[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT32 KNHC 240552
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GERT SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1 AM CDT SUN JUL 24 2005

...SEVENTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE SEASON FORMS IN THE BAY OF
CAMPECHE...

REPORTS FROM A NOAA RESEARCH AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT TROPICAL
DEPRESSION SEVEN HAS STRENGTHENED AND BECOME A TROPICAL STORM.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PALMA SOLA TO LA
CRUZ. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1 AM CDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GERT WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 94.7 WEST OR ABOUT 105
MILES... 170 KM... EAST-NORTHEAST OF VERACRUZ MEXICO AND ABOUT 195
MILES... 310 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TUXPAN MEXICO.

GERT IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH
...17 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GERT IS
EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST SUNDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  85 MILES
...140 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.

TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP
TO 8 INCHES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN...ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS EASTERN
MEXICO.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS PREVIOUSLY AFFECTED BY HURRICANE
EMILY.

REPEATING THE 1 AM CDT POSITION...19.8 N... 94.7 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT  4 AM CDT.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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