[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sun Aug 17 13:45:23 CDT 2008
WTUS82 KKEY 171845
HLSKEY
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
244 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER AND MIDDLE KEYS...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS...
AT 2 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.8 WEST OR ABOUT 285 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. A TURN TO THE
NORTHWEST AND SLOWER SPEED IS EXPECTED LATE TODAY OR TONIGHT...WITH A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTH EXPECTED MONDAY. FAY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NEAR
THE SOUTH COAST OF CUBA LATE TODAY...CROSS WESTERN CUBA OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT OR MONDAY MORNING...AND MOVE NEAR THE FLORIDA KEYS MONDAY
NIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND FAY COULD BE
APPROACHING HURRICANE STRENGTH WHEN IT REACHES WESTERN CUBA.
ALTHOUGH SOME WEAKENING IS LIKELY AS FAY CROSSES CUBA...FAY IS
EXPECTED TO BE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH AS IT APPROACHES THE FLORIDA
KEYS.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
GMZ053-054-073>075-181830-
/O.CON.KKEY.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KKEY.HU.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE OUT 20 NM-
WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST OUT 20 NM-
CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
KEY WEST TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS OUT 60 NM-
244 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
STORM INFORMATION IS UPDATED.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT DETAILS SPECIFIC PREPAREDNESS AND SAFETY ACTIONS
TO BE TAKEN IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY CONCERNING THE
EFFECTS OF TROPICAL STORM FAY.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER AND MIDDLE
KEYS...AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA
KEYS.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A MANDATORY EVACUATION FOR VISITORS AND PEOPLE WITH SPECIAL NEEDS
IS UNDERWAY...WHILE ALL KEYS CITY AND COUNTY OFFICES WILL BE CLOSED
MONDAY...EXCEPT ISLAMORADA WHICH WILL CLOSE AT NOON MONDAY. THE
FOLLOWING KEYS SHELTERS...STANLEY SWITLIK...KEY WEST HIGH
SCHOOL...SUGARLOAF SCHOOL AND CORAL SHORES HIGH SCHOOL WILL OPEN
TONIGHT AT 7 PM. MOBILE HOME RESIDENTS AND THOSE IN LOW-LYING AREAS
AND BOAT LIVE-ABOARDS SHOULD EVACUATE TO THESE SHELTERS. KEY WEST
INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT PLANS TO CONTINUE OPERATIONS THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING. MONROE COUNTY AIRPORTS DIRECTOR PETER HORTON REPORTS ONLY A
FEW SEATS REMAIN ON SCHEDULED FLIGHTS OUT OF KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL
AIRPORT. THE PORT OF KEY WEST WILL CLOSE THIS EVENING. THE SNAKE
CREEK DRAWBRIDGE...IN ISLAMORADA...WILL NOT OPEN TO MARINE
VESSELS...UPON THE ARRIVAL OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. HIGH-
PROFILE VEHICLES...SUCH AS RECREATIONAL VEHICLES AND TRUCKS...SHOULD
BE OUT OF THE FLORIDA KEYS PRIOR TO MIDDAY MONDAY. ALL MONROE COUNTY
SCHOOLS WILL BE CLOSED MONDAY AND TUESDAY. THE KEY WEST EMERGENCY
OPERATIONS CENTER RUMOR CONTROL HOTLINE IS OPERATIONAL AT
305-809-1108.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
IT IS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT LOCATIONS OF ANY SPECIFIC
STORM TIDES TO BE CAUSED BY TROPICAL STORM FAY. HOWEVER...STORM
TIDES OF 2 TO POSSIBLY 3 FEET ABOVE SEA LEVEL MAY OCCUR...MAINLY
FROM LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. AT THIS TIME... THE
STORM SURGE IS MOSTLY EXPECTED TO OCCUR FROM THE ATLANTIC SIDE. THE
FOLLOWING ARE THE EXPECTED TIMES OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES
THROUGHOUT THE KEYS...
AT KEY WEST HARBOR...
11:32 AM MONDAY...12:04 AM TUESDAY...12:16 PM TUESDAY
IN MARATHON AT VACA CUT...
10:21 AM MONDAY...10:53 PM MONDAY...11:05 AM TUESDAY
IN ISLAMORADA AT WHALE HARBOR CHANNEL...
10:38 AM MONDAY...10:57 PM MONDAY...11:21 AM TUESDAY
NEAR KEY LARGO AT ROCK HARBOR...
10:44 AM MONDAY...11:03 PM MONDAY...11:27 AM TUESDAY
...WINDS...
NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 MPH BY TONIGHT.
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...FROM 39 TO 73 MPH...ARE
EXPECTED TO REACH THE LOWER KEYS AROUND MIDDAY MONDAY...AND
AFFECT MOST OF THE KEYS MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY EVENING.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
FOR KEY WEST...THERE IS A 67 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39
MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 9 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 74
MPH OR GREATER..
FOR MARATHON...THERE IS A 68 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39
MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 7 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 74
MPH OR GREATER.
FOR MIAMI...THERE IS A 54 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39 MPH OR
GREATER. THERE IS A 5 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 74 MPH OR
GREATER.
...RAINFALL IMPACTS...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA
KEYS DURING THE PASSAGE OF FAY. THESE AMOUNTS WOULD LIKELY CAUSE
WIDESPREAD PONDING OF WATER...AND SOME FRESHWATER FLOODING OF LOW
LYING AREAS. THE HEAVIEST PERIODS OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR
MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.
...TORNADOES...
THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED TORNADOES WITH THE PASSAGE OF
TROPICAL STORM FAY...FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING.
...MARINE IMPACTS...
WINDS WILL BE INCREASING ACROSS THE FLORIDA STRAITS TONIGHT...
POSSIBLY REACHING SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS
LATE.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF TROPICAL STORM FAY
ON THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED AT AROUND 6 PM...OR SOONER IF NEW
INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
$$
FLZ077-078-181830-
/O.CON.KKEY.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KKEY.HU.A.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MONROE MIDDLE KEYS-MONROE LOWER KEYS-
244 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
STORM INFORMATION IS UPDATED.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT DETAILS SPECIFIC PREPAREDNESS AND SAFETY ACTIONS
TO BE TAKEN IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY CONCERNING THE
EFFECTS OF TROPICAL STORM FAY.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER AND MIDDLE
KEYS...AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA
KEYS.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A MANDATORY EVACUATION FOR VISITORS AND PEOPLE WITH SPECIAL NEEDS
IS UNDERWAY...WHILE ALL KEYS CITY AND COUNTY OFFICES WILL BE CLOSED
MONDAY...EXCEPT ISLAMORADA WHICH WILL CLOSE AT NOON MONDAY. THE
FOLLOWING KEYS SHELTERS...STANLEY SWITLIK...KEY WEST HIGH
SCHOOL...SUGARLOAF SCHOOL AND CORAL SHORES HIGH SCHOOL WILL OPEN
TONIGHT AT 7 PM. MOBILE HOME RESIDENTS AND THOSE IN LOW-LYING AREAS
AND BOAT LIVE-ABOARDS SHOULD EVACUATE TO THESE SHELTERS. KEY WEST
INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT PLANS TO CONTINUE OPERATIONS THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING. MONROE COUNTY AIRPORTS DIRECTOR PETER HORTON REPORTS ONLY A
FEW SEATS REMAIN ON SCHEDULED FLIGHTS OUT OF KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL
AIRPORT. THE PORT OF KEY WEST WILL CLOSE THIS EVENING. THE SNAKE
CREEK DRAWBRIDGE...IN ISLAMORADA...WILL NOT OPEN TO MARINE
VESSELS...UPON THE ARRIVAL OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. HIGH-
PROFILE VEHICLES...SUCH AS RECREATIONAL VEHICLES AND TRUCKS...SHOULD
BE OUT OF THE FLORIDA KEYS PRIOR TO MIDDAY MONDAY. ALL MONROE COUNTY
SCHOOLS WILL BE CLOSED MONDAY AND TUESDAY. THE KEY WEST EMERGENCY
OPERATIONS CENTER RUMOR CONTROL HOTLINE IS OPERATIONAL AT
305-809-1108.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
IT IS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT LOCATIONS OF ANY SPECIFIC
STORM TIDES TO BE CAUSED BY TROPICAL STORM FAY. HOWEVER...STORM
TIDES OF 2 TO POSSIBLY 3 FEET ABOVE SEA LEVEL MAY OCCUR...MAINLY
FROM LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. AT THIS TIME... THE
STORM SURGE IS MOSTLY EXPECTED TO OCCUR FROM THE ATLANTIC SIDE. THE
FOLLOWING ARE THE EXPECTED TIMES OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES
THROUGHOUT THE KEYS...
AT KEY WEST HARBOR...
11:32 AM MONDAY...12:04 AM TUESDAY...12:16 PM TUESDAY
IN MARATHON AT VACA CUT...
10:21 AM MONDAY...10:53 PM MONDAY...11:05 AM TUESDAY
IN ISLAMORADA AT WHALE HARBOR CHANNEL...
10:38 AM MONDAY...10:57 PM MONDAY...11:21 AM TUESDAY
NEAR KEY LARGO AT ROCK HARBOR...
10:44 AM MONDAY...11:03 PM MONDAY...11:27 AM TUESDAY
...WINDS...
NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 MPH BY TONIGHT.
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...FROM 39 TO 73 MPH...ARE
EXPECTED TO REACH THE LOWER KEYS AROUND MIDDAY MONDAY...AND
AFFECT MOST OF THE KEYS MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY EVENING.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
FOR KEY WEST...THERE IS A 67 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39
MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 9 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 74
MPH OR GREATER..
FOR MARATHON...THERE IS A 68 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39
MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 7 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 74
MPH OR GREATER.
FOR MIAMI...THERE IS A 54 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39 MPH OR
GREATER. THERE IS A 5 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 74 MPH OR
GREATER.
...RAINFALL IMPACTS...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA
KEYS DURING THE PASSAGE OF FAY. THESE AMOUNTS WOULD LIKELY CAUSE
WIDESPREAD PONDING OF WATER...AND SOME FRESHWATER FLOODING OF LOW
LYING AREAS. THE HEAVIEST PERIODS OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR
MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.
...TORNADOES...
THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED TORNADOES WITH THE PASSAGE OF
TROPICAL STORM FAY...FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING.
...MARINE IMPACTS...
WINDS WILL BE INCREASING ACROSS THE FLORIDA STRAITS TONIGHT...
POSSIBLY REACHING SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS
LATE.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF TROPICAL STORM FAY
ON THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED AT AROUND 6 PM...OR SOONER IF NEW
INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
$$
GMZ031>033-052-072-181830-
/O.CON.KKEY.HU.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
FLORIDA BAY-GULF SIDE OF THE LOWER KEYS OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM-
OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
244 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
STORM INFORMATION IS UPDATED.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT DETAILS SPECIFIC PREPAREDNESS AND SAFETY ACTIONS
TO BE TAKEN IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY CONCERNING THE
EFFECTS OF TROPICAL STORM FAY.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER AND MIDDLE
KEYS...AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA
KEYS.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A MANDATORY EVACUATION FOR VISITORS AND PEOPLE WITH SPECIAL NEEDS
IS UNDERWAY...WHILE ALL KEYS CITY AND COUNTY OFFICES WILL BE CLOSED
MONDAY...EXCEPT ISLAMORADA WHICH WILL CLOSE AT NOON MONDAY. THE
FOLLOWING KEYS SHELTERS...STANLEY SWITLIK...KEY WEST HIGH
SCHOOL...SUGARLOAF SCHOOL AND CORAL SHORES HIGH SCHOOL WILL OPEN
TONIGHT AT 7 PM. MOBILE HOME RESIDENTS AND THOSE IN LOW-LYING AREAS
AND BOAT LIVE-ABOARDS SHOULD EVACUATE TO THESE SHELTERS. KEY WEST
INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT PLANS TO CONTINUE OPERATIONS THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING. MONROE COUNTY AIRPORTS DIRECTOR PETER HORTON REPORTS ONLY A
FEW SEATS REMAIN ON SCHEDULED FLIGHTS OUT OF KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL
AIRPORT. THE PORT OF KEY WEST WILL CLOSE THIS EVENING. THE SNAKE
CREEK DRAWBRIDGE...IN ISLAMORADA...WILL NOT OPEN TO MARINE
VESSELS...UPON THE ARRIVAL OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS.
HIGH-PROFILE VEHICLES...SUCH AS RECREATIONAL VEHICLES AND
TRUCKS...SHOULD BE OUT OF THE FLORIDA KEYS PRIOR TO MIDDAY MONDAY.
ALL MONROE COUNTY SCHOOLS WILL BE CLOSED MONDAY AND TUESDAY. THE KEY
WEST EMERGENCY OPERATIONS CENTER RUMOR CONTROL HOTLINE IS
OPERATIONAL AT 305-809-1108.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
IT IS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT LOCATIONS OF ANY SPECIFIC
STORM TIDES TO BE CAUSED BY TROPICAL STORM FAY. HOWEVER...STORM
TIDES OF 2 TO POSSIBLY 3 FEET ABOVE SEA LEVEL MAY OCCUR...MAINLY
FROM LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. AT THIS TIME... THE
STORM SURGE IS MOSTLY EXPECTED TO OCCUR FROM THE ATLANTIC SIDE. THE
FOLLOWING ARE THE EXPECTED TIMES OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES
THROUGHOUT THE KEYS...
AT KEY WEST HARBOR...
11:32 AM MONDAY...12:04 AM TUESDAY...12:16 PM TUESDAY
IN MARATHON AT VACA CUT...
10:21 AM MONDAY...10:53 PM MONDAY...11:05 AM TUESDAY
IN ISLAMORADA AT WHALE HARBOR CHANNEL...
10:38 AM MONDAY...10:57 PM MONDAY...11:21 AM TUESDAY
NEAR KEY LARGO AT ROCK HARBOR...
10:44 AM MONDAY...11:03 PM MONDAY...11:27 AM TUESDAY
...WINDS...
NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 MPH BY TONIGHT.
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...FROM 39 TO 73 MPH...ARE
EXPECTED TO REACH THE LOWER KEYS AROUND MIDDAY MONDAY...AND
AFFECT MOST OF THE KEYS MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY EVENING.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
FOR KEY WEST...THERE IS A 67 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39
MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 9 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 74
MPH OR GREATER..
FOR MARATHON...THERE IS A 68 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39
MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 7 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 74
MPH OR GREATER.
FOR MIAMI...THERE IS A 54 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39 MPH OR
GREATER. THERE IS A 5 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 74 MPH OR
GREATER.
...RAINFALL IMPACTS...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA
KEYS DURING THE PASSAGE OF FAY. THESE AMOUNTS WOULD LIKELY CAUSE
WIDESPREAD PONDING OF WATER...AND SOME FRESHWATER FLOODING OF LOW
LYING AREAS. THE HEAVIEST PERIODS OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR
MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.
...TORNADOES...
THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED TORNADOES WITH THE PASSAGE OF
TROPICAL STORM FAY...FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING.
...MARINE IMPACTS...
WINDS WILL BE INCREASING ACROSS THE FLORIDA STRAITS TONIGHT...
POSSIBLY REACHING SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS
LATE.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF TROPICAL STORM FAY
ON THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED AT AROUND 6 PM...OR SOONER IF NEW
INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
$$
FLZ076-181830-
/O.CON.KKEY.HU.A.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MONROE UPPER KEYS-
244 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
STORM INFORMATION IS UPDATED.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT DETAILS SPECIFIC PREPAREDNESS AND SAFETY ACTIONS
TO BE TAKEN IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY CONCERNING THE
EFFECTS OF TROPICAL STORM FAY.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER AND MIDDLE
KEYS...AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA
KEYS.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A MANDATORY EVACUATION FOR VISITORS AND PEOPLE WITH SPECIAL NEEDS
IS UNDERWAY...WHILE ALL KEYS CITY AND COUNTY OFFICES WILL BE CLOSED
MONDAY...EXCEPT ISLAMORADA WHICH WILL CLOSE AT NOON MONDAY. THE
FOLLOWING KEYS SHELTERS...STANLEY SWITLIK...KEY WEST HIGH
SCHOOL...SUGARLOAF SCHOOL AND CORAL SHORES HIGH SCHOOL WILL OPEN
TONIGHT AT 7 PM. MOBILE HOME RESIDENTS AND THOSE IN LOW-LYING AREAS
AND BOAT LIVE-ABOARDS SHOULD EVACUATE TO THESE SHELTERS. KEY WEST
INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT PLANS TO CONTINUE OPERATIONS THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING. MONROE COUNTY AIRPORTS DIRECTOR PETER HORTON REPORTS ONLY A
FEW SEATS REMAIN ON SCHEDULED FLIGHTS OUT OF KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL
AIRPORT. THE PORT OF KEY WEST WILL CLOSE THIS EVENING. THE SNAKE
CREEK DRAWBRIDGE...IN ISLAMORADA...WILL NOT OPEN TO MARINE
VESSELS...UPON THE ARRIVAL OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. HIGH-
PROFILE VEHICLES...SUCH AS RECREATIONAL VEHICLES AND TRUCKS...SHOULD
BE OUT OF THE FLORIDA KEYS PRIOR TO MIDDAY MONDAY. ALL MONROE COUNTY
SCHOOLS WILL BE CLOSED MONDAY AND TUESDAY. THE KEY WEST EMERGENCY
OPERATIONS CENTER RUMOR CONTROL HOTLINE IS OPERATIONAL AT
305-809-1108.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
IT IS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT LOCATIONS OF ANY SPECIFIC
STORM TIDES TO BE CAUSED BY TROPICAL STORM FAY. HOWEVER...STORM
TIDES OF 2 TO POSSIBLY 3 FEET ABOVE SEA LEVEL MAY OCCUR...MAINLY
FROM LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. AT THIS TIME... THE
STORM SURGE IS MOSTLY EXPECTED TO OCCUR FROM THE ATLANTIC SIDE. THE
FOLLOWING ARE THE EXPECTED TIMES OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES
THROUGHOUT THE KEYS...
AT KEY WEST HARBOR...
11:32 AM MONDAY...12:04 AM TUESDAY...12:16 PM TUESDAY
IN MARATHON AT VACA CUT...
10:21 AM MONDAY...10:53 PM MONDAY...11:05 AM TUESDAY
IN ISLAMORADA AT WHALE HARBOR CHANNEL...
10:38 AM MONDAY...10:57 PM MONDAY...11:21 AM TUESDAY
NEAR KEY LARGO AT ROCK HARBOR...
10:44 AM MONDAY...11:03 PM MONDAY...11:27 AM TUESDAY
...WINDS...
NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 MPH BY TONIGHT.
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...FROM 39 TO 73 MPH...ARE
EXPECTED TO REACH THE LOWER KEYS AROUND MIDDAY MONDAY...AND
AFFECT MOST OF THE KEYS MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY EVENING.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
FOR KEY WEST...THERE IS A 67 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39
MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 9 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 74
MPH OR GREATER..
FOR MARATHON...THERE IS A 68 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39
MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 7 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 74
MPH OR GREATER.
FOR MIAMI...THERE IS A 54 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39 MPH OR
GREATER. THERE IS A 5 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 74 MPH OR
GREATER.
...RAINFALL IMPACTS...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA
KEYS DURING THE PASSAGE OF FAY. THESE AMOUNTS WOULD LIKELY CAUSE
WIDESPREAD PONDING OF WATER...AND SOME FRESHWATER FLOODING OF LOW
LYING AREAS. THE HEAVIEST PERIODS OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR
MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.
...TORNADOES...
THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED TORNADOES WITH THE PASSAGE OF
TROPICAL STORM FAY...FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING.
...MARINE IMPACTS...
WINDS WILL BE INCREASING ACROSS THE FLORIDA STRAITS TONIGHT...
POSSIBLY REACHING SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS
LATE.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF TROPICAL STORM FAY
ON THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED AT AROUND 6 PM...OR SOONER IF NEW
INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
$$
APA
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