[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sun Jul 24 09:32:29 CDT 2005


WTNT71 KNHC 241432
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SUN JUL 24 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF FRANKLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  71.4 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT WED JUL 27 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

31.5N  68.5W      35  X  1  X 36   BERMUDA            X  7  5  4 16
32.0N  67.4W      19  4  1  1 25   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  2  2
32.5N  66.4W       5 10  3  2 20

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM MON TO  8PM MON
C FROM  8PM MON TO  8AM TUE
D FROM  8AM TUE TO  8AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER PASCH


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