[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT72 KNHC 240552
SPFAT2
TROPICAL STORM GERT SPECIAL PROBABILITIES NUMBER  3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1 AM CDT SUN JUL 24 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 1 AM CDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF GERT WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  94.7 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7PM CDT TUE JUL 26 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

21.0N  97.0W      42  1  X  X 43   MMTX 210N 974W    38  X  X  X 38
22.0N  98.5W      12 15  1  X 28   MMVR 192N 961W    40  X  X  X 40
23.0N 100.0W       X 18  4  X 22   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  1  5  X  6
MMSO 238N 982W     X 15  4  X 19   GULF 25N 96W       X  2  4  X  6
MMTM 222N 979W    15 12  1  X 28

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7PM SUN TO  7AM MON
C FROM  7AM MON TO  7PM MON
D FROM  7PM MON TO  7PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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