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...29.8 N...83.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 6 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

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