[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KMLB 201108
HLSMLB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE FAY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
708 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2008

...TROPICAL STORM FAY EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTH ALONG THE COAST TODAY...

...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE
TAKEN BY PERSONS WITHIN EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN
EFFECT FOR ALL INLAND COUNTIES WITHIN EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA EXCEPT
OKEECHOBEE.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL COASTAL COUNTIES
AND THE ADJACENT ATLANTIC WATERS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ATLANTIC WATERS FROM
FLAGLER BEACH TO SEBASTIAN INLET...FROM 20 TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES
OFFSHORE.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 500 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.6 WEST OR VERY NEAR MELBOURNE
FLORIDA AND ABOUT 15 MILES...SOUTH OF CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA.

FLZ058-201215-
/O.CAN.KMLB.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080821T2200Z/
OKEECHOBEE-
708 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

...NEW INFORMATION...

TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR MELBOURNE EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWARD ALONG THE BREVARD AND
VOLUSIA COUNTY COAST THROUGH TONIGHT. WITH THE FORECAST TRACK OF
FAY MOVING AWAY FROM OKEECHOBEE COUNTY THE THREAT OF TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS HAS DIMINISHED AND THE TROPICAL STORM WIND
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN
OKEECHOBEE COUNTY.

...WINDS...
FAY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTH TODAY AND SUSTAINED
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED. BRIEF GUSTY WINDS TO
35 TO 40 MPH WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE IN SHOWER BANDS THAT DEVELOP
SOUTH OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

...INLAND FLOODING...
RADAR ESTIMATES AND RAIN GAGE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT A LARGE
AREA OF 5 TO 8 INCHES FELL ACROSS OKEECHOBEE COUNTY DURING THE
PAST 36 HOURS. MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING HAS OCCURRED ACROSS MUCH
OF THIS REGION. A FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA
DUE TO AREAS OF STANDING WATER AND THE THREAT FOR A FEW ADDITIONAL
HEAVY SHOWERS TODAY. A FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES IN EFFECT.

...TORNADOES...
THE RISK FOR TORNADOES HAS SHIFTED AWAY FROM OKEECHOBEE COUNTY
AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND 9 AM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...SEE
THE MELBOURNE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV
AND THEN CLICK ON EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

$$

FLZ053-202200-
/O.EXT.KMLB.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080820T2200Z/
OSCEOLA-
708 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR MELBOURNE EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWARD ALONG THE BREVARD AND
VOLUSIA COUNTY COAST THROUGH TONIGHT. THE PROXIMITY OF FAY AND
SLOW MOVEMENT OF THIS SYSTEM WILL ALLOW ADDITIONAL RAIN BANDS TO
DEVELOP TODAY ACROSS OSCEOLA COUNTY WITH WIND GUSTS TO 40 TO 45
MPH. POSSIBLE  THE THREAT FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO DECREASE LATER TONIGHT AS THE CENTER MOVES FURTHER
NORTH.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA...OSCEOLA.

...WINDS...
AS FAY MOVES SLOWLY AWAY...WINDS WILL SHIFT TO A NORTHWEST THEN WEST
COMPONENT. TEMPORARILY...WINDS WILL BECOME LESS GUSTY
INLAND...ALTHOUGH STILL FREQUENTLY REACHING 25 MPH...AND UP TO 40
TO 45 MPH IN HEAVIER SHOWERS. THE FUTURE TRACK OF FAY SHOULD
DECREASE THE THREAT OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS BY TONIGHT.

...INLAND FLOODING...
RADAR ESTIMATES AND RAIN GAGE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT A LARGE
AREA OF 6 TO 8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED SPOTS TO NEAR 10 INCHES FELL
DURING THE PAST 36 HOURS ALONG THE COAST FROM CENTRAL BREVARD
COUNTY SOUTH...AND INLAND TO OSCEOLA AND OKEECHOBEE COUNTIES.
MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING OCCURRED ACROSS MUCH OF THIS REGION.
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS WILL REDEVELOP ACROSS ALL OF EAST
CENTRAL FLORIDA...WITH ADDITIONAL PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL. A
FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT.

...TORNADOES...
THE RISK FOR TORNADOES HAS SHIFTED NORTH OF OSCEOLA COUNTY TODAY.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND 9 AM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...SEE
THE MELBOURNE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV
AND THEN CLICK ON EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

$$

AMZ570-572-211115-
/O.CON.KMLB.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMLB.HU.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
708 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...
THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH ALONG
THE BREVARD AND VOLUSIA COUNTY COAST TODAY AND TONIGHT. SUSTAINED
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM 35 TO 50 KNOTS AND SEAS OVER THE
15 FEET WILL MAKE BOATING EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS FOR SMALL CRAFT.
SMALL CRAFT SHOULD STAY IN PORT.


$$

FLZ047-054-059-064-141-147-211115-
/O.CON.KMLB.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SOUTHERN BREVARD-INDIAN RIVER-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
NORTHERN BREVARD-
708 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WILL MOVE NORTH NEAR THE BREVARD
AND VOLUSIA COUNTY COAST TODAY AND THIS EVENING AND THEN IS
FORECAST TO MAKE ANOTHER LANDFALL AS IT TURNS BACK WESTWARD TOWARD
THE COAST BETWEEN DAYTONA BEACH AND SAINT AUGUSTINE LATE TONIGHT
OR THURSDAY BASED ON THE CURRENT TRACK FORECAST. AT THIS
TIME...THE MOST LIKELY SCENARIO IS FOR THIS SYSTEM TO STAY AT
TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH IF IT STAYS CLOSE TO THE EAST COAST AND
IS NOT FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE WARMER GULF STREAM WATERS.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COASTAL COUNTIES...MARTIN...SAINT LUCIE...INDIAN
RIVER...BREVARD...AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES.

...WINDS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT AS WINDS GUSTS TO 45 TO
50 MPH ARE STILL EXPECTED WITH RAIN BANDS AROUND THE CENTER TODAY
AS FAY MOVES SLOWLY NORTH TOWARD NORTHERN BREVARD AND THE VOLUSIA
COUNTY COAST THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. THERE IS MUCH UNCERTAINTY IN
THE EXACT TRACK FORECAST BUT BEYOND TONIGHT BUT BY THURSDAY
MORNING FAY SHOULD TURN TO THE NORTHWEST OR WEST AND POSSIBLE MAKE
ANOTHER LANDFALL ALONG THE COAST BETWEEN DAYTONA BEACH AND SAINT
AUGUSTINE. ON THIS TRACK...CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE BY THIS
AFTERNOON ACROSS SOUTHERN COASTAL SECTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA
WITH THE THREAT FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS CONTINUING ALONG
THE VOLUSIA COUNTY COAST INTO THURSDAY.

...INLAND FLOODING...

RADAR ESTIMATES AND RAIN GAGE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT A LARGE
AREA OF 6 TO 8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED SPOTS TO NEAR 10 INCHES
FELL DURING THE PAST 36 HOURS ALONG THE COAST FROM CENTRAL
BREVARD COUNTY SOUTH...AND INLAND TO OSCEOLA AND OKEECHOBEE
COUNTIES. MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING OCCURRED ACROSS MUCH OF THIS
REGION.

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS WILL REDEVELOP ACROSS ALL OF EAST
CENTRAL FLORIDA...WITH ADDITIONAL PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL. THE
FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES IN EFFECT.

ON THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER BETWEEN LAKE HARNEY AND ASTOR...THERE IS
CURRENTLY NO SIGNIFICANT FLOODING. THE LATEST STAGE HEIGHTS AT
LAKE HARNEY...SANFORD...DELAND...AND ASTOR ARE ALL BELOW RIVER
FLOOD STAGE. RAIN TOTALS ALONG THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER WILL INCREASE
NORTH OF LAKE HARNEY TODAY AND TONIGHT. AS OF THIS MORNING...THE
STAGE AT ASTOR IS THE CLOSEST TO FLOOD HEIGHTS...BUT IT HAS NOT
REACHED ACTION LEVEL.

...TORNADOES...
AS THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES NORTH NEAR THE COAST...THE FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR TORNADOES WILL ALSO MOVE SLOWLY AWAY FROM THE
CENTRAL PENINSULA. A LOW THREAT FOR AN ISOLATED TORNADO WILL
LINGER TODAY AND TONIGHT...PRIMARILY ACROSS VOLUSIA AND NORTHERN
LAKE COUNTIES COUNTY IN ASSOCIATION WITH FAY.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS WINDS SHIFT TO OFFSHORE SOUTH OF THE CAPE...STORM SURGE
CONCERNS WILL REMAIN MINIMAL. HIGH SURF AND A HIGH THREAT FOR RIP
CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE TODAY. IF FAY RESTRENGTHENS AND REMAINS
NEAR THE COAST...A 2 TO 3 FOOT STORM SURGE MAY OCCUR...MAINLY
ALONG THE NORTHERN VOLUSIA COAST.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND 9 AM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...SEE
THE MELBOURNE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV
AND THEN CLICK ON EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

$$

AMZ550-552-555-575-211115-
/O.CON.KMLB.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
708 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...
THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH ALONG
THE BREVARD AND VOLUSIA COUNTY COAST TODAY AND TONIGHT. SUSTAINED
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM 30 TO 45 KNOTS AND SEAS OVER THE
10 FEET WILL MAKE BOATING EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS FOR SMALL CRAFT.
SMALL CRAFT SHOULD STAY IN PORT.


$$

FLZ041-044>046-144-211115-
/O.CON.KMLB.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080821T2200Z/
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN LAKE-
708 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...
THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WILL MOVE NORTH NEAR THE BREVARD
AND VOLUSIA COUNTY COAST TODAY AND THIS EVENING AND THEN IS
FORECAST TO MAKE ANOTHER LANDFALL AS IT TURNS BACK WESTWARD TOWARD
THE COAST BETWEEN DAYTONA BEACH AND SAINT AUGUSTINE LATE TONIGHT
OR THURSDAY BASED ON THE CURRENT TRACK FORECAST. AT THIS
TIME...THE MOST LIKELY SCENARIO IS FOR THIS SYSTEM TO STAY AT
TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH IF IT STAYS CLOSE TO THE EAST COAST AND
IS NOT FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE WARMER GULF STREAM WATERS.
ON THE CURRENT TRACK THE MAIN EFFECTS FROM THIS SYSTEM WILL BE
FELT ACROSS VOLUSIA AND NORTHERN LAKE COUNTIES.

TROPICAL STORM WIND GUSTS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE...WITH THE
STRONGEST GUSTS MOST LIKELY NEAR THE COAST AND DURING SHOWERS.

...WINDS...
AS FAY MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD NEAR THE EAST COAST...WINDS WILL
SHIFT TO THE NORTH ACROSS THE INTERIOR INCLUDING AROUND METRO
ORLANDO. WINDS WILL STILL FREQUENTLY REACH 25 MPH...AND UP TO 40
MPH IN SHOWERS. ALONG THE COAST...FREQUENT GUSTS OF 40 TO 45 MPH
WILL CONTINUE WITH A FEW SQUALLS TO AROUND 50 MPH.

THE THREAT FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS GUSTS WILL CONTINUE
TONIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY ACROSS NORTHERN INTERIOR PORTIONS OF
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING INLAND VOLUSIA AND NORTHERN LAKE
COUNTIES. ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER WILL MOVE
WEST NORTHWEST JUST NORTH OF VOLUSIA COUNTY ON THURSDAY. SOUTH OF
THE CIRCULATION CENTER...GUSTY WINDS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE CAN
BE EXPECTED...WITH THE HIGHEST PROBABILITY ACROSS INLAND VOLUSIA
AND NORTHERN LAKE COUNTIES.

...INLAND FLOODING...

RADAR ESTIMATES AND RAIN GAGE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT A LARGE
AREA OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED SPOTS TO NEAR 5 INCHES
FELL DURING THE PAST 36 HOURS ACROSS NORTHERN INTERIOR SECTIONS OF
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. FURTHER SOUTH FROM SOUTHERN BREVARD TO LAKE
OKEECHOBEE...WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES HAVE
FAILEN WITH A FEW AREAS SEEING STORM TOTALS OVER 10 INCHES. A

A FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

ON THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER BETWEEN LAKE HARNEY AND ASTOR...THERE IS
CURRENTLY NO SIGNIFICANT FLOODING. THE LATEST STAGE HEIGHTS AT
LAKE HARNEY...SANFORD...DELAND...AND ASTOR ARE ALL BELOW RIVER
FLOOD STAGE. RAIN TOTALS ALONG THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER WILL INCREASE
NORTH OF LAKE HARNEY TODAY AND TONIGHT. AS OF THIS MORNING...THE
STAGE AT ASTOR IS THE CLOSEST TO FLOOD HEIGHTS...BUT IT HAS NOT
REACHED ACTION LEVEL.

...TORNADOES...
AS THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES NORTH NEAR THE COAST...THE FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR TORNADOES WILL ALSO MOVE SLOWLY AWAY FROM THE
CENTRAL PENINSULA. A LOW THREAT FOR AN ISOLATED TORNADO WILL
LINGER TODAY AND TONIGHT...PRIMARILY ACROSS VOLUSIA AND NORTHERN
LAKE COUNTIES COUNTY IN ASSOCIATION WITH FAY.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND 9 AM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...SEE
THE MELBOURNE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV
AND THEN CLICK ON EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

$$

VOLKMER






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