[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT31 KNHC 201142
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  19A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
800 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2008

...CENTER OF FAY NEAR CAPE CANAVERAL...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF JUPITER
INLET FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH
FLORIDA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ALTAMAHA
SOUND TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 800 AM EDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 28.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.6 WEST OR VERY NEAR CAPE
CANAVERAL FLORIDA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY.  A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AND FAY IS
LIKELY TO REMAIN NEAR OR OVER THE EAST-CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN
FLORIDA COAST THROUGH THURSDAY.

DATA FROM A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS
INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45
MPH...70 KM/HR..WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THESE WINDS ARE OCCURRING MOSTLY
OVER WATER WELL TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.  SOME GRADUAL
RESTRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS BEFORE FAY
MOVES BACK INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA ON THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AB AIR FORCE
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES
OVER EAST-CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...WITH MAXIMUM TOTAL
AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES.  ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
EAST COAST OF FLORIDA TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER OF FAY.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN
FLORIDA.

REPEATING THE 800 AM EDT POSITION...28.5 N...80.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 5 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA



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