[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT75 KNHC 170247
SPFAT5
HURRICANE EMILY PROBABILITIES NUMBER  25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SAT JUL 16 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  80.3 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT TUE JUL 19 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

19.8N  85.8W      48  1  X  X 49   MMFR 185N 926W     X  1  4  3  8
21.0N  89.0W       1 34  1  X 36   MMMD 210N 897W     X 31  2  X 33
22.2N  92.0W       X  7 21  1 29   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  X  X  3  3
MKJS 185N 779W     2  X  X  X  2   GALVESTON TX       X  X  X  7  7
MWCG 193N 814W    64  X  X  X 64   FREEPORT TX        X  X  X  9  9
MUSN 216N 826W     8  X  X  X  8   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  X  X 12 12
MUAN 219N 850W    18  8  X  X 26   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   X  X  X 14 14
MMCZ 205N 869W    32 11  X  X 43   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  X  X 18 18
MZBZ 175N 883W     1  2  1  X  4   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  1  3  4
MMSO 238N 982W     X  X  X 16 16   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  1  8  9
MMTM 222N 979W     X  X  X 14 14   GULF 28N 95W       X  X  X 12 12
MMTX 210N 974W     X  X  1 10 11   GULF 27N 96W       X  X  1 15 16
MMVR 192N 961W     X  X  1  6  7   GULF 25N 96W       X  X  3 18 21

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM SUN TO  8AM MON
C FROM  8AM MON TO  8PM MON
D FROM  8PM MON TO  8PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER KNABB


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