[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KKEY 181304
HLSKEY

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
900 AM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS...

.AT 800 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED INLAND
OVER CENTRAL CUBA NEAR LATITUDE 23.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.2 WEST OR
ABOUT 100 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH A TURN TO THE NORTH
EXPECTED ON TUESDAY. THE CENTER OF FAY SHOULD BE EMERGING INTO THE
FLORIDA STRAITS LATER THIS MORNING...AND BE VERY NEAR THE FLORIDA
KEYS LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME
STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE AFTER THE CENTER OF FAY EMERGES OVER
WATER. FAY IS FORECAST TO BE APPROACHING HURRICANE STRENGTH NEAR THE
FLORIDA KEYS AND TO BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE IT REACHES THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB OR 29.59 INCHES.

GMZ031>033-052>054-072>075-191300-
/O.CON.KKEY.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KKEY.HU.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
FLORIDA BAY-GULF SIDE OF THE LOWER KEYS OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM-
CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE OUT 20 NM-
WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST OUT 20 NM-
OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
KEY WEST TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS OUT 60 NM-
900 AM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

STORM INFORMATION UPDATED FOR THE 8 AM ADVISORY.
INFORMATION ABOUT KEY WEST AIRPORT.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT DETAILS SPECIFIC PREPAREDNESS AND SAFETY ACTIONS
TO BE TAKEN IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY CONCERNING THE
EFFECTS OF TROPICAL STORM FAY.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS.
A HURRICANE WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT WILL CLOSE AT 10 AM. ALL KEYS CITY
AND COUNTY OFFICES WILL BE CLOSED TODAY...EXCEPT ISLAMORADA WHICH
WILL CLOSE AT NOON TODAY. THE FOLLOWING KEYS SHELTERS ARE OPEN...KEY
WEST HIGH SCHOOL AT 2100 FLAGLER AVENUE... SUGARLOAF ELEMENTARY
SCHOOL AT MILE MARKER 19...STANLEY SWITLIK ELEMENTARY SCHOOL AT 3400
OVERSEAS HIGHWAY IN MARATHON...AND CORAL SHORES HIGH SCHOOL AT MILE
MARKER 89 ON PLANTATION KEY. MOBILE HOME RESIDENTS...THOSE IN
LOW-LYING AREAS AND BOAT LIVE-ABOARDS SHOULD EVACUATE TO THESE
SHELTERS. HIGH-PROFILE VEHICLES...SUCH AS RECREATIONAL VEHICLES AND
TRUCKS...SHOULD BE OUT OF THE FLORIDA KEYS PRIOR TO MIDDAY TODAY. THE
SNAKE CREEK DRAWBRIDGE...IN ISLAMORADA...WILL NOT OPEN TO MARINE
VESSELS...UPON THE ARRIVAL OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. THE PORT OF
KEY WEST IS CLOSED. ALL MONROE COUNTY SCHOOLS WILL BE CLOSED TODAY
AND TUESDAY. RESIDENTS ARE ASKED TO SECURE TRASH BINS AS QUICKLY AS
POSSIBLE AFTER THE PICKUP THIS MORNING. THE MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY
INFORMATION PHONE LINE IS OPERATIONAL AT 800-955-5504...AND THE KEY
WEST EMERGENCY OPERATIONS CENTER RUMOR CONTROL HOTLINE IS ALSO
OPERATIONAL AT 305-809-1108.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

IT IS STILL TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT LOCATIONS AND
MAGNITUDES OF ANY SPECIFIC STORM TIDES TO BE CAUSED BY TROPICAL
STORM FAY. THESE WILL DEPEND HEAVILY ON THE PRECISE
STRUCTURE...INTENSITY AND TRACK OF THE STORM AS IT EMERGES FROM THE
NORTH COAST OF CUBA INTO THE FLORIDA STRAITS. IN GENERAL...STORM
TIDES OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE SEA LEVEL WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY FROM
THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. AT THIS TIME...THE STORM
SURGE IS MOSTLY EXPECTED TO OCCUR FROM THE ATLANTIC SIDE.
HOWEVER...IF FAY TRACKS FURTHER TO THE EAST THAN PRESENTLY
FORECAST...NORTH WINDS ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE STORM COULD CAUSE A
MINOR GULF SIDE SURGE INSTEAD. THE FOLLOWING ARE THE EXPECTED TIMES
OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES THROUGHOUT THE KEYS...

AT KEY WEST HARBOR...
11:32 AM TODAY...12:04 AM TUESDAY...12:16 PM TUESDAY

IN MARATHON AT VACA CUT...
10:21 AM TODAY...10:53 PM TONIGHT...11:05 AM TUESDAY

IN ISLAMORADA AT WHALE HARBOR CHANNEL...
10:38 AM TODAY...10:57 PM TONIGHT...11:21 AM TUESDAY

NEAR KEY LARGO AT ROCK HARBOR...
10:44 AM TODAY...11:03 PM TONIGHT...11:27 AM TUESDAY

...WINDS...

ADDITIONAL RAIN BANDS OVER THE OUTER STRAITS WILL IMPACT THE LOWER
AND MIDDLE KEYS BY MID TO LATE THIS MORNING...WITH LOCAL WIND GUSTS
UP TO 45 MPH WITHIN THESE RAIN BANDS. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO IMPACT PORTIONS OF THE KEYS BEGINNING AROUND
NOON. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH ARE EXPECTED TO
OCCUR ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE KEYS TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING.
GUSTS UP TO HURRICANE FORCE WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING.

THESE WINDS ARE CAPABLE OF CAUSING DAMAGE TO UNANCHORED MOBILE
HOMES...PORCHES...CARPORTS AND AWNINGS. LOOSE OBJECTS...SUCH AS
TRASH CANS AND LAWN FURNITURE WILL BE EASILY BLOWN AROUND AND CAN
BECOME DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. WINDS WILL BE DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES AND
CAUSEWAYS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A FEW POWER OUTAGES
ARE POSSIBLE.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

FOR KEY WEST...THERE IS A 66 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39
MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 5 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 74
MPH OR GREATER.

FOR MARATHON...THERE IS A 61 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39
MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 3 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 74
MPH OR GREATER.

FOR MIAMI...THERE IS A 33 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39 MPH OR
GREATER. THERE IS A 2 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 74 MPH OR
GREATER.

...RAINFALL IMPACTS...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH LOCAL MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP
TO 10 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA KEYS DURING THE
PASSAGE OF FAY. THESE AMOUNTS WOULD LIKELY CAUSE WIDESPREAD PONDING
OF WATER...AND SOME FRESHWATER FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS. THE
HEAVIEST PERIODS OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT.

...TORNADOES...

THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED TORNADOES WITH THE PASSAGE OF
TROPICAL STORM FAY...FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

...MARINE IMPACTS...

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE ALREADY AFFECTING THE KEYS
COASTAL WATERS THIS MORNING...AND SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO IMPACT THE KEYS COASTAL WATERS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING. FURTHERMORE...BUILDING SEAS WILL MAKE FOR VERY
DANGEROUS MARINE CONDITIONS. SEAS BEYOND THE REEF MAY BUILD TO 8 TO
13 FEET TONIGHT...WHILE SEAS INSIDE THE REEF BUILD TO 2 TO 4
FEET...AND SEAS ON THE GULF SIDE BUILD TO 5 TO 8 FEET.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF TROPICAL
STORM FAY TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED AT AROUND NOON...OR
SOONER IF NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

$$

FLZ076>078-191300-
/O.CON.KKEY.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KKEY.HU.A.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MONROE UPPER KEYS-MONROE MIDDLE KEYS-MONROE LOWER KEYS-
853 AM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

..TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

STORM INFORMATION UPDATED FOR THE 8 AM ADVISORY.
INFORMATION ABOUT KEY WEST AIRPORT.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT DETAILS SPECIFIC PREPAREDNESS AND SAFETY ACTIONS
TO BE TAKEN IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY CONCERNING THE
EFFECTS OF TROPICAL STORM FAY.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS.
A HURRICANE WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT WILL CLOSE AT 10 AM. ALL KEYS CITY
AND COUNTY OFFICES WILL BE CLOSED TODAY...EXCEPT ISLAMORADA WHICH
WILL CLOSE AT NOON TODAY. THE FOLLOWING KEYS SHELTERS ARE OPEN...KEY
WEST HIGH SCHOOL AT 2100 FLAGLER AVENUE... SUGARLOAF ELEMENTARY
SCHOOL AT MILE MARKER 19...STANLEY SWITLIK ELEMENTARY SCHOOL AT 3400
OVERSEAS HIGHWAY IN MARATHON...AND CORAL SHORES HIGH SCHOOL AT MILE
MARKER 89 ON PLANTATION KEY. MOBILE HOME RESIDENTS...THOSE IN LOW-
LYING AREAS AND BOAT LIVE-ABOARDS SHOULD EVACUATE TO THESE SHELTERS.
HIGH-PROFILE VEHICLES...SUCH AS RECREATIONAL VEHICLES AND
TRUCKS...SHOULD BE OUT OF THE FLORIDA KEYS PRIOR TO MIDDAY TODAY. THE
SNAKE CREEK DRAWBRIDGE...IN ISLAMORADA...WILL NOT OPEN TO MARINE
VESSELS...UPON THE ARRIVAL OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. THE PORT OF
KEY WEST IS CLOSED. ALL MONROE COUNTY SCHOOLS WILL BE CLOSED TODAY
AND TUESDAY. RESIDENTS ARE ASKED TO SECURE TRASH BINS AS QUICKLY AS
POSSIBLE AFTER THE PICKUP THIS MORNING. THE MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY
INFORMATION PHONE LINE IS OPERATIONAL AT 800-955-5504...AND THE KEY
WEST EMERGENCY OPERATIONS CENTER RUMOR CONTROL HOTLINE IS ALSO
OPERATIONAL AT 305-809-1108.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

IT IS STILL TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT LOCATIONS AND
MAGNITUDES OF ANY SPECIFIC STORM TIDES TO BE CAUSED BY TROPICAL
STORM FAY. THESE WILL DEPEND HEAVILY ON THE PRECISE
STRUCTURE...INTENSITY AND TRACK OF THE STORM AS IT EMERGES FROM THE
NORTH COAST OF CUBA INTO THE FLORIDA STRAITS. IN GENERAL...STORM
TIDES OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE SEA LEVEL WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY FROM
THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. AT THIS TIME...THE STORM
SURGE IS MOSTLY EXPECTED TO OCCUR FROM THE ATLANTIC SIDE.
HOWEVER...IF FAY TRACKS FURTHER TO THE EAST THAN PRESENTLY
FORECAST...NORTH WINDS ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE STORM COULD CAUSE A
MINOR GULF SIDE SURGE INSTEAD. THE FOLLOWING ARE THE EXPECTED TIMES
OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES THROUGHOUT THE KEYS...

AT KEY WEST HARBOR...
11:32 AM TODAY...12:04 AM TUESDAY...12:16 PM TUESDAY

IN MARATHON AT VACA CUT...
10:21 AM TODAY...10:53 PM TONIGHT...11:05 AM TUESDAY

IN ISLAMORADA AT WHALE HARBOR CHANNEL...
10:38 AM TODAY...10:57 PM TONIGHT...11:21 AM TUESDAY

NEAR KEY LARGO AT ROCK HARBOR...
10:44 AM TODAY...11:03 PM TONIGHT...11:27 AM TUESDAY

...WINDS...

ADDITIONAL RAIN BANDS OVER THE OUTER STRAITS WILL IMPACT THE LOWER
AND MIDDLE KEYS BY MID TO LATE THIS MORNING...WITH LOCAL WIND GUSTS
UP TO 45 MPH WITHIN THESE RAIN BANDS. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO IMPACT PORTIONS OF THE KEYS BEGINNING AROUND
NOON. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH ARE EXPECTED TO
OCCUR ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE KEYS TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING.
GUSTS UP TO HURRICANE FORCE WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING.

THESE WINDS ARE CAPABLE OF CAUSING DAMAGE TO UNANCHORED MOBILE
HOMES...PORCHES...CARPORTS AND AWNINGS. LOOSE OBJECTS...SUCH AS
TRASH CANS AND LAWN FURNITURE WILL BE EASILY BLOWN AROUND AND CAN
BECOME DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. WINDS WILL BE DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES AND
CAUSEWAYS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A FEW POWER OUTAGES
ARE POSSIBLE.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

FOR KEY WEST...THERE IS A 66 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39
MPH OR GREATER...MOST LIKELY TO BEGIN BETWEEN 2 AM AND 2 AM TUE.

THERE IS A 5 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 74 MPH OR
GREATER...MOST LIKELY TO BEGIN BETWEEN 2 AM AND 2 AM TUE.

FOR MARATHON...THERE IS A 61 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39
MPH OR GREATER...MOST LIKELY TO BEGIN BETWEEN 2 AM AND 2 AM TUE.

THERE IS A 3 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 74 MPH OR
GREATER...MOST LIKELY TO BEGIN BETWEEN 2 AM AND 2 AM TUE.

FOR MIAMI...THERE IS A 33 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39 MPH OR
GREATER...MOST LIKELY TO BEGIN BETWEEN 2 PM AND 2 PM TUE.

THERE IS A 2 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 74 MPH OR
GREATER...MOST LIKELY TO BEGIN BETWEEN 2 PM AND 2 PM TUE.

...RAINFALL IMPACTS...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH LOCAL MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP
TO 10 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA KEYS DURING THE
PASSAGE OF FAY. THESE AMOUNTS WOULD LIKELY CAUSE WIDESPREAD PONDING
OF WATER...AND SOME FRESHWATER FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS. THE
HEAVIEST PERIODS OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT.

...TORNADOES...

THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED TORNADOES WITH THE PASSAGE OF
TROPICAL STORM FAY...FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

...MARINE IMPACTS...

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE ALREADY AFFECTING THE KEYS
COASTAL WATERS THIS MORNING...AND SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO IMPACT THE KEYS COASTAL WATERS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING. FURTHERMORE...BUILDING SEAS WILL MAKE FOR VERY
DANGEROUS MARINE CONDITIONS. SEAS BEYOND THE REEF MAY BUILD TO 8 TO
13 FEET TONIGHT...WHILE SEAS INSIDE THE REEF BUILD TO 2 TO 4
FEET...AND SEAS ON THE GULF SIDE BUILD TO 5 TO 8 FEET.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF TROPICAL
STORM FAY TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED AT AROUND NOON...OR
SOONER IF NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

$$







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