[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT73 KNHC 041442
SPFAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT MON JUL 04 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  89.2 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7AM CDT THU JUL  7 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

23.6N  91.6W      41  X  X  X 41   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  X 10  7 17
25.7N  93.0W       5 24  1  X 30   GALVESTON TX       X  2 12  4 18
27.5N  93.5W       X 15  7  1 23   FREEPORT TX        X  3 12  4 19
MMCZ 205N 869W     2  X  X  X  2   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  3 11  3 17
MMSO 238N 982W     X  X  X  2  2   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   X  2  8  4 14
MMMD 210N 897W    99  X  X  X 99   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  3  4  3 10
APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  X  2  2   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  X  2  2
PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  X  2  2   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  X  4  4
PENSACOLA FL       X  X  X  4  4   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  4  5  9
MOBILE AL          X  X  X  6  6   GULF 28N 91W       X  3  9  4 16
GULFPORT MS        X  X  1  7  8   GULF 28N 93W       X  9  9  3 21
BURAS LA           X  X  2  8 10   GULF 28N 95W       X  9 10  2 21
NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  2  9 11   GULF 27N 96W       X 11  6  2 19
NEW IBERIA LA      X  X  6  8 14   GULF 25N 96W       X 11  2  1 14

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7AM TUE TO  7PM TUE
C FROM  7PM TUE TO  7AM WED
D FROM  7AM WED TO  7AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER PASCH


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