[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 171511
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT MON JUL 17 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ASSOCIATED WITH A DEVELOPING
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...CONTINUES A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES SOUTHEAST OF
THE COASTS OF NORTH AND SOUTH CAROLINA. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
APPEAR SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE FOR THIS SYSTEM TO GRADUALLY ACQUIRE
TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS THE SYSTEM REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY
OR DRIFTS SLOWLY NORTHWARD. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM TOMORROW...IF
NECESSARY. INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST SHOULD
CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

A NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND GALE AREA...CENTERED ABOUT
220 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SOUTHWESTERN NOVA SCOTIA... IS MOVING
NORTHEASTWARD AT 20 MPH. TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS UNLIKELY
DUE TO THE SYSTEM MOVING OVER MUCH COOLER WATER. ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION ON THIS GALE AREA CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS
ISSUED BY THE NOAA OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER UNDER WMO HEADER FZNTO1
KWBC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
TUESDAY.

$$

FORECASTER STEWART/RHOME

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