[Tropical] Tropical Cyclone Discussion
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Aug 30 09:40:40 CDT 2005
WTNT42 KNHC 301439
TCDAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION KATRINA DISCUSSION NUMBER 31
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT TUE AUG 30 2005
KATRINA HAS CONTINUED TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INLAND AND IT IS NOW A
30-KNOT TROPICAL DEPRESSION. DEEP CONVECTION HAS DIMINISHED AND
THERE ONLY A FEW REMAINING CLUSTERS...RAPIDLY MOVING NORTHEASTWARD
AHEAD OF THE LOW LEVEL CENTER. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME
EXTRATROPICAL DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AS IT INTERACTS WITH A
LARGE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. KATRINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST
ABOUT 18 KNOTS AND IT SHOULD CONTINUE ON THIS TRACK WITH AN
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. KATRINA IS PRIMARILY NOW A HEAVY RAIN
EVENT. HOWEVER...THE THREAT OF STRONG INLAND WIND GUSTS WILL REMAIN
FOR A LITTLE WHILE LONGER AND OF PARTICULAR CONCERN IS THE
POTENTIAL LOSS OF LIFE DUE TO FALLING TREES. INLAND FLOODING AND
TORNADOES WILL ALSO CONTINUE TO BE A HAZARD.
FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN PUBLIC ADVISORIES
ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...UNDER AWIPS
HEADER TCPAT2 AND WMO HEADER WTNT32 KWNH...BEGINNING AT 4 PM CDT.
FORECASTER AVILA
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 30/1500Z 36.3N 87.5W 30 KT
12HR VT 31/0000Z 38.5N 85.0W 30 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
24HR VT 31/1200Z 42.0N 80.5W 30 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
36HR VT 01/0000Z 45.5N 74.5W 30 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
48HR VT 01/1200Z 50.0N 71.0W 30 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
72HR VT 02/1200Z 55.5N 67.0W 30 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
96HR VT 03/1200Z...DISSIPATED
$$
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