[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 051514
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT THU OCT 5 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES
ALONG A BROAD TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE EXTENDING FROM THE EASTERN
BAHAMAS NORTHEASTWARD TO BERMUDA.  WHILE A NON-TROPICAL LOW COULD
FORM WITHIN THIS AREA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A
TROPICAL CYCLONE.

A SECOND AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...OVER THE
BAY OF CAMPECHE AND THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO...IS ASSOCIATED
WITH A BROAD TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE ONLY
MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT.  HOWEVER...THIS SYSTEM WILL
LIKELY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OVER EASTERN PORTIONS OF
MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT DRIFTS WESTWARD.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
FRIDAY.

$$
FORECASTER RHOME/BEVEN



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