[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Jul 17 21:10:09 CDT 2006


ABNT20 KNHC 180207
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT MON JUL 17 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A BAND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PRIMARILY ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW
PRESSURE AREA ALONG A FRONTAL ZONE EXTENDS FROM THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS
NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE ATLANTIC.  THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT
AT THIS TIME...HOWEVER...THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION TO FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM
TOMORROW...IF NECESSARY. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER
WATER NEVERTHELESS...INTERESTS ALONG THE EASTERN U.S. COAST SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

A STRONG NON-TROPICAL LOW PASSING ABOUT 185 MILES SOUTH OF NOVA
SCOTIA IS RAPIDLY MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST. A CANADIAN BUOY
RECENTLY REPORTED STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND A SIGNIFICANT PRESSURE
FALL AS THE LOW MOVED NEARBY. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING OVER COOLER
WATERS AND SHOULD GRADUALLY WEAKEN. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON
THIS GALE AREA CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE
OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER UNDER WMO HEADER FZNTO1 KWBC AND UNDER
AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1.

CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS BETWEEN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS AND
BERMUDA ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE INTERACTING WITH AN
UPPER LOW. SURFACE PRESSURES REMAIN HIGH IN THE AREA AND TROPICAL
CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

$$

FORECASTER AVILA/MAINELLI

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