[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 050854
SPFAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT TUE JUL 05 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 12.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  64.4 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT FRI JUL  8 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

14.5N  69.5W      53  1  X  X 54   MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  X 11 11
16.5N  72.5W       X 35  X  X 35   MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  X  3  3
18.0N  75.0W       X  6 19  1 26   MDPP 198N 707W     X  6  5  1 12
SKPG 125N 717W     3  4  X  X  7   MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  4  2  6
TNCC 122N 690W    15  X  X  X 15   MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  3  5  8
SVMG 110N 640W     4  X  X  X  4   MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  X  5  5
MDSD 185N 697W     1 13  1  X 15   MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X 10 10
MDCB 176N 714W     X 32  X  X 32   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X 10 10
MTPP 186N 724W     X 19  7  X 26   MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  6  6
MTCA 183N 738W     X 14 13  1 28   MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X  2  2
MKJP 179N 768W     X  X 17  4 21   MARATHON FL        X  X  X  8  8
MKJS 185N 779W     X  X 10 10 20   MIAMI FL           X  X  X  5  5
MWCG 193N 814W     X  X  X 12 12   W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  X  2  2
MUGM 200N 751W     X  X 18  4 22   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  8  8
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  2 17 19   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X  4  4
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  X 16 16   FT MYERS FL        X  X  X  2  2
MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  X 11 11

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM WED TO  2PM WED
C FROM  2PM WED TO  2AM THU
D FROM  2AM THU TO  2AM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER AVILA


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