[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT75 KNHC 172033
SPFAT5
HURRICANE EMILY PROBABILITIES NUMBER  28
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SUN JUL 17 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  85.2 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT WED JUL 20 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

21.8N  90.4W      46  1  X  X 47   GALVESTON TX       X  X  1  4  5
23.0N  93.2W       1 30  X  X 31   FREEPORT TX        X  X  1  6  7
23.9N  95.7W       X 14  9  1 24   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  X  3  7 10
MMCZ 205N 869W    85  X  X  X 85   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   X  X  5  8 13
MMSO 238N 982W     X  2 13  4 19   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  1 13  5 19
MMTM 222N 979W     X  2 10  4 16   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  1  1  2
MMTX 210N 974W     X  1  6  5 12   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  2  4  6
MMVR 192N 961W     X  X  1  3  4   GULF 28N 95W       X  X  4  6 10
MMMD 210N 897W    55  X  X  X 55   GULF 27N 96W       X  X 10  5 15
PORT ARTHUR TX     X  X  X  3  3   GULF 25N 96W       X  6 14  2 22

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
C FROM  2AM TUE TO  2PM TUE
D FROM  2PM TUE TO  2PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BEVEN


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