[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 260848
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST TUE JUL 26 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF FRANKLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  68.0 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST FRI JUL 29 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

32.7N  67.8W      42  X  X  X 42   BOSTON MA          X  X  X  5  5
34.1N  67.7W      13  6  2  1 22   PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  4  4
36.2N  67.0W       X  6  8  3 17   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  5  5
BERMUDA            5  5  3  2 15   EASTPORT ME        X  X  X  5  5
OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  1  1  2   ST JOHN NB         X  X  X  5  5
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  1  1  2   MONCTON NB         X  X  X  4  4
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  1  2  3   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  X  7  7
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  1  4  5   HALIFAX NS         X  X  X  5  5
PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  1  4  5   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  X  4  4
NANTUCKET MA       X  X  1  7  8   SYDNEY NS          X  X  X  2  2
HYANNIS MA         X  X  1  6  7   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  X  3  3

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM WED TO  2PM WED
C FROM  2PM WED TO  2AM THU
D FROM  2AM THU TO  2AM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER KNABB


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