[Tropical] Tropical Weather Discussion

[EMWIN Server]

AXNT20 KNHC 050614
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
105 AM EST SAT 05 MAR 2005

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHEASTERN
SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE
AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER
OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND GOES-12 SATELLITE
IMAGERY THROUGH 0345 UTC...AND METEOSAT-7 IMAGERY THROUGH
0530 UTC.

...ITCZ...

ITCZ 5N9W 2N14W 1N23W 2N30W 3N40W 4N45W 3N51W. WIDELY SCATTERED
MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 2N BETWEEN 15W AND 18W...AND FROM THE EQUATOR TO 3N
BETWEEN 30W AND 36W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND
POSSIBLE REMNANT SHOWER ACTIVITY WITHIN 30 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF
1N23W 5N19W...AND WITHIN 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 11N14W 5N19W.
ISOLATED SHOWERS FROM THE EQUATOR TO 6N BETWEEN 36W AND 50W.

...DISCUSSION...

FROM THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO...
BROAD UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW NORTH OF 10N EAST OF 120W
MOVES TO THE MEXICO COAST...AND MOVES ACROSS INTERIOR MEXICO
AS WESTERLY FLOW. WESTERLY WINDS ARE FOUND OVER THE OPEN GULF
WATERS. WIND SPEEDS RANGE FROM 80 TO 100 KT EVERYWHERE.
ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE IN THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA. BROKEN TO
OVERCAST LOW AND MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE PRECIPITATION
FROM 25N TO 29N BETWEEN 86W AND 90W. THIN SCATTERED HIGH CLOUDS
ARE MOVING EASTWARD UNDER THE UPPER LEVEL WESTERLIES. 1022 MB
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 30N89W IN SOUTHEASTERN
LOUISIANA JUST SOUTH OF MISSISSIPPI. 1021 MB SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE CENTER ALONG NE FLORIDA COAST NEAR 29N81W. BROAD
SURFACE ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IS IN THE GULF.

THE CARIBBEAN SEA...
SCATTERED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN NORTHEASTERN
COLOMBIA NORTH OF 10N HAVE DISSIPATED LEAVING REMNANT CLOUD
LAYERS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS ALONG BORDER WITH VENEZUELA WEST OF
LAKE MARACAIBO. PATCH OF BROKEN TO OVERCAST HIGH CLOUDS SOUTH
OF 14N BETWEEN 76W AND 83W...MOVING NORTHEASTWARD UNDER UPPER
LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW. SURFACE STATIONARY FRONT FROM
THE ATLANTIC WATERS JUST EAST OF THE SOUTHERN BAHAMAS TO THE
1012 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 22.5N75W IN THE BAHAMAS. COLD
FRONT FROM THE LOW CENTER CROSSES CUBA NEAR 21N78W...ENTERS THE
NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND GOES TO THE GULF OF HONDURAS AND
SOUTHERN BELIZE. ONLY ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS IN SOUTHERN
HONDURAS. BROAD AND GENTLE UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IS
CARRYING HIGH CLOUDS FROM THE GULF OF HONDURAS TOWARD THE
WINDWARD PASSAGE. OTHER HIGH CLOUDS ARE MOVING FROM COLOMBIA
AND VENEZUELA NORTHEASTWARD TO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN ISLANDS.
BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE RAIN FROM
THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO CUBA...SOUTH OF 26N BETWEEN 70W AND 80W.

THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...
BROAD AND GENTLE UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY FLOW TRANSFORMS INTO UPPER
LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ALL THE WAY FROM 80W AND FLORIDA TO 25W.
ONE SURFACE COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH 32N35W TO 27N40W TO
23N50W. DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT FROM 23N50W TO 21N60W.
THE SECOND ATLANTIC COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH 32N44W TO 27N50W
TO 25N57W. STATIONARY FRONT 25N57W 25N63W 23N70W TO 1012 MB LOW
PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 22.5N75W. COLD FRONT FROM THIS LOW CENTER
TO CUBA NEAR 21N78W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND
POSSIBLE RAIN WITHIN 175 TO 200 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 21N75W
26N61W 30N52W 32N44W TO 33N30W...BEFORE CURVING NORTHWARD.
DEEP LAYER TROUGH FROM JUST EAST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS NEAR
17N20W TO THE CANARY ISLANDS...BEYOND 33N6W IN NORTHERN MOROCCO.
SURFACE COLD FRONT IS WELL INLAND...FROM ALGERIA TO
MAURITANIA...WITH ONLY A DISSIPATING COLD FRONT FROM 21N12W TO
20N21W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST HIGH CLOUDS IN CLUSTERS FROM 22N TO
30N BETWEEN 10W AND 23W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW AND MIDDLE LEVEL
CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE PRECIPITATION NORTH OF 26N EAST OF
25W...MOVING SOUTHWARD.

$$
MT


This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net