[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Jul 19 09:36:20 CDT 2005


WTNT75 KNHC 191434
SPFAT5
HURRICANE EMILY PROBABILITIES NUMBER  35
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT TUE JUL 19 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  94.5 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7AM CDT FRI JUL 22 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

24.6N  98.0W      41  X  X  X 41   MMTX 210N 974W     X  X  2  X  2
24.6N 100.0W      21  7  1  X 29   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   1  3  2  X  6
24.6N 102.0W       4 16  3  X 23   BROWNSVILLE TX    30  1  X  X 31
MMSO 238N 982W    29  X  1  X 30   GULF 27N 96W       8  1  1  X 10
MMTM 222N 979W     3  4  2  X  9   GULF 25N 96W      67  X  X  X 67

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7AM WED TO  7PM WED
C FROM  7PM WED TO  7AM THU
D FROM  7AM THU TO  7AM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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