[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Aug 18 19:38:30 CDT 2008


WTUS82 KTBW 190038
HLSTBW

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
838 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...TROPICAL STORM FAY HEADING FOR SOUTHWEST FLORIDA...

.AT 8 PM EDT...TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.0
DEGREES NORTH...81.9 DEGREES WEST OR ABOUT 120 MILES SOUTH OF FORT
MYERS...AND ABOUT 210 MILES SOUTH OF TAMPA. FAY IS MOVING TOWARD
THE NORTH NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR
FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 998 MB...OR 29.47
INCHES. FAY MAY STILL MAKE LANDFALL IN SOUTHWEST FLORIDA AS A
CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON TUESDAY.

FLZ050-051-GMZ830-190400-
/O.CON.KTBW.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTBW.HU.A.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-TAMPA BAY WATERS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLEARWATER...ST. PETERSBURG...BRANDON...
TAMPA
838 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

NO NEW INFORMATION.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT
FOR PINELLAS AND HILLSBOROUGH COUNTIES...TAMPA BAY...AND THE GULF
WATERS FROM NORTH OF ANNA MARIA ISLAND IN MANATEE COUNTY TO TARPON
SPRINGS IN PINELLAS COUNTY. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT
THROUGH 8 PM TUESDAY.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED
PREPARATIONS FOR THE ONSET OF DAMAGING WINDS. THE GUSTY WINDS IN
OUTER RAIN BANDS MAY MAKE IT DIFFICULT TO TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTIONS
TUESDAY MORNING. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR
OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS
EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY.

FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA
BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ).

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

IT IS BECOMING LESS LIKELY THAT A SIGNIFICANT SURGE WILL OCCUR
WITH THIS STORM AS IT APPEARS THAT IT WILL MAKE LANDFALL WELL
SOUTH OF TAMPA BAY.

...WINDS...

MAXIMUM WINDS OF 50 TO 60 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS ARE EXPECTED
TO AFFECT THE WARNED AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...BUT ONLY IN
ORGANIZED RAIN BANDS AND NEAR THE CENTER OF THE STORM.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 45 TO 60 PERCENT
CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH...
BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA BEGINNING EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS ONLY A 5 PERCENT CHANCE
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER...WILL
AFFECT THE AREA.

...INLAND FLOODING...

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A FLOOD WATCH IS CURRENTLY IN
EFFECT FOR THE AREA.

...TORNADOES...

THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS
THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD
ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY EVENING...THE TORNADO THREAT
FOR THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1130 PM EDT.

$$

FLZ055-060>062-065-GMZ853-856-873-876-190400-
/O.CON.KTBW.HU.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MANATEE-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRADENTON...SARASOTA...VENICE...
ARCADIA...PORT CHARLOTTE...PUNTA GORDA...CAPE CORAL...FORT MYERS
838 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

NO NEW INFORMATION.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BONITA BEACH IN LEE
COUNTY TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND IN MANATEE COUNTY. A FLOOD WATCH ALSO
REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM TUESDAY.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED
PREPARATIONS FOR THE ONSET OF DAMAGING WINDS. THE GUSTY WINDS IN
OUTER RAIN BANDS MAY MAKE IT DIFFICULT TO TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTIONS
TUESDAY MORNING. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR
OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS
EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY.

FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA
BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ).

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THE MAXIMUM EXPECTED STORM SURGE IS
3 TO 5 FEET ALONG THE LEE AND CHARLOTTE COUNTY COASTS WHERE THE
CENTER IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL TUESDAY MORNING. FURTHER NORTH
ALONG THE SARASOTA AND MANATEE COUNTY COAST A SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET
IS POSSIBLE...MAINLY IF THE STORM MAKES LANDFALL FURTHER NORTH.
ASTRONOMICAL TIDE LEVELS MUST BE ADDED TO THESE SURGE VALUES TO
DETERMINE TOTAL STORM TIDE LEVELS.

...WINDS...

MAXIMUM WINDS OF 65 TO 75 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS ARE EXPECTED
TO AFFECT THE WARNED AREA BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. THE STRONGEST
WINDS WILL OCCUR NEAR TO WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL AND IN
THE STRONGER RAIN BANDS OUT AHEAD OF THE STORM.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 60 TO 80 PERCENT
CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH...
BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WARNED AREA BEGINNING EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS ALSO A 5 TO 9 PERCENT
CHANCE THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER...
WILL AFFECT THE AREA.

...INLAND FLOODING...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A
FLOOD WATCH IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA.

...TORNADOES...

THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS
THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD
ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING THE TORNADO THREAT FOR
THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE TO HIGH.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1130 PM EDT.

$$

FLZ056-057-190400-
/O.CON.KTBW.HI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080820T0800Z/
HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAUCHULA...SEBRING...AVON PARK
838 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...HURRICANE WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...

NO NEW INFORMATION.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A HURRICANE WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HARDEE AND
HIGHLANDS COUNTIES. A FLOOD WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM
TUESDAY.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED
PREPARATIONS FOR THE ONSET OF DAMAGING WINDS. THE GUSTY WINDS IN
OUTER RAIN BANDS MAY MAKE IT DIFFICULT TO TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTIONS
TUESDAY MORNING. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR
OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS
EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY.

FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA
BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ).

...WINDS...

MAXIMUM WINDS OF 55 TO 65 MPH WITH GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE ARE
EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE WARNED AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...
MAINLY IN STRONGER RAIN BANDS AND NEAR THE CENTER OF THE STORM.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 70 TO 80 PERCENT
CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH...
BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY
NIGHT.
THERE IS ALSO A 5 TO 7 PERCENT CHANCE THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER...WILL AFFECT THE AREA.

...INLAND FLOODING...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A FLOOD
WATCH IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA.

...TORNADOES...

THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS
THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD
ACROSS THE AREA...THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE
MODERATE TO HIGH.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1130 PM EDT.

$$

FLZ052-190400-
/O.CON.KTBW.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080820T0800Z/
POLK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAKELAND...WINTER HAVEN
838 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...

NO NEW INFORMATION.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR POLK COUNTY. A
FLOOD WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM TUESDAY.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED
PREPARATIONS FOR THE ONSET OF DAMAGING WINDS. THE GUSTY WINDS IN
OUTER RAIN BANDS MAY MAKE IT DIFFICULT TO TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTIONS
TUESDAY MORNING. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR
OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS
EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY.

FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA
BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ).

...WINDS...

MAXIMUM WINDS OF 50 TO 60 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS ARE EXPECTED
TO AFFECT THE WARNED AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...MAINLY IN
STRONGER RAIN BANDS AND NEAR THE CENTER OF TH STORM.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 60 TO 75 PERCENT
CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH...
BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS ONLY A 5 PERCENT CHANCE THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER... WILL AFFECT THE AREA.

...INLAND FLOODING...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A FLOOD
WATCH IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA.

...TORNADOES...

THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS
THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD
ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...THE TORNADO THREAT FOR
THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1130 PM EDT.

$$

FLZ043-190400-
/O.CON.KTBW.TI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-080820T0800Z/
SUMTER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUSHNELL...THE VILLAGES
838 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

NO NEW INFORMATION.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SUMTER COUNTY.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WATCH AREA ARE ENCOURAGED TO FREQUENTLY
MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE
LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM
FAY.

FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE
LATEST PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS
TAMPA BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ).

...WINDS...

MAXIMUM WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS MAY AFFECT
THE WATCH AREA TUESDAY NIGHT.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 50 TO 55 PERCENT
CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH...
BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS
LESS THAN A 5 PERCENT CHANCE THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF
74 MPH OR HIGHER... WILL AFFECT THE AREA.

...INLAND FLOODING...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A FLOOD
WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TONIGHT OR ON TUESDAY.

...TORNADOES...

THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS
THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD
JUST EAST OF THE AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...THE TORNADO
THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE LOW.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1130 PM EDT.

$$

FLZ039-042-048-049-GMZ850-870-190400-
/O.CON.KTBW.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LEVY-CITRUS-HERNANDO-PASCO-
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 NM-
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CEDAR KEY...CHIEFLAND...CRYSTAL RIVER...
INVERNESS...BROOKSVILLE...SPRING HILL...NEW PORT RICHEY...
ZEPHYRHILLS
838 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...NEW INFORMATION...

NO UPDATES/CHANGES AT THIS TIME.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS AND VISITORS ARE ENCOURAGED TO FREQUENTLY MONITOR NOAA
WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST
INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY.

FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA
BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ).

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

NO SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

...WINDS...

WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE RAIN BANDS
AS WEAKENING TROPICAL STORM FAY MOVES BY TO THE EAST TUESDAY
NIGHT.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 30 TO 50 PERCENT
CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH...
BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THERE IS LESS THAN A 5 PERCENT CHANCE
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER...WILL
AFFECT THE AREA.

...INLAND FLOODING...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A FLOOD
WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THIS AREA LATER TONIGHT OR TUESDAY.

...TORNADOES...

THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS
THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. SINCE FAY WILL BE MOVING
BY TO THE EAST...THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE LOW.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1130 PM EDT.

$$

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