[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sun Aug 17 17:34:26 CDT 2008
WTUS82 KMFL 172234
HLSMFL
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
634 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008
...HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM WATCHES CONTINUE FOR SOUTH FLORIDA...
.AT 5 PM EDT THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.0 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 80.2 WEST. THIS IS ABOUT 330
MILES SOUTH OF MIAMI OR 360 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF NAPLES.
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. A TURN TO THE
NORTHWEST AND NORTH AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TONIGHT
AND MONDAY AS THE STORM EMERGES OVER THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA ON
MONDAY. FAY WILL BE APPROACHING THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTHEASTERN
GULF OF MEXICO MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLOW
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS, AND FAY IS
EXPECTED TO BE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH NEAR THE FLORIDA KEYS AND
SOUTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO.
FLZ069-075-174-180600-
/O.CON.KMFL.HU.A.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL COLLIER-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-MAINLAND MONROE-
634 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS HAVE BEEN UPDATED.
STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE INFORMATION HAS BEEN UPDATED.
WINDS INFORMATION HAS BEEN UPDATED.
PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS HAVE BEEN UPDATED.
INLAND FLOODING INFORMATION HAS BEEN UPDATED.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
COASTAL COLLIER...FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE...MAINLAND MONROE.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS
AREA: HURRICANE WATCH. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO GO OVER THEIR PREPAREDNESS PLANS AND
RESTOCK ON PROVISIONS SUCH AS
BATTERIES FOR RADIOS AND FLASHLIGHTS
DRINKING WATER, RECOMMENDED ONE GALLON PER PERSON PER DAY
CANNED OR DRIED FOOD, REMEMBER THE CAN OPENER
FIRST AID SUPPLIES
PRESCRIPTION MEDICINE
CASH BECAUSE CREDIT CARDS AND ATM MAY NOT WORK IF POWER IS OUT
FUEL FOR AUTOMOBILES, GENERATORS AND CHAIN SAWS.
PATIO FURNITURE SHOULD BE BROUGHT INDOORS AS TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
CAN TURN THEM INTO PROJECTILES. ELECTION SIGNS SHOULD ALSO BE TAKEN
DOWN TO PREVENT THEM FROM FLYING AROUND. IF OR WHEN TROPICAL STORM
OR HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE ISSUED, PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AT THIS TIME IT IS TOO EARLY TO PROVIDE DETAILED INFORMATION ON
WHAT THE SURGE IMPACT COULD SPECIFICALLY BE ALONG THE SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA COAST AS IT IS HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE EXACT TRACK SIZE
AND INTENSITY OF FAY. HOWEVER, A SIGNIFICANT STORM TIDE IS POSSIBLE
WITH FAY, PARTICULARLY IF THE STORM ENDS UP BEING STRONGER AND
TRACKS EAST OF THE FORECAST TRACK WITH THE EFFECT BEING GREATEST AT
THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE ON TUESDAY.
ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF FAY WOULD PASS ABOUT
60 TO 90 MILES OFFSHORE THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COAST AS A
CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE. GIVEN THE FORECAST WIND CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA AS THE STORM PASSES, A STORM TIDE OF 2 TO 4
FEET IS POSSIBLE IN THE CAPE SABLE AND FLAMINGO AREAS OF EVERGLADES
NATIONAL PARK PARTICULARLY AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE AROUND 3 TO
4 AM AND AGAIN AROUND 3 TO 4 PM TUESDAY. HIGHER STORM TIDE VALUES OF
4 TO 7 FEET ARE ALSO POSSIBLE FARTHER NORTH ALONG THE MAINLAND MONROE
AND COLLIER COUNTY COASTLINES, PARTICULARLY AT THE SECOND HIGH TIDE
AROUND 2 TO 3 PM TUESDAY. FLOODING OF COASTAL ROADS ALONG THE
IMMEDIATE COAST IS POSSIBLE PARTICULARLY AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE.
RESIDENTS OF COASTAL COMMUNITIES ALONG THE COLLIER COUNTY COAST ARE
URGED TO MONITOR THE LATEST INFORMATION AND BE READY TO EVACUATE IF
ORDERED TO DO BY COLLIER COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.
...WINDS...
WITH THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK, WINDS ALONG THE SOUTHWEST GULF
COAST WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE MONDAY AFTERNOON, WITH GUSTS TO
TROPICAL STORM FORCE LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS WITH GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE IN SQUALLS ARE POSSIBLE
ESPECIALLY FOR THE METRO COLLIER COASTLINE INCLUDING NAPLES AND
MARCO ISLAND, FROM AROUND MIDNIGHT MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH MID
AFTERNOON TUESDAY, PEAKING DURING THE DAYLIGHT MORNING HOURS ON TUESDAY.
HOWEVER A TRACK CLOSER OR OVER THE COLLIER OR MAINLAND MONROE
COASTLINE COULD RESULT IN AT LEAST CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE FORCE
SUSTAINED WINDS IN EXCESS OF 74 MPH. THEREFORE A HURRICANE WATCH IS
IN EFFECT.
ALL RESIDENTS OF COLLIER COASTAL COMMUNITIES INCLUDING METRO NAPLES
AND MARCO ISLAND SHOULD BE READY TO TAKE QUICK PROTECTIVE ACTIONS
SHOULD THE AREA BE PLACED UNDER A TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE
WARNING.
FOR PORTIONS OF FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE ADJACENT TO FLORIDA BAY ONLY
MARGINAL TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLY AT THIS TIME
PARTICULARLY LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THERE IS NOW A 60 TO 70 PERCENT CHANCE OF THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA
GULF COAST EXPERIENCING TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS, WINDS OF 39 TO 73
MPH, WITH FAY. THERE IS ABOUT A 5 TO 10 PERCENT CHANCE OF THE
SOUTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COAST EXPERIENCING HURRICANE CONDITIONS, OR
WINDS OF 74 MPH OR GREATER.
...INLAND FLOODING...
ASSUMING THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK, RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO
3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS EVENT, WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH MAY BE ISSUED FOR MAINLAND SOUTH
FLORIDA LATE TONIGHT OR ON MONDAY DEPENDING ON THE EVOLUTION OF
THE EVENT.
...TORNADOES...
MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA WILL BE IN THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF FAY
FOR MOST OF THE DAY MONDAY AND THE MORNING HOURS ON TUESDAY. THIS
QUADRANT IS A FAVORED LOCATION FOR SMALL QUICK STRIKING TORNADOES,
ESPECIALLY IN THE SPIRAL BANDS OF SQUALLS.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 9 PM EDT.
$$
GMZ656-657-676-180600-
/O.CON.KMFL.HU.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
634 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS HAVE BEEN UPDATED.
STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE INFORMATION HAS BEEN UPDATED.
PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS HAVE BEEN UPDATED.
MARINE IMPACTS INFORMATION HAS BEEN UPDATED.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS: COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE
TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE
TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20NM.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS
AREA: HURRICANE WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MARINERS SHOULD BE TAKING ACTION NOW TO PROTECT MARINE CRAFT
ALLOWING PLENTY OF EXTRA TIME FOR THE LIKELIHOOD OF A STORM TIDE
AND HIGH WINDS. SECURING MARINE CRAFT IN MARINAS OR ALONGSIDE
DOCKS SHOULD ALLOW EXTRA LINE FOR THE RISE AND FALL OF THE STORM
TIDE.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THERE IS BETTER THAN 70 PERCENT CHANCE OF THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA GULF
COASTAL WATERS EXPERIENCING TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS, WINDS OF 39
TO 73 MPH, WITH FAY. THERE IS ABOUT A 10 TO 15 PERCENT CHANCE OF THE
SOUTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COASTAL WATERS EXPERIENCING HURRICANE
CONDITIONS, OR WINDS OF 74 MPH OR GREATER.
...TORNADOES...
SOUTH FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS WILL BE IN THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF
FAY FOR MOST OF THE DAY MONDAY AND THE MORNING HOURS TUESDAY. THIS
QUADRANT IS A FAVORED LOCATION FOR SMALL QUICK STRIKING TORNADOES OR
WATERSPOUTS, ESPECIALLY IN THE SPIRAL BANDS OF SQUALLS.
...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...
ASSUMING THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK, TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
GUSTING NEAR HURRICANE FORCE ARE LIKELY LATE MONDAY EVENING, WITH
CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS LIKELY AROUND MIDNIGHT AND
CONTINUING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. SEAS WILL LIKELY BUILD IN EXCESS
OF 10 FEET OFFSHORE AND FROM 5 TO 10 FEET NEARSHORE. SURF ALONG
THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY ROUGH AND
DANGEROUS BEGINNING LATE MONDAY, AND ESPECIALLY ON TUESDAY, AS WINDS
INCREASE. MARINERS SHOULD SEEK SAFE PORT AND STAY THERE THROUGH
TUESDAY. BEACH EROSION IS LIKELY AS FAY PASSES BY THE AREA AND
STRONG RIP CURRENTS WILL ALSO BE LIKELY. THERE IS STILL CONSIDERABLE
UNCERTAINTY CONCERNING THE EXACT PATH AND INTENSITY OF FAY. IT IS
IMPORTANT TO BEGIN TAKING PRECAUTIONS AS SOON AS POSSIBLE TO PROTECT
MARINE CRAFT AND SHORELINE PROPERTY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 9 PM EDT.
$$
FLZ168-172-173-180600-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.A.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-
634 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS HAVE BEEN UPDATED.
STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE INFORMATION HAS BEEN UPDATED.
WINDS INFORMATION HAS BEEN UPDATED.
PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS HAVE BEEN UPDATED.
INLAND FLOODING INFORMATION HAS BEEN UPDATED.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
COASTAL BROWARD...COASTAL MIAMI DADE...COASTAL PALM BEACH.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS
AREA: TROPICAL STORM WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO GO OVER THEIR PREPAREDNESS PLANS AND RESTOCK
ON PROVISIONS SUCH AS...
BATTERIES FOR RADIOS AND FLASHLIGHTS
DRINKING WATER, RECOMMENDED ONE GALLON PER PERSON PER DAY
CANNED OR DRIED FOOD, REMEMBER THE CAN OPENER
FIRST AID SUPPLIES
PRESCRIPTION MEDICINE
CASH BECAUSE CREDIT CARDS AND ATM MAY NOT WORK IF POWER IS OUT
FUEL FOR AUTOMOBILES, GENERATORS AND CHAIN SAWS.
PATIO FURNITURE SHOULD BE BROUGHT INDOORS AS TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
CAN TURN THEM INTO PROJECTILES. ELECTION SIGNS SHOULD ALSO BE TAKEN DOWN
TO PREVENT THEM FROM FLYING AROUND. IF OR WHEN TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE
ISSUED, PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY.
DESPITE THE WESTWARD SHIFT IN THE FORECAST TRACK, THE POSSIBILITY OF
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE STILL RATHER HIGH. ALL PERSONS ARE
URGED TO REMAIN ALERT AND COMPLETE PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS IF THE TRACK
CHANGES BACK TO THE EAST TONIGHT AND MONDAY.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
LITTLE IMPACT FROM STORM TIDE IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHEAST
FLORIDA ATLANTIC COAST AT THIS TIME.
...WINDS...
GIVEN THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK, WINDS WILL BE INCREASING
ACROSS COASTAL MIAMI-DADE, BROWARD AND PALM BEACH COUNTIES LATE
MONDAY, WITH WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY
MORNING AND GUSTING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ACROSS MIAMI-DADE,
BROWARD, AND PALM BEACH COUNTIES. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY IN THE
FORECAST THIS COULD CHANGE ONE WAY OR THE OTHER AND THEREFORE THE
TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA
COAST.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THERE IS A 40 TO 45 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS IN
THE METRO MIAMI, FORT LAUDERDALE, AND WEST PALM BEACH AREAS. THERE
IS A LESS THAN 5 PERCENT CHANCE OF HURRICANE CONDITIONS IN ALL
THREE LOCATIONS.
...INLAND FLOODING...
ASSUMING THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK, RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 3 TO
6 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS EVENT. A
FLOOD WATCH MAY BE ISSUED FOR MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA LATER TONIGHT
OR ON MONDAY.
...TORNADOES...
MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA WILL BE IN THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF FAY
ALL DAY MONDAY AND THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ON TUESDAY. THIS QUADRANT
IS A FAVORED LOCATION FOR SMALL QUICK STRIKING TORNADOES OR
WATERSPOUTS, ESPECIALLY IN THE SPIRAL BANDS OF SQUALLS.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 9 PM EDT.
$$
AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-180600-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BISCAYNE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT
20 NM-LAKE OKEECHOBEE-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM
TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
634 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS HAVE BEEN UPDATED.
STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE INFORMATION HAS BEEN UPDATED.
PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS HAVE BEEN UPDATED.
WATERSPOUT INFORMATION HAS BEEN UPDATED.
MARINE IMPACTS INFORMATION HAS BEEN UPDATED.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS: BISCAYNE BAY...COASTAL WATERS
FROM OCEAN REEF TO JUPITER INLET OUT 60 NM...AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS
AREA: TROPICAL STORM WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MARINERS SHOULD BE MAKING PLANS NOW TO PROTECT MARINE CRAFT,
ALLOWING PLENTY OF EXTRA TIME FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE, ASSUMING THE CURRENT FORECAST AND A LAKE
LEVEL NEAR 11.3 FEET, NO SIGNIFICANT STORM TIDE IMPACT IS
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME, ALTHOUGH LARGE FLUCTUATIONS IN LAKE LEVEL
ARE POSSIBLE AS THE WINDS SHIFT IN DIRECTION AND SPEED WITH THE
PASSING STORM.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THERE IS ABOUT A 30 TO 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS IN THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. THERE
IS LESS THAN A 5 PERCENT CHANCE OF HURRICANE CONDITIONS IN THE
SOUTHEAST FLORIDA ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.
...TORNADOES...
THE SOUTH FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS WILL BE IN THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT
OF FAY ALL DAY MONDAY AND THE MORNING HOURS TUESDAY. THIS QUADRANT
IS A FAVORED LOCATION FOR SMALL QUICK STRIKING TORNADOES OR
WATERSPOUTS, ESPECIALLY IN THE SPIRAL BANDS OF SQUALLS.
...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...
ASSUMING THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK, SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO
33 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE POSSIBLE BEGINNING
MONDAY EVENING AND SPREADING NORTH OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS AND LAKE
OKEECHOBEE THROUGHOUT MONDAY NIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO MUCH OF TUESDAY BEFORE
BEGINNING TO SUBSIDE FROM SOUTH TO NORTH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. SEAS
WILL BE BUILDING TO AS HIGH AS 7 TO 9 FEET DURING LATE MONDAY NIGHT
AND TUESDAY. THIS WILL ALL RESULT IN VERY ROUGH SURF AND POSSIBLY
MINOR BEACH EROSION. THE RISK OF STRONG DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL
BE HIGH ALONG THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST PARTICULAR LATE MONDAY
INTO TUESDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 9 PM EDT.
$$
FLZ063-066>068-070>074-180600-
/O.CON.KMFL.TI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-080820T0000Z/
GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND BROWARD-INLAND COLLIER-INLAND MIAMI DADE-
INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO BROWARD-METRO MIAMI DADE-METRO PALM BEACH-
634 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...
...NEW INFORMATION...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS HAVE BEEN UPDATED.
STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE INFORMATION HAS BEEN UPDATED.
WINDS INFORMATION HAS BEEN UPDATED.
PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS HAVE BEEN UPDATED.
INLAND FLOODING INFORMATION HAS BEEN UPDATED.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS: GLADES...HENDRY...INLAND
BROWARD...INLAND COLLIER...INLAND MIAMI DADE...INLAND PALM
BEACH...METRO BROWARD...METRO MIAMI DADE...METRO PALM BEACH.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS
AREA: TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO GO OVER THEIR PREPAREDNESS PLANS AND RESTOCK
ON PROVISIONS SUCH AS...
BATTERIES FOR RADIOS AND FLASHLIGHTS
DRINKING WATER, RECOMMENDED ONE GALLON PER PERSON PER DAY
CANNED OR DRIED FOOD, REMEMBER THE CAN OPENER
FIRST AID SUPPLIES
PRESCRIPTION MEDICINE
CASH BECAUSE CREDIT CARDS AND ATM MAY NOT WORK IF POWER IS OUT
FUEL FOR AUTOMOBILES GENERATORS AND CHAIN SAWS.
PATIO FURNITURE SHOULD BE BROUGHT INDOORS AS TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
CAN TURN THEM INTO PROJECTILES. ELECTION SIGNS SHOULD ALSO BE TAKEN DOWN
TO PREVENT THEM FROM FLYING AROUND. SHOULD A TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE
WIND WARNING BE ISSUED, PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD
BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
DESPITE THE WESTWARD SHIFT IN THE FORECAST TRACK, THE POSSIBILITY OF
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE STILL RATHER HIGH. ALL PERSONS ARE
URGED TO REMAIN ALERT AND COMPLETE PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS IF THE TRACK
CHANGES BACK TO THE EAST TONIGHT AND MONDAY.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
LITTLE IMPACT FROM STORM TIDE IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHEAST
FLORIDA ATLANTIC COAST AT THIS TIME.
FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE, ASSUMING THE CURRENT FORECAST AND A LAKE LEVEL
NEAR 11.3 FEET, NO SIGNIFICANT STORM TIDE IMPACT IS EXPECTED AT THIS
TIME, ALTHOUGH LARGE FLUCTUATIONS IN LAKE LEVEL ARE POSSIBLE AS THE
WINDS SHIFT IN DIRECTION AND SPEED WITH THE PASSING STORM.
...WINDS...
FOR INLAND AND METRO SECTIONS OF PALM BEACH, BROWARD, AND MIAMI DADE
COUNTIES, WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS
ARE POSSIBLE FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING WITH
CONDITIONS IMPROVING TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
ACROSS INLAND COLLIER, GLADES AND HENDRY COUNTIES, WINDS OF 35 TO 45
MPH WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 55 MPH IN RAIN BANDS ARE POSSIBLE FROM
LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. CONDITIONS WOULD
GRADUALLY IMPROVE DURING TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THERE IS A 40 TO 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS IN
METRO AND INLAND MIAMI DADE, BROWARD, AND PALM BEACH COUNTIES; AND
50 TO 60 PERCENT FOR INLAND COLLIER, HENDRY, AND GLADES COUNTIES.
THERE IS A LESS THAN 5 PERCENT CHANCE OF HURRICANE CONDITIONS IN ALL
INLAND LOCATIONS.
...INLAND FLOODING...
ASSUMING THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK, RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 3 TO
6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS EVENT WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. A
FLOOD WATCH MAY BE ISSUED FOR MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA LATER TODAY OR
ON MONDAY.
...TORNADOES...
MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA WILL BE IN THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF FAY
FOR MOST OF THE DAY MONDAY AND THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS TUESDAY.
THIS QUADRANT IS A FAVORED LOCATION FOR SMALL QUICK STRIKING
TORNADOES OR WATERSPOUTS, ESPECIALLY IN THE SPIRAL BANDS OF SQUALLS.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 9 PM EDT.
$$
MOLLEDA/SANTOS
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