[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS81 KBOX 201229
HLSBOX
ANZ231>233-254-255-MAZ019-022>024-210030-

TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
829 AM EDT THU JUL 20 2006

UPDATED STORM INFORMATION TO INCLUDE LATEST CENTRAL PRESSURE

...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM WOODS HOLE
MASSACHUSETTS TO PLYMOUTH MASSACHUSETTS...

...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM BERYL HAS BEGUN TO IMPACT OUR REGION WITH BUILDING
SURF ALONG THE RHODE ISLAND AND MASSACHUSETTS SOUTH COAST. DANGEROUS
RIP CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS MORNING ALONG MANY NEW
ENGLAND SOUTH COAST BEACHES. RIP CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE A
PROBLEM THROUGH FRIDAY. SWELLS OF 6 TO 7 FEET...AND BUILDING...HAVE
BEEN REPORTED FROM BUOYS JUST SOUTH OF NANTUCKET AND LONG ISLAND.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
TROPICAL STORM BERYL WILL IMPACT CAPE COD...MARTHAS VINEYARD...
NANTUCKET AND SOUTHEAST PLYMOUTH COUNTY LATE TODAY INTO EARLY
FRIDAY.

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
SOUTHEAST COASTAL MASSACHUSETTS. THIS STATEMENT ALSO RECOMMENDS
ACTIONS FOR BOATERS IN THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM WOODS HOLE MASSACHUSETTS TO
PLYMOUTH MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING CAPE COD...NANTUCKET AND MARTHAS
VINEYARD.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 800 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 38.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.0 WEST...OR ABOUT 260 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF NANTUCKET.

BERYL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 9 MPH. BERYL IS EXPECTED TO
TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND ACCELERATE LATER TODAY. THIS MOTION
COULD BRING THE CENTER OF BERYL NEAR THE OUTER CAPE AND ISLANDS LATE
TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE
CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED THROUGH TODAY.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
ONE OF THE BIGGEST THREATS A TROPICAL STORM CAN POSE TO NEW ENGLAND
IS TO THE BOATING COMMUNITY. MARINERS ARE ADVISED TO REMAIN IN PORT
UNTIL THE TROPICAL STORM THREAT HAS PASSED. BOAT OWNERS AND MARINA
OPERATORS SHOULD COMPLETE PREPARATIONS FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS. MAKE SURE THAT MOORINGS ARE SECURE.

SEAS WILL BUILD RAPIDLY TO NEAR 15 FEET JUST SOUTHEAST OF NANTUCKET
AND CAPE COD THIS EVENING.

FOR A MORE COMPLETE LISTING OF TROPICAL STORM WATCH PREPAREDNESS
INFORMATION...PLEASE REFER TO THE PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
/KBOXPNSBOX/ ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON.

...WIND IMPACTS...
AT THE POINT OF CLOSEST APPROACH...WHICH WILL BE APPROXIMATELY 6 AM
FRIDAY MORNING...BERYL IS EXPECTED TO HAVE SUSTAINED WINDS OF 50 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH...MAINLY EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF APPROXIMATELY 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50
MPH WOULD BEGIN TO IMPACT CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS AT APPROXIMATELY
9 PM THIS EVENING.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
GIVEN THE CURRENT AND EXPECTED STRENGTH OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL...
STORM SURGES OF 1 TO 3 FT ARE POSSIBLE IN ADDITION TO THE EXPECTED
TIDES.

AN ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE OF 3.9 FEET OCCURS AT NANTUCKET AT 918 PM
TONIGHT...AND 2.7 FEET AT 1013 AM FRIDAY MORNING. AT THIS TIME...
ONLY SOME MINOR SPLASHOVER AND BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED.

AN ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE OF 10.0 FEET OCCURS AT PROVINCETOWN AT
826 PM TONIGHT...AND 8.4 FEET AT 912 AM FRIDAY MORNING. AT THIS
TIME...ONLY SOME MINOR SPLASHOVER AND BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED.

THE SURGES THAT ACTUALLY OCCUR WILL DEPEND ON THE EVENTUAL SPEED OF
THE STORM. THE IMPACT OF ANY SURGE WILL DEPEND WHETHER THE STORM
ARRIVES DURING HIGH OR LOW TIDE.

...RIP CURRENT IMPACTS...
THE SWELLS FROM BERYL WILL RESULT IN DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AND
ROUGH SURF ALONG SOUTH FACING BEACHES INTO FRIDAY.

...RIVER AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD IMPACTS...
TROPICAL STORM BERYL MAY PRODUCE RAINFALL OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER CAPE
COD AND THE ISLANDS DURING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING. IN PLYMOUTH
AND BRISTOL COUNTIES OF MASSACHUSETTS...AS WELL AS RHODE ISLAND...
THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN. FLOOD WATCHES MAY
NEED TO BE ISSUED WITH LATER FORECASTS IF THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING
INCREASES.

ON CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS...MINOR FLOODING WOULD BE INITIATED IF
3 INCHES OF RAIN WERE TO OCCUR IN ONE HOUR...OR 4.5 INCHES OF RAIN
FELL IN 3 HOURS. ELSEWHERE IN SOUTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS AND IN RHODE
ISLAND...2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL IN ONE HOUR...OR 3 TO 4 INCHES OF
RAIN IN 3 HOURS WOULD INITIATE FLOODING.

AT THIS TIME...THE BEST CHANCE FOR HEAVY RAINFALL IS OVER CAPE
COD...MARTHAS VINEYARD...AND NANTUCKET.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
HERE ARE SOME PROBABILITIES OF TROPICAL STORM FORCES WINDS FOR
SELECTED LOCATIONS FROM 5 AM EDT THURSDAY THROUGH 2 PM EDT FRIDAY...

BOSTON MA     29 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39 MPH OR GREATER
BOSTON MA      5 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 58 MPH OR GREATER

HYANNIS MA    55 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39 MPH OR GREATER
HYANNIS MA    15 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 58 MPH OR GREATER
HYANNIS MA     2 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 74 MPH OR GREATER

NANTUCKET MA  64 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39 MPH OR GREATER
NANTUCKET MA  19 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 58 MPH OR GREATER
NANTUCKET MA   4 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 74 MPH OR GREATER

PROVIDENCE RI 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39 MPH OR GREATER
PROVIDENCE RI  9 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 58 MPH OR GREATER

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON BY 1 PM EDT.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON PREPAREDNESS MEASURES FOR BOTH COASTAL AND
INLAND RESIDENTS WILL BE CONTAINED IN PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENTS
/KBOXPNSBOX/ THAT WILL BE ISSUED THROUGHOUT THE STORM THREAT.
ADDITIONAL STORM INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND IN SHORT TERM
FORECASTS /KBOXNOWBOX/...AND IN THE TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
PRODUCTS.

$$






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