[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 031459
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT SUN JUL 3 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA
HAS CONTINUED TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED THIS MORNING...AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE HAS FORMED
ABOUT 150 MILES EAST OF CHETUMAL MEXICO.  THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 10 MPH AND CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE
FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT.  A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD
FORM LATER TODAY BEFORE THE SYSTEM MOVES OVER THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA...AND AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON.  INTERESTS IN
AND NEAR THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...
AND THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO...SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.  LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WITH SQUALLS
PRODUCING STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH SOME OF THE
STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS.

A WELL-DEFINED TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES EAST OF
THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.  THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20
MPH...AND IS EXPECTED TO BRING LOCALLY HEAVY SHOWERS OVER PORTIONS
OF THE SOUTHERN LESSER ANTILLES DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY.

FORECASTER PASCH

$$
This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net