[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT72 KNHC 301440
SPFAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION KATRINA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  31
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT TUE AUG 30 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 36.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  87.5 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7AM CDT FRI SEP  2 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

42.0N  80.5W      29  3  X  X 32   PORTLAND ME        X  4  6  X 10
45.5N  74.5W       X 16  2  X 18   BAR HARBOR ME      X  1  6  1  8
50.0N  71.0W       X  1 12  1 14   EASTPORT ME        X  X  5  1  6
OCEAN CITY MD      X  2  X  X  2   ST JOHN NB         X  X  3  3  6
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  4  X  X  4   MONCTON NB         X  X  2  3  5
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  6  1  X  7   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  2  2  4
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  4  2  X  6   HALIFAX NS         X  X  1  2  3
PROVIDENCE RI      X  4  3  X  7   SYDNEY NS          X  X  X  2  2
NANTUCKET MA       X  2  2  X  4   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  X  2  2
HYANNIS MA         X  2  3  X  5   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  X  3  3
BOSTON MA          X  4  4  X  8   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  X  2  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7AM WED TO  7PM WED
C FROM  7PM WED TO  7AM THU
D FROM  7AM THU TO  7AM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER AVILA


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