[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KJAX 182146
HLSJAX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
546 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA COAST...
...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE INLAND COUNTIES OF
NORTHEAST FLORIDA...

...CENTER OF FAY OVER KEY WEST FLORIDA...MOVING NORTH NORTHWEST...

AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 24.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.9 WEST OR NEAR KEY WEST
FLORIDA AND ABOUT 145 MILES...235 KM...SOUTH OF FT. MYERS FLORIDA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR.
A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH WITH A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A GENERALLY NORTHWARD MOTION TUESDAY AND
TUESDAY NIGHT.  THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF FAY AWAY
FROM THE FLORIDA KEYS TONIGHT...AND NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF FLORIDA ON TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...AND FAY IS
FORECAST TO BE AT OR NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH AS IT APPROACHES THE
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF FLORIDA.

FLZ024-025-033-038-190500-
/O.CON.KJAX.TI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-080821T2100Z/
/O.CON.KJAX.TR.A.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
NASSAU-DUVAL-ST JOHNS-FLAGLER-
546 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK FOR FAY IS ADJUSTED ONLY SLIGHTLY
EASTWARD...STILL ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST FLORIDA LATE
TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN
NASSAU...DUVAL...ST JOHNS AND FLAGLER COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST
FLORIDA.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE COAST OF NORTHEAST
FLORIDA FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO FLAGLER BEACH. A TROPICAL STORM
WIND WATCH CONTINUES FOR INLAND COUNTIES OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA.
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

A FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ALL OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS AND VISITORS IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE
POTENTIAL OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...AND HEAVY RAINFALL
WHICH MAY CAUSE FLOODING.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH...OR FREQUENT GUSTS AT OR ABOVE TROPICAL
STORM STRENGTH...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

ONSHORE WINDS COULD RESULT IN TIDES OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
ALONG THE COAST...ESPECIALLY IF THE STORM TRACK SHIFTS FURTHER TO
THE EAST.

...WINDS...

AS FAY APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH...WINDS WILL INCREASE TUESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH
WITH HIGHER GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE BEGINNING TUESDAY NIGHT AND
CONTINUING THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

FOR JACKSONVILLE...

THERE IS A 45 PERCENT CHANCE OF WINDS 34 KT /39 MPH/ OR GREATER...
WHICH MAY BEGIN LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON OR TUESDAY NIGHT.

THERE IS A 3 PERCENT CHANCE OF WINDS 64 KT /74 MPH/ OR GREATER.

...INLAND FLOODING...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD POTENTIALLY REACH 4 TO 8 INCHES THROUGH
THURSDAY IF THE STORM SLOWS ITS FORWARD MOTION SUBSTANTIALLY. THIS
AMOUNT OF RAIN CAN PRODUCE FLOODING OF ROADS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
WITH POOR DRAINAGE. KNOWN INTERSECTIONS WITH VERY POOR DRAINAGE
MAY HAVE WATER LEVELS UP TO 3 FEET. OTHER POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL
HAVE WATER RISES OF 1 FOOT.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA BEGINNING
TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1130 PM EDT.

$$

AMZ452-454-472-474-190500-
/O.CON.KJAX.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20 NM-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
546 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK FOR FAY IS ADJUSTED ONLY SLIGHTLY
EASTWARD...STILL ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST FLORIDA LATE TUESDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN
COASTAL NORTHEAST FLORIDA.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES IN EFFECT.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MARINERS SHOULD COMPLETE PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS TODAY AND OTHERWISE
NOT VENTURE FAR FROM PORT.

...WINDS...

AS THE CIRCULATION OF FAY APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH...WINDS WILL
GRADUALLY INCREASE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...POSSIBLY
REACHING TROPICAL STORM FORCE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

...TORNADOES...

THE COASTAL WATERS WILL BE LOCATED IN THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF
FAY. HISTORICALLY...THIS QUADRANT IS THE FAVORED AREA FOR
TORNADOES AND TORNADIC WATERSPOUTS...ESPECIALLY WITHIN OUTER RAIN
BANDS. THE THREAT FOR WATERSPOUTS WILL INCREASE LATE TUESDAY
INTO WEDNESDAY.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1130 PM.

$$

FLZ020>023-030>032-035>037-040-190500-
/O.CON.KJAX.TI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-080821T2100Z/
HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY-GILCHRIST-
ALACHUA-PUTNAM-MARION-
546 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...

...NEW INFORMATION...

THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK FOR FAY IS ADJUSTED ONLY SLIGHTLY
EASTWARD...STILL ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST FLORIDA LATE
TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN
HAMILTON...SUWANNEE...COLUMBIA...BAKER...UNION...BRADFORD...
CLAY...GILCHRIST...ALACHUA...PUTNAM
AND MARION COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT. A FLOOD WATCH IS
ALSO IN EFFECT.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS AND VISITORS IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE
POTENTIAL OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...AND HEAVY RAINFALL
WHICH MAY CAUSE FLOODING.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH...OR FREQUENT GUSTS AT OR ABOVE TROPICAL
STORM STRENGTH...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS.

...WINDS...

THE POSSIBILITY FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 MPH WITH
HIGHER GUSTS WILL EXIST BEGINNING TUESDAY EVENING AND CONTINUING
INTO WEDNESDAY.

...INLAND FLOODING...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS CAN
BE EXPECTED IN THE SUWANNEE VALLEY AREA THROUGH THURSDAY AND UP TO
3 TO 6 INCHES FARTHER EAST. THIS AMOUNT OF RAIN CAN PRODUCE
FLOODING OF ROADS...ESPECIALLY THOSE WITH POOR DRAINAGE. KNOWN
INTERSECTIONS WITH VERY POOR DRAINAGE MAY HAVE WATER LEVELS UP TO
3 FEET. OTHER POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL HAVE WATER RISES OF 1 FOOT.
THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVIER AMOUNTS WILL INCREASE IF FAY MOVES MORE
SLOWLY THEN CURRENTLY FORECAST.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE BEGINNING TUESDAY AFTERNOON
AND CONTINUING INTO WEDNESDAY...THOUGH THIS POTENTIAL WILL BE
GREATEST EAST OF HIGHWAY 301 IN THE MORE FAVORABLE FRONT QUADRANT
OF THE SYSTEM.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1130 PM.

$$

AMZ450-470-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-190500-
/O.NEW.KJAX.HU.S.1006.080818T2146Z-000000T0000Z/
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS-BACON-APPLING-WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-
BRANTLEY-INLAND GLYNN-COASTAL GLYNN-ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-
INLAND CAMDEN-COASTAL CAMDEN-
546 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...NEW INFORMATION...

TROPICAL STORM FAY IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AND MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWARD...
REACHING SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON THURSDAY. THE
EXPECTED SLOW MOTION OF FAY COULD RESULT IN EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AMOUNTS
ACROSS SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS AND VISITORS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FAY. STAY
TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TELEVISION
STATIONS FOR ANY UPDATES OR WARNINGS. FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE
WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX.

...INLAND FLOODING...

THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND ASSOCIATED FLOODING WILL EXIST
ESPECIALLY WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1130 PM.

$$

WOLF/LETRO

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