[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 081435
SPFAT4
HURRICANE DENNIS PROBABILITIES NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT FRI JUL 08 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  79.9 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT MON JUL 11 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

24.5N  83.6W      49  X  X  X 49   VENICE FL          8 17  X  X 25
26.5N  85.0W       6 26  X  X 32   TAMPA FL           1 17  2  X 20
28.4N  86.2W       X 13 10  1 24   CEDAR KEY FL       X  9  8  1 18
MUCM 214N 779W    21  X  X  X 21   ST MARKS FL        X  2 14  3 19
MUCF 221N 805W    99  X  X  X 99   APALACHICOLA FL    X  4 15  2 21
MUSN 216N 826W    34  X  X  X 34   PANAMA CITY FL     X  2 16  3 21
MUHA 230N 824W    68  X  X  X 68   PENSACOLA FL       X  X 13  7 20
MUAN 219N 850W     3  X  X  X  3   MOBILE AL          X  X  9  9 18
MARATHON FL       43  X  X  X 43   GULFPORT MS        X  X  7 10 17
MIAMI FL           9  2  1  X 12   BURAS LA           X  X  8  7 15
W PALM BEACH FL    2  4  X  1  7   NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  4 10 14
FT PIERCE FL       1  4  2  X  7   NEW IBERIA LA      X  X  1  8  9
COCOA BEACH FL     X  4  3  1  8   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  X  X  4  4
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  3  5  2 10   GALVESTON TX       X  X  X  2  2
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  6  4 10   GULF 29N 85W       X 11 11  1 23
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  1  6  7   GULF 29N 87W       X  4 16  1 21
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  3  3   GULF 28N 89W       X  1 11  3 15
KEY WEST FL       55  X  X  X 55   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  3  5  8
MARCO ISLAND FL   25  3  X  1 29   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  X  3  3
FT MYERS FL       15  9  X  1 25

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM SAT TO  8PM SAT
C FROM  8PM SAT TO  8AM SUN
D FROM  8AM SUN TO  8AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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