[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT75 KNHC 181440
SPFAT5
HURRICANE EMILY PROBABILITIES NUMBER  31
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT MON JUL 18 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  89.6 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7AM CDT THU JUL 21 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

23.9N  94.4W      44  X  X  X 44   FREEPORT TX        X  X  2  2  4
24.5N  96.8W       6 23  1  X 30   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  1  4  3  8
25.0N  99.2W       X 17  6  1 24   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   X  3  8  2 13
MMSO 238N 982W     1 21  2  X 24   BROWNSVILLE TX     X 20  3  1 24
MMTM 222N 979W     2  9  2  1 14   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  1  1  2
MMTX 210N 974W     1  1  2  2  6   GULF 28N 95W       X  1  3  2  6
MMMD 210N 897W    99  X  X  X 99   GULF 27N 96W       X  9  5  X 14
GALVESTON TX       X  X  1  1  2   GULF 25N 96W       8 21  X  X 29

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7AM TUE TO  7PM TUE
C FROM  7PM TUE TO  7AM WED
D FROM  7AM WED TO  7AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER AVILA


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