[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT33 KNHC 041446
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT MON JUL 04 2005

...DEPRESSION HAS BECOME POORLY ORGANIZED OVER THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA...

INTERESTS IN THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND THE SOUTHERN AND WESTERN GULF
OF MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION THREE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE
89.2 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES... 85 KM... SOUTHEAST OF PROGRESO
MEXICO.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH
...19 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY AND
TONIGHT.  ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL BE MOVING INTO THE SOUTHERN
GULF OF MEXICO LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON
TUESDAY.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER
THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA AND EXTREME WESTERN
CUBA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES
POSSIBLE.

REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION...20.7 N... 89.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
4 PM CDT.

FORECASTER PASCH

$$


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