[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT31 KNHC 200548
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  18A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
200 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2008

...FAY FINALLY REACHING THE EAST COAST OF CENTRAL FLORIDA...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF JUPITER INLET TO FLAGLER BEACH.

AT 200 AM EDT...0600Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR LAKE
OKEECHOBEE HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST NORTH OF
FLAGLER BEACH TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ALTAMAHA SOUND TO
THE SAVANNAH RIVER.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 200 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED ON THE EAST COAST OF CENTRAL FLORIDA NEAR LATITUDE 27.9
NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.5 WEST OR ABOUT 5 MILES...10 KM NORTHWEST OF
SEBASTIAN FLORIDA AND ABOUT 15 MILES... 25 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF
MELBOURNE FLORIDA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR.  A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24
HOURS AS FAY MOVES OVER THE OFFSHORE ATLANTIC WATERS.  FAY IS
LIKELY TO REMAIN NEAR OR OVER THE NORTHEAST OR EAST-CENTRAL FLORIDA
COAST THROUGH THURSDAY.

SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR DATA
INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 50 MPH...85
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME GRADUAL RESTRENGTHENING IS
EXPECTED AS FAY MOVES OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS LATER TODAY AND
THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES
OVER EAST-CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...WITH MAXIMUM TOTAL
AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES.  ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AS FAY APPROACHES.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY OVER
PORTIONS OF THE EAST-CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA.

REPEATING THE 200 AM EDT POSITION...27.9 N...80.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART/FRANKLIN

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