[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT72 KNHC 242031
SPFAT2
TROPICAL STORM GERT PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF GERT WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  97.1 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1PM CDT WED JUL 27 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

22.7N  99.7W      45  X  X  X 45   MMTM 222N 979W    99  X  X  X 99
23.0N 101.0W      26  3  X  X 29   MMTX 210N 974W    99  X  X  X 99
                  99  X  X  X 99   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  2  X  X  2
MMSO 238N 982W    29  X  X  X 29

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1PM MON TO  1AM TUE
C FROM  1AM TUE TO  1PM TUE
D FROM  1PM TUE TO  1PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER PASCH


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