[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sun Aug 17 17:29:32 CDT 2008


WTUS82 KKEY 172229
HLSKEY

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
630 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER AND MIDDLE KEYS...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS...

AT 5 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.2 WEST OR ABOUT 270 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. A TURN TO THE
NORTHWEST AND SLOWER SPEED IS EXPECTED TONIGHT...WITH A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTH EXPECTED MONDAY OR MONDAY NIGHT. FAY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
NEAR THE SOUTH COAST OF CUBA LATE TODAY...CROSS WESTERN CUBA
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT OR MONDAY MORNING...AND MOVE NEAR THE FLORIDA KEYS
MONDAY OR MONDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLOW
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND FAY
COULD BE APPROACHING HURRICANE STRENGTH WHEN IT REACHES WESTERN CUBA
TONIGHT AND WHEN IT APPROACHES THE FLORIDA KEYS MONDAY AND MONDAY
NIGHT.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.

GMZ053-054-073>075-182130-
/O.CON.KKEY.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KKEY.HU.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE OUT 20 NM-
WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST OUT 20 NM-
CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
KEY WEST TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS OUT 60 NM-
630 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

STORM INFORMATION IS UPDATED.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT DETAILS SPECIFIC PREPAREDNESS AND SAFETY ACTIONS
TO BE TAKEN IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY CONCERNING THE
EFFECTS OF TROPICAL STORM FAY.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER AND MIDDLE
KEYS...AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA
KEYS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ALL KEYS CITY AND COUNTY OFFICES WILL BE CLOSED MONDAY...EXCEPT
ISLAMORADA WHICH WILL CLOSE AT NOON MONDAY. THE FOLLOWING KEYS
SHELTERS...STANLEY SWITLIK...KEY WEST HIGH SCHOOL...SUGARLOAF SCHOOL
AND CORAL SHORES HIGH SCHOOL WILL OPEN TONIGHT AT 7 PM. MOBILE HOME
RESIDENTS AND THOSE IN LOW-LYING AREAS AND BOAT LIVE-ABOARDS SHOULD
EVACUATE TO THESE SHELTERS. KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT PLANS TO
CONTINUE OPERATIONS THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. THE PORT OF KEY WEST
WILL CLOSE THIS EVENING. THE SNAKE CREEK DRAWBRIDGE...IN
ISLAMORADA...WILL NOT OPEN TO MARINE VESSELS...UPON THE ARRIVAL OF
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. HIGH-PROFILE VEHICLES...SUCH AS
RECREATIONAL VEHICLES AND TRUCKS...SHOULD BE OUT OF THE FLORIDA KEYS
PRIOR TO MIDDAY MONDAY. ALL MONROE COUNTY SCHOOLS WILL BE CLOSED
MONDAY AND TUESDAY. THE KEY WEST EMERGENCY OPERATIONS CENTER RUMOR
CONTROL HOTLINE IS OPERATIONAL AT 305-809-1108.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

IT IS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT LOCATIONS OF ANY SPECIFIC
STORM TIDES TO BE CAUSED BY TROPICAL STORM FAY. HOWEVER...STORM
TIDES OF 2 TO POSSIBLY 3 FEET ABOVE SEA LEVEL MAY OCCUR...MAINLY
FROM LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. AT THIS
TIME...THE STORM SURGE IS MOSTLY EXPECTED TO OCCUR FROM THE ATLANTIC
SIDE. THE FOLLOWING ARE THE EXPECTED TIMES OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH
TIDES THROUGHOUT THE KEYS...

AT KEY WEST HARBOR...
11:32 AM MONDAY...12:04 AM TUESDAY...12:16 PM TUESDAY

IN MARATHON AT VACA CUT...
10:21 AM MONDAY...10:53 PM MONDAY...11:05 AM TUESDAY

IN ISLAMORADA AT WHALE HARBOR CHANNEL...
10:38 AM MONDAY...10:57 PM MONDAY...11:21 AM TUESDAY

NEAR KEY LARGO AT ROCK HARBOR...
10:44 AM MONDAY...11:03 PM MONDAY...11:27 AM TUESDAY

...WINDS...

NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS NEAR 15 MPH THIS EVENING...WILL GRADUALLY
INCREASE TONIGHT. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...MAY IMPACT
THE LOWER KEYS AROUND MIDDAY MONDAY. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM
WINDS MAY REMAIN WEST OF THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS MONDAY AND MONDAY
NIGHT.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

FOR KEY WEST...THERE IS A 74 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39
MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 7 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 74
MPH OR GREATER..

FOR MARATHON...THERE IS A 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39
MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 4 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 74
MPH OR GREATER.

FOR MIAMI...THERE IS A 44 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39 MPH OR
GREATER. THERE IS A 2 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 74 MPH OR
GREATER.

...RAINFALL IMPACTS...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA
KEYS DURING THE PASSAGE OF FAY. THESE AMOUNTS WOULD LIKELY CAUSE
WIDESPREAD PONDING OF WATER...AND SOME FRESHWATER FLOODING OF LOW
LYING AREAS. THE HEAVIEST PERIODS OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR
MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.

...TORNADOES...

THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED TORNADOES WITH THE PASSAGE OF
TROPICAL STORM FAY...FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING.

...MARINE IMPACTS...

DUE TO THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM WINDS IMPACTING KEYS WATERS
MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...MARINERS SHOULD FINISH PRECAUTIONARY
MEASURES TO PROTECT THEMSELVES AND THEIR VESSELS.
OTHERWISE...WINDS WILL BE INCREASING ACROSS THE FLORIDA STRAITS
TONIGHT...POSSIBLY REACHING SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS OF 20 TO 25
KNOTS LATE. IN ADDITION...SQUALLS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY
REDEVELOP AND BE ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG WIND GUSTS LATE TONIGHT.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF TROPICAL STORM FAY
ON THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED AT AROUND 9 PM...OR SOONER IF NEW
INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

$$

FLZ077-078-182130-
/O.CON.KKEY.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KKEY.HU.A.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MONROE MIDDLE KEYS-MONROE LOWER KEYS-
630 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

STORM INFORMATION IS UPDATED.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT DETAILS SPECIFIC PREPAREDNESS AND SAFETY ACTIONS
TO BE TAKEN IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY CONCERNING THE
EFFECTS OF TROPICAL STORM FAY.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER AND MIDDLE
KEYS...AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA
KEYS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ALL KEYS CITY AND COUNTY OFFICES WILL BE CLOSED MONDAY...EXCEPT
ISLAMORADA WHICH WILL CLOSE AT NOON MONDAY. THE FOLLOWING KEYS
SHELTERS...STANLEY SWITLIK...KEY WEST HIGH SCHOOL...SUGARLOAF SCHOOL
AND CORAL SHORES HIGH SCHOOL WILL OPEN TONIGHT AT 7 PM. MOBILE HOME
RESIDENTS AND THOSE IN LOW-LYING AREAS AND BOAT LIVE-ABOARDS SHOULD
EVACUATE TO THESE SHELTERS. KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT PLANS TO
CONTINUE OPERATIONS THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. THE PORT OF KEY WEST
WILL CLOSE THIS EVENING. THE SNAKE CREEK DRAWBRIDGE...IN
ISLAMORADA...WILL NOT OPEN TO MARINE VESSELS...UPON THE ARRIVAL OF
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. HIGH-PROFILE VEHICLES...SUCH AS
RECREATIONAL VEHICLES AND TRUCKS...SHOULD BE OUT OF THE FLORIDA KEYS
PRIOR TO MIDDAY MONDAY. ALL MONROE COUNTY SCHOOLS WILL BE CLOSED
MONDAY AND TUESDAY. THE KEY WEST EMERGENCY OPERATIONS CENTER RUMOR
CONTROL HOTLINE IS OPERATIONAL AT 305-809-1108.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

IT IS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT LOCATIONS OF ANY SPECIFIC
STORM TIDES TO BE CAUSED BY TROPICAL STORM FAY. HOWEVER...STORM
TIDES OF 2 TO POSSIBLY 3 FEET ABOVE SEA LEVEL MAY OCCUR...MAINLY
FROM LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. AT THIS TIME... THE
STORM SURGE IS MOSTLY EXPECTED TO OCCUR FROM THE ATLANTIC SIDE. THE
FOLLOWING ARE THE EXPECTED TIMES OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES
THROUGHOUT THE KEYS...

AT KEY WEST HARBOR...
11:32 AM MONDAY...12:04 AM TUESDAY...12:16 PM TUESDAY

IN MARATHON AT VACA CUT...
10:21 AM MONDAY...10:53 PM MONDAY...11:05 AM TUESDAY

IN ISLAMORADA AT WHALE HARBOR CHANNEL...
10:38 AM MONDAY...10:57 PM MONDAY...11:21 AM TUESDAY

NEAR KEY LARGO AT ROCK HARBOR...
10:44 AM MONDAY...11:03 PM MONDAY...11:27 AM TUESDAY

...WINDS...

NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS NEAR 15 MPH THIS EVENING...WILL GRADUALLY
INCREASE TONIGHT. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...MAY IMPACT
THE LOWER KEYS AROUND MIDDAY MONDAY. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM
WINDS MAY REMAIN WEST OF THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS MONDAY AND MONDAY
NIGHT.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

FOR KEY WEST...THERE IS A 74 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39
MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 7 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 74
MPH OR GREATER..

FOR MARATHON...THERE IS A 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39
MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 4 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 74
MPH OR GREATER.

FOR MIAMI...THERE IS A 44 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39 MPH OR
GREATER. THERE IS A 2 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 74 MPH OR
GREATER.

...RAINFALL IMPACTS...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA
KEYS DURING THE PASSAGE OF FAY. THESE AMOUNTS WOULD LIKELY CAUSE
WIDESPREAD PONDING OF WATER...AND SOME FRESHWATER FLOODING OF LOW
LYING AREAS. THE HEAVIEST PERIODS OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR
MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.

...TORNADOES...

THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED TORNADOES WITH THE PASSAGE OF
TROPICAL STORM FAY...FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING.

...MARINE IMPACTS...

DUE TO THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM WINDS IMPACTING KEYS WATERS
MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...MARINERS SHOULD FINISH PRECAUTIONARY
MEASURES TO PROTECT THEMSELVES AND THEIR VESSELS.
OTHERWISE...WINDS WILL BE INCREASING ACROSS THE FLORIDA STRAITS
TONIGHT...POSSIBLY REACHING SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS OF 20 TO 25
KNOTS LATE. IN ADDITION...SQUALLS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY
REDEVELOP AND BE ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG WIND GUSTS LATE TONIGHT.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF TROPICAL STORM FAY
ON THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED AT AROUND 9 PM...OR SOONER IF NEW
INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

$$

GMZ031>033-052-072-182130-
/O.CON.KKEY.HU.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
FLORIDA BAY-GULF SIDE OF THE LOWER KEYS OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM-
OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
630 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

STORM INFORMATION IS UPDATED.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT DETAILS SPECIFIC PREPAREDNESS AND SAFETY ACTIONS
TO BE TAKEN IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY CONCERNING THE
EFFECTS OF TROPICAL STORM FAY.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER AND MIDDLE
KEYS...AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA
KEYS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ALL KEYS CITY AND COUNTY OFFICES WILL BE CLOSED MONDAY...EXCEPT
ISLAMORADA WHICH WILL CLOSE AT NOON MONDAY. THE FOLLOWING KEYS
SHELTERS...STANLEY SWITLIK...KEY WEST HIGH SCHOOL...SUGARLOAF SCHOOL
AND CORAL SHORES HIGH SCHOOL WILL OPEN TONIGHT AT 7 PM. MOBILE HOME
RESIDENTS AND THOSE IN LOW-LYING AREAS AND BOAT LIVE-ABOARDS SHOULD
EVACUATE TO THESE SHELTERS. KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT PLANS TO
CONTINUE OPERATIONS THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. THE PORT OF KEY WEST
WILL CLOSE THIS EVENING. THE SNAKE CREEK DRAWBRIDGE...IN
ISLAMORADA...WILL NOT OPEN TO MARINE VESSELS...UPON THE ARRIVAL OF
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. HIGH-PROFILE VEHICLES...SUCH AS
RECREATIONAL VEHICLES AND TRUCKS...SHOULD BE OUT OF THE FLORIDA KEYS
PRIOR TO MIDDAY MONDAY. ALL MONROE COUNTY SCHOOLS WILL BE CLOSED
MONDAY AND TUESDAY. THE KEY WEST EMERGENCY OPERATIONS CENTER RUMOR
CONTROL HOTLINE IS OPERATIONAL AT 305-809-1108.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

IT IS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT LOCATIONS OF ANY SPECIFIC
STORM TIDES TO BE CAUSED BY TROPICAL STORM FAY. HOWEVER...STORM
TIDES OF 2 TO POSSIBLY 3 FEET ABOVE SEA LEVEL MAY OCCUR...MAINLY
FROM LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. AT THIS TIME... THE
STORM SURGE IS MOSTLY EXPECTED TO OCCUR FROM THE ATLANTIC SIDE. THE
FOLLOWING ARE THE EXPECTED TIMES OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES
THROUGHOUT THE KEYS...

AT KEY WEST HARBOR...
11:32 AM MONDAY...12:04 AM TUESDAY...12:16 PM TUESDAY

IN MARATHON AT VACA CUT...
10:21 AM MONDAY...10:53 PM MONDAY...11:05 AM TUESDAY

IN ISLAMORADA AT WHALE HARBOR CHANNEL...
10:38 AM MONDAY...10:57 PM MONDAY...11:21 AM TUESDAY

NEAR KEY LARGO AT ROCK HARBOR...
10:44 AM MONDAY...11:03 PM MONDAY...11:27 AM TUESDAY

...WINDS...

NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS NEAR 15 MPH THIS EVENING...WILL GRADUALLY
INCREASE TONIGHT. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...MAY IMPACT
THE LOWER KEYS AROUND MIDDAY MONDAY. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM
WINDS MAY REMAIN WEST OF THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS MONDAY AND MONDAY
NIGHT.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

FOR KEY WEST...THERE IS A 74 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39
MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 7 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 74
MPH OR GREATER..

FOR MARATHON...THERE IS A 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39
MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 4 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 74
MPH OR GREATER.

FOR MIAMI...THERE IS A 44 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39 MPH OR
GREATER. THERE IS A 2 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 74 MPH OR
GREATER.

...RAINFALL IMPACTS...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA
KEYS DURING THE PASSAGE OF FAY. THESE AMOUNTS WOULD LIKELY CAUSE
WIDESPREAD PONDING OF WATER...AND SOME FRESHWATER FLOODING OF LOW
LYING AREAS. THE HEAVIEST PERIODS OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR
MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.

...TORNADOES...

THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED TORNADOES WITH THE PASSAGE OF
TROPICAL STORM FAY...FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING.

...MARINE IMPACTS...

DUE TO THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM WINDS IMPACTING KEYS WATERS
MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...MARINERS SHOULD FINISH PRECAUTIONARY
MEASURES TO PROTECT THEMSELVES AND THEIR VESSELS.
OTHERWISE...WINDS WILL BE INCREASING ACROSS THE FLORIDA STRAITS
TONIGHT...POSSIBLY REACHING SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS OF 20 TO 25
KNOTS LATE. IN ADDITION...SQUALLS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY
REDEVELOP AND BE ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG WIND GUSTS LATE TONIGHT.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF TROPICAL STORM FAY
ON THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED AT AROUND 9 PM...OR SOONER IF NEW
INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

$$

FLZ076-182130-
/O.CON.KKEY.HU.A.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MONROE UPPER KEYS-
630 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

STORM INFORMATION IS UPDATED.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT DETAILS SPECIFIC PREPAREDNESS AND SAFETY ACTIONS
TO BE TAKEN IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY CONCERNING THE
EFFECTS OF TROPICAL STORM FAY.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER AND MIDDLE
KEYS...AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA
KEYS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ALL KEYS CITY AND COUNTY OFFICES WILL BE CLOSED MONDAY...EXCEPT
ISLAMORADA WHICH WILL CLOSE AT NOON MONDAY. THE FOLLOWING KEYS
SHELTERS...STANLEY SWITLIK...KEY WEST HIGH SCHOOL...SUGARLOAF SCHOOL
AND CORAL SHORES HIGH SCHOOL WILL OPEN TONIGHT AT 7 PM. MOBILE HOME
RESIDENTS AND THOSE IN LOW-LYING AREAS AND BOAT LIVE-ABOARDS SHOULD
EVACUATE TO THESE SHELTERS. KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT PLANS TO
CONTINUE OPERATIONS THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. THE PORT OF KEY WEST
WILL CLOSE THIS EVENING. THE SNAKE CREEK DRAWBRIDGE...IN
ISLAMORADA...WILL NOT OPEN TO MARINE VESSELS...UPON THE ARRIVAL OF
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. HIGH-PROFILE VEHICLES...SUCH AS
RECREATIONAL VEHICLES AND TRUCKS...SHOULD BE OUT OF THE FLORIDA KEYS
PRIOR TO MIDDAY MONDAY. ALL MONROE COUNTY SCHOOLS WILL BE CLOSED
MONDAY AND TUESDAY. THE KEY WEST EMERGENCY OPERATIONS CENTER RUMOR
CONTROL HOTLINE IS OPERATIONAL AT 305-809-1108.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

IT IS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT LOCATIONS OF ANY SPECIFIC
STORM TIDES TO BE CAUSED BY TROPICAL STORM FAY. HOWEVER...STORM
TIDES OF 2 TO POSSIBLY 3 FEET ABOVE SEA LEVEL MAY OCCUR...MAINLY
FROM LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. AT THIS TIME... THE
STORM SURGE IS MOSTLY EXPECTED TO OCCUR FROM THE ATLANTIC SIDE. THE
FOLLOWING ARE THE EXPECTED TIMES OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES
THROUGHOUT THE KEYS...

AT KEY WEST HARBOR...
11:32 AM MONDAY...12:04 AM TUESDAY...12:16 PM TUESDAY

IN MARATHON AT VACA CUT...
10:21 AM MONDAY...10:53 PM MONDAY...11:05 AM TUESDAY

IN ISLAMORADA AT WHALE HARBOR CHANNEL...
10:38 AM MONDAY...10:57 PM MONDAY...11:21 AM TUESDAY

NEAR KEY LARGO AT ROCK HARBOR...
10:44 AM MONDAY...11:03 PM MONDAY...11:27 AM TUESDAY

...WINDS...

NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS NEAR 15 MPH THIS EVENING...WILL GRADUALLY
INCREASE TONIGHT. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...MAY IMPACT
THE LOWER KEYS AROUND MIDDAY MONDAY. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM
WINDS MAY REMAIN WEST OF THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS MONDAY AND MONDAY
NIGHT.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

FOR KEY WEST...THERE IS A 74 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39
MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 7 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 74
MPH OR GREATER..

FOR MARATHON...THERE IS A 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39
MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 4 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 74
MPH OR GREATER.

FOR MIAMI...THERE IS A 44 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39 MPH OR
GREATER. THERE IS A 2 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 74 MPH OR
GREATER.

...RAINFALL IMPACTS...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA
KEYS DURING THE PASSAGE OF FAY. THESE AMOUNTS WOULD LIKELY CAUSE
WIDESPREAD PONDING OF WATER...AND SOME FRESHWATER FLOODING OF LOW
LYING AREAS. THE HEAVIEST PERIODS OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR
MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.

...TORNADOES...

THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED TORNADOES WITH THE PASSAGE OF
TROPICAL STORM FAY...FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING.

...MARINE IMPACTS...

DUE TO THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM WINDS IMPACTING KEYS WATERS
MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...MARINERS SHOULD FINISH PRECAUTIONARY
MEASURES TO PROTECT THEMSELVES AND THEIR VESSELS.
OTHERWISE...WINDS WILL BE INCREASING ACROSS THE FLORIDA STRAITS
TONIGHT...POSSIBLY REACHING SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS OF 20 TO 25
KNOTS LATE. IN ADDITION...SQUALLS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY
REDEVELOP AND BE ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG WIND GUSTS LATE TONIGHT.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF TROPICAL STORM FAY
ON THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED AT AROUND 9 PM...OR SOONER IF NEW
INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
$$

APA





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