[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KBRO 191715
HLSBRO
TXZ248>257-191930-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1215 PM CDT TUE JUL 19 2005

...HURRICANE EMILY BECOMING STRONGER OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF
MEXICO...
...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER TEXAS COAST
FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO BROWNSVILLE...
...A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE TEXAS GULF COAST FROM
BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD...
...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE TEXAS GULF
COAST FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD...
...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ZAPATA...
BROOKS...JIM HOGG...HIDALGO AND STARR COUNTIES IN DEEP SOUTH
TEXAS...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS ACROSS
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND THE LOWER TEXAS COASTLINE WHICH INCLUDES THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES: ZAPATA...STARR...JIM HOGG...BROOKS...HIDALGO...
CAMERON...WILLACY AND KENEDY.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
AT NOON CDT...EMERGENCY OFFICIALS DETERMINED RECREATIONAL
VEHICLES SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED EVACUATION FROM CAMERON COUNTY BEACH
AREAS. NO OTHER EVACUATION RECOMMENDATIONS HAVE BEEN MADE FOR
CAMERON...WILLACY...AND KENEDY COUNTIES. THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND...PORT ISABEL...AND PORT MANSFIELD. COUNTY AND
CITY OFFICIALS WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EMILY.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT NOON CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.8 WEST OR ABOUT 185 MILES...
EAST OF LA PESCA MEXICO AND ABOUT 210 MILES...SOUTHEAST OF
BROWNSVILLE TEXAS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 970 MILLIBARS.

EMILY IS MOVING WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH AND A GRADUAL TURN
TOWARD THE WEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. GIVEN THIS
TRACK...EMILY IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL AROUND 2 AM CDT WEDNESDAY
MORNING APPROXIMATELY 95 MILES SOUTH OF BROWNSVILLE...OR ABOUT 50
MILES NORTH OF LA PESCA MEXICO.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS SHOULD FOLLOW THE ADVICE OF LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AND
OTHER GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
TIDES ARE PREDICTED TO RUN 1.7 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER
AT 616 AM CDT WEDNESDAY MORNING. GIVEN THE CURRENT TRACK OF
EMILY...STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO BE 5 TO 7 FEET ALONG THE LOWER
TEXAS COAST. THE COMBINATION OF HIGH TIDE...STORM SURGE...AND VERY
ROUGH SURF ON WEDNESDAY MORNING WILL PRODUCE COASTAL FLOODING ALONG
SOUTH AND EAST FACING SHORES OF SOUTH PADRE ISLAND.

...WIND IMPACTS...
AT NOON CDT...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WITH HURRICANE EMILY ARE
NEAR 95 MPH. EMILY IS EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN TO A CATEGORY 3
HURRICANE LATER TODAY OR EARLY TONIGHT AS IT MOVES WEST NORTHWEST
ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO. THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE
ALONG THE LOWER TEXAS COAST TODAY AND TONIGHT. SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE LOWER TEXAS COASTAL AREAS
WITH WIND GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE POSSIBLE SOUTH OF PORT MANSFIELD
THIS EVENING AND EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

...OTHER IMPACTS...
THE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS HIGH TODAY AS EMILY APPROACHES. WAVES
WILL INCREASE TO 12 TO 15 FEET OFFSHORE TODAY WITH WAVES UP TO 18
FEET POSSIBLE TONIGHT. WAVES WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE ON WEDNESDAY.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER DEEP SOUTH TEXAS
WITH HURRICANE EMILY. ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 12 TO 15 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE. ALL RESIDENTS SHOULD BE AWARE OF THE DANGER POSED BY
FLOODING RAINS. NEVER DRIVE INTO WATER OF UNKNOWN DEPTH. REMEMBER...
TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 230 PM
CDT.

$$

VANSPEYBROECK

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