[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS81 KBOX 210615
HLSBOX
ANZ231>233-254-255-MAZ019-022>024-211100-

TROPICAL STORM BERYL LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
215 AM EDT FRI JUL 21 2006

...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WOODS HOLE
MASSACHUSETTS TO PLYMOUTH MASSACHUSETTS...

...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW CANCELED WEST OF WOODS HOLE
MASSACHUSETTS AND SO NO LONGER INCLUDES THE SOUTH COAST OF RHODE
ISLAND AND SOUTH COASTAL MASSACHUSETTS...

...NEW INFORMATION...
LATEST SATELLITE AND RADAR IMAGERY SHOW THAT TROPICAL STORM BERYL
CONTINUES CLOSE TO THE EXPECTED TRACK. THE HIGHEST UNOFFICIAL OBSERVED
WIND GUSTS THROUGH 2 AM WERE 44 KNOTS AT THE CAPE WIND STATION ON
NANTUCKET SOUND.

AT 2 AM...THE HEAVY RAIN SHIELD ASSOCIATED WITH THE CORE OF BERYL WAS
OVER NANTUCKET AND THE LOWER-OUTER PART OF CAPE COD. THE HEAVIEST
RAIN WILL PROGRESS NORTHEASTWARD AWAY FROM NANTUCKET AND THE OUTER
CAPE BY 5 AM.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL AFFECT MAINLY NANTUCKET AND THE OUTER
PART OF CAPE COD NEAR CHATHAM...AND LESS SO...MARTHAS VINEYARD.

THE PRIMARY IMPACT OF THIS STORM IS THE MARINE COMMUNITY SOUTH AND
EAST OF NANTUCKET BEFORE DAWN AND THEREAFTER THE HEAVY SURF AND
ASSOCIATED RIP CURRENTS FOR THE OCEAN EXPOSED SOUTH COASTAL SECTIONS
OF MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND.

BERYL SHOULD TRACK VERY CLOSE TO NANTUCKET AROUND 4 AM.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM WOODS HOLE MASSACHUSETTS
TO PLYMOUTH MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING CAPE COD...NANTUCKET AND
MARTHAS VINEYARD.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS FRIDAY MORNING FOR SOUTHEAST
MASSACHUSETTS AS WELL AS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 2 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 41.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.5 WEST OR ABOUT 25 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF NANTUCKET.

BERYL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH...AND SLOWLY
ACCELERATING. ON THIS TRACK...BERYL WILL BE PASSING NEAR OR OVER
NANTUCKET ISLAND AROUND 4 AM.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE NEAR 50 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
SOME SLOW WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT AND FRIDAY. TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF
THE CENTER.

LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE
PLANE WAS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TROPICAL STORM BERYL WILL HAVE A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON THE MARINE
COMMUNITY WITH HIGH SEAS AND STRONG WINDS. MARINERS ARE URGED TO
REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL THE TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS HAVE PASSED.  ALL
PREPARATIONS TO SECURE MOORINGS SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN COMPLETED.

SEAS HAVE ALREADY RISEN TO NEAR 15 FEET JUST SOUTHEAST OF NANTUCKET
OUT BY NANTUCKET SHOALS.

...WIND IMPACTS...
AT THE POINT OF CLOSEST APPROACH...WHICH WILL BE APPROXIMATELY
4 AM THIS MORNING NEAR NANTUCKET...BERYL IS EXPECTED TO HAVE
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH...MAINLY EAST AND
SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. HOWEVER...THE HIGHEST WIND GUSTS MAY OCCUR
IN THE TORRENTIAL RAIN BAND THAT IS LOCATED ON THE NORTH SIDE OF
BERYL. THE STRONGEST WINDS AND THE LONGEST DURATION OF TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BE FELT ON NANTUCKET.

THERE IS A LOWER PROBABILITY THAT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL
AFFECT COASTAL PLYMOUTH COUNTY.

THE IMMEDIATE SOUTH COAST OF MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND MAY
EXPERIENCE A 3 HOUR PERIOD OF WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 40 MPH EARLY THIS
MORNING...MAINLY FROM NEWPORT TO NEW BEDFORD AND WAREHAM.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
GIVEN THE CURRENT AND EXPECTED STRENGTH OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL...A
STORM SURGE OF 1 TO 3 FT IS POSSIBLE IN ADDITION TO THE EXPECTED
TIDES.

AT NANTUCKET...AN ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE OF 2.7 FEET OCCURS AT 1013
AM FRIDAY MORNING.

AT PROVINCETOWN...AN ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 8.4 FEET AT
912 AM FRIDAY MORNING.

SINCE THE STRONGEST WINDS AND SURGE WILL LIKELY OCCUR BETWEEN HIGH
TIDE CYCLES...ONLY SOME MINOR SPLASHOVER AND BEACH EROSION IS
EXPECTED.

...RIP CURRENT IMPACTS...
SOUTHERLY SWELL FROM TROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS AFFECTING THE SOUTH
COAST. AT MIDNIGHT...HIGHER SWELLS OF 8 TO 15 FT WERE REPORTED FROM
BUOYS SOUTH OF NANTUCKET AND LONG ISLAND.

THESE HIGHER SWELLS WILL CONTINUE MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTH COAST
TONIGHT. HIGH SURF ALONG THE RHODE ISLAND AND MASSACHUSETTS SOUTH
COAST WILL RESULT IN DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ALONG MANY SOUTH COAST
BEACHES THROUGH FRIDAY.  A HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM
EDT FRIDAY FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF RHODE ISLAND AND MASSACHUSETTS.

LINGERING RIP CURRENTS MAY REQUIRE THAT THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY BE
EXPANDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE MASSACHUSETTS EAST COAST FOR FRIDAY.

...RIVER AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD IMPACTS...
THE AREA OF HEAVIEST RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH THE CORE OF TROPICAL STORM
BERYL IS MOVING THROUGH THE NANTUCKET AREA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO
3 INCHES AND LOCALLY UP TO 4 INCHES MAY OCCUR IN A FEW HOURS OVER
NANTUCKET AND THE LOWER CAPE NEAR CHATHAM.

THERE IS A LOWER CHANCE OF LOCALIZED 1 TO 3 INCH RAINFALL IN PLYMOUTH
AND BRISTOL COUNTIES OF MASSACHUSETTS...AS WELL AS RHODE ISLAND. A
FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS AND MOST OF
RHODE ISLAND FROM PROVIDENCE SOUTHWARD.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

HYANNIS MA    57 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39 MPH OR GREATER
HYANNIS MA     3 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 58 MPH OR GREATER

NANTUCKET MA  90 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39 MPH OR GREATER
NANTUCKET MA   5 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 58 MPH OR GREATER

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON AROUND 5 AM EDT.

ADDITIONAL STORM INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND IN SHORT TERM FORECASTS
/KBOXNOWBOX/...AND IN THE TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER PRODUCTS.

$$

DRAG





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