[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT31 KNHC 221439
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
1100 AM EDT FRI AUG 22 2008

...FAY STILL PRODUCING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OVER NORTHEAST
FLORIDA...

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN
EXTENDED WESTWARD ALONG THE FLORIDA GULF OF MEXICO COAST TO
DESTIN...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM WEST OF
DESTIN TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTH OF
FLAGLER BEACH HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM ARIPEKA NORTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO DESTIN...AND FROM
FLAGLER BEACH NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT THE BORDER BETWEEN
GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF DESTIN TO THE
MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.7 WEST OR ABOUT 40
MILES... 70 KM...NORTHEAST OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.  ON
THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
CROSSING THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY...THEN MOVE NEAR OR
OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE ON SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. SEVERAL STATIONS OVER NORTHEAST
FLORIDA ARE CURRENTLY REPORTING WIND GUSTS OF 45 TO 55 MPH...70 TO
90 KM/HR.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDES IS POSSIBLE
ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AND GEORGIA TO THE NORTH OF THE
CENTER OF FAY.  STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
TIDE LEVELS IS ALSO POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA ALONG THE FLORIDA
GULF COAST IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS.

OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS...FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ACROSS THE NORTHERN FLORIDA
PENINSULA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND
SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES
POSSIBLE.  ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA IN OUTER RAIN BANDS
ASSOCIATED WITH FAY.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN
FLORIDA...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM EDT POSITION...29.6 N...82.7 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 5 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA



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