[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KTBW 182143 PAA
HLSTBW

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
543 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...TROPICAL STORM FAY NEAR KEY WEST MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST...

.AT 5 PM EDT...TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR KEY WEST AT
LATITUDE 24.6 DEGREES NORTH...81.9 DEGREES WEST OR ABOUT 145 MILES
SOUTH OF FORT MYERS...AND ABOUT 240 MILES SOUTH OF TAMPA. FAY IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT AND THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN KEY WEST WAS
998 MB...OR 29.47 INCHES. FAY MAY STILL MAKE LANDFALL IN SOUTHWEST
OR WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA ON TUESDAY AS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE.

FLZ043-190400-
/O.CAN.KTBW.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KTBW.TI.A.0001.080818T2143Z-080820T0800Z/
SUMTER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUSHNELL...THE VILLAGES
543 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

A TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR SUMTER COUNTY.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH IS IN EFFECT.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WATCH AREA ARE ENCOURAGED TO FREQUENTLY
MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE
LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM
FAY. LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA
BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ).

...WINDS...

MAXIMUM WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS MAY AFFECT
THE WATCH AREA LATE TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 50 TO 55 PERCENT
CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH...
BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA BEGINNING EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS LESS THAN A 5 PERCENT
CHANCE THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER...
WILL AFFECT THE AREA.

...INLAND FLOODING...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA LATE
TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TONIGHT OR ON TUESDAY.

...TORNADOES...

THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS
THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD
JUST EAST OF THE AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...THE TORNADO
THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE LOW.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1130 PM EDT.

$$

FLZ050-051-GMZ830-190400-
/O.NEW.KTBW.TR.W.1006.080818T2143Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTBW.HU.A.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-TAMPA BAY WATERS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLEARWATER...ST. PETERSBURG...BRANDON...
TAMPA
543 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR HILLSBOROUGH AND
PINELLAS COUNTIES...AS WELL AS TAMPA BAY AND THE WATERS NORTH OF
ANNA MARIA ISLAND TO TARPON SPRINGS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA. A HURRICANE
WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ANNA MARIA ISLAND IN
MANATEE COUNTY TO TARPON SPRINGS IN PINELLAS COUNTY INCLUDING TAMPA
BAY. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM TUESDAY.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WARNED AREA ARE URGED TO PREPARE FOR THE
ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS BEFORE IT GETS DARK THIS EVENING.
GUSTY WINDS IN OUTER RAIN BANDS MAY MAKE IT DIFFICULT TO TAKE
PROTECTIVE ACTIONS TUESDAY MORNING. ALSO...IT IS A GOOD IDEA TO
MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE
LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM
FAY. LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA
BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ).

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

A SURGE OF 2 FEET IS POSSIBLE IF FAY TRACKS FURTHER OFFSHORE
TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. ASTRONOMICAL TIDE LEVELS MUST BE ADDED
TO THESE SURGE VALUES TO DETERMINE TOTAL STORM TIDE LEVELS.

...WINDS...

MAXIMUM WINDS OF 50 TO 60 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS ARE EXPECTED
TO AFFECT THE WARNED AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...ESPECIALLY
NEAR THE CENTER OF THE STORM.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 45 TO 60 PERCENT
CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH...
BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA BEGINNING EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS ONLY A 5 PERCENT CHANCE
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER...WILL
AFFECT THE AREA.

...INLAND FLOODING...

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A FLOOD WATCH IS CURRENTLY IN
EFFECT FOR THE AREA.

...TORNADOES...

THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS
THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD
ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY EVENING...THE TORNADO THREAT
FOR THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1130 PM EDT.

$$

FLZ052-190400-
/O.UPG.KTBW.HI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-080820T0500Z/
/O.NEW.KTBW.TI.W.0001.080818T2143Z-080820T0800Z/
POLK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAKELAND...WINTER HAVEN
543 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...

A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR POLK COUNTY. THE
HURRICANE WIND WATCH HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT. A FLOOD WATCH
REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM TUESDAY.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WARNED AREA ARE URGED TO PREPARE FOR THE
ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS BEFORE IT GETS DARK THIS EVENING.
GUSTY WINDS IN OUTER RAIN BANDS MAY MAKE IT DIFFICULT TO TAKE
PROTECTIVE ACTIONS TUESDAY MORNING. ALSO...IT IS A GOOD IDEA TO
MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE
LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM
FAY. LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA
BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ).

...WINDS...

MAXIMUM WINDS OF 50 TO 60 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS ARE EXPECTED
TO AFFECT THE WARNED AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 60 TO 75 PERCENT
CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH...
BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS ONLY A 5 PERCENT CHANCE THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER... WILL AFFECT THE AREA.

...INLAND FLOODING...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A FLOOD
WATCH IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA.

...TORNADOES...

THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS
THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD
ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...THE TORNADO THREAT FOR
THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1130 PM EDT.

$$

FLZ056-057-190400-
/O.EXT.KTBW.HI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080820T0800Z/
HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAUCHULA...SEBRING...AVON PARK
543 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...HURRICANE WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...

NO NEW INFORMATION.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A HURRICANE WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN
EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM TUESDAY.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WARNED AREA ARE URGED TO PREPARE FOR THE
ONSET OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS BEFORE IT GETS DARK THIS EVENING.
DAMAGING WINDS MAY ALREADY BE OCCURRING BY FIRST LIGHT ON
TUESDAY. MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS
MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH
TROPICAL STORM FAY. LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA
BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ).

...WINDS...

MAXIMUM WINDS OF 55 TO 65 MPH WITH GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE ARE
EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE WARNED AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 70 TO 80 PERCENT
CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH...
BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT.
THERE IS ALSO A 5 TO 7 PERCENT CHANCE THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER...WILL AFFECT THE AREA.

...INLAND FLOODING...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A FLOOD
WATCH IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA.

...TORNADOES...

THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS
THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD
ACROSS THE AREA...THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE
MODERATE TO HIGH.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1130 PM EDT.

$$

FLZ055-060>062-065-GMZ853-856-873-876-190400-
/O.CON.KTBW.HU.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MANATEE-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRADENTON...SARASOTA...VENICE...
ARCADIA...PORT CHARLOTTE...PUNTA GORDA...CAPE CORAL...FORT MYERS
543 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

NO NEW INFORMATION.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BONITA BEACH IN LEE
COUNTY TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND IN MANATEE COUNTY. A FLOOD WATCH ALSO
REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM TUESDAY.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WARNED AREA ARE URGED TO PREPARE FOR THE
ONSET OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS BEFORE IT GETS DARK THIS EVENING.
DAMAGING WINDS MAY ALREADY BE OCCURRING BY FIRST LIGHT ON TUESDAY.
ALSO...IT IS A GOOD IDEA TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER
LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING
SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY. LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA
BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ).

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THE MAXIMUM EXPECTED STORM SURGE IS
3 TO 5 FEET ALONG THE LEE AND CHARLOTTE COUNTY COASTS INCLUDING
THE UPPER PORTIONS OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR TUESDAY MORNING. FURTHER
NORTH ALONG THE SARASOTA AND MANATEE COUNTY COAST A SURGE OF 2 TO
4 FEET IS POSSIBLE. ASTRONOMICAL TIDE LEVELS MUST BE ADDED TO
THESE SURGE VALUES TO DETERMINE TOTAL STORM TIDE LEVELS.

...WINDS...

MAXIMUM WINDS OF 65 TO 75 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS ARE EXPECTED
TO AFFECT THE WARNED AREA TUESDAY. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR
NEAR TO WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 60 TO 80 PERCENT
CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH...
BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WARNED AREA BEGINNING EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS ALSO A 5 TO 9 PERCENT
CHANCE THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER...
WILL AFFECT THE AREA.

...INLAND FLOODING...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A
FLOOD WATCH IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA.

...TORNADOES...

THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS
THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD
ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING THE TORNADO THREAT FOR
THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE TO HIGH.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1130 PM EDT.

$$

FLZ039-042-048-049-GMZ850-870-190400-
/O.CON.KTBW.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LEVY-CITRUS-HERNANDO-PASCO-
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 NM-
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CEDAR KEY...CHIEFLAND...CRYSTAL RIVER...
INVERNESS...BROOKSVILLE...SPRING HILL...NEW PORT RICHEY...
ZEPHYRHILLS
543 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...NEW INFORMATION...

NO UPDATES/CHANGES AT THIS TIME.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS AND VISITORS ARE ENCOURAGED TO FREQUENTLY MONITOR NOAA
WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST
INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY.
LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA
BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ).

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

NO SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

...WINDS...

WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE RAIN BANDS
AS WEAKENING TROPICAL STORM FAY MOVES BY TO THE EAST TUESDAY
NIGHT.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 30 TO 50 PERCENT
CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH...
BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THERE IS LESS THAN A 5 PERCENT CHANCE
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER...WILL
AFFECT THE AREA.

...INLAND FLOODING...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A FLOOD
WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THIS AREA LATER TONIGHT OR TUESDAY.

...TORNADOES...

THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS
THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. SINCE FAY WILL BE MOVING BY
TO THE EAST...THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE LOW.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1130 PM EDT.

$$

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