[Tropical] Tropical Cyclone Discussion

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Aug 30 09:40:40 CDT 2005


WTNT42 KNHC 301439
TCDAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION KATRINA DISCUSSION NUMBER  31
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT TUE AUG 30 2005

KATRINA HAS CONTINUED TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INLAND AND IT IS NOW A
30-KNOT TROPICAL DEPRESSION. DEEP CONVECTION HAS DIMINISHED AND
THERE ONLY A FEW REMAINING CLUSTERS...RAPIDLY MOVING NORTHEASTWARD
AHEAD OF THE LOW LEVEL CENTER. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME
EXTRATROPICAL DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AS IT INTERACTS WITH A
LARGE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. KATRINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST
ABOUT 18 KNOTS AND IT SHOULD CONTINUE ON THIS TRACK WITH AN
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. KATRINA IS PRIMARILY NOW A HEAVY RAIN
EVENT. HOWEVER...THE THREAT OF STRONG INLAND WIND GUSTS WILL REMAIN
FOR A LITTLE WHILE LONGER AND OF PARTICULAR CONCERN IS THE
POTENTIAL LOSS OF LIFE DUE TO FALLING TREES.  INLAND FLOODING AND
TORNADOES WILL ALSO CONTINUE TO BE A HAZARD.

FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN PUBLIC ADVISORIES
ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...UNDER AWIPS
HEADER TCPAT2 AND WMO HEADER WTNT32 KWNH...BEGINNING AT 4 PM CDT.

FORECASTER AVILA


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL      30/1500Z 36.3N  87.5W    30 KT
 12HR VT     31/0000Z 38.5N  85.0W    30 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
 24HR VT     31/1200Z 42.0N  80.5W    30 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 36HR VT     01/0000Z 45.5N  74.5W    30 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 48HR VT     01/1200Z 50.0N  71.0W    30 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 72HR VT     02/1200Z 55.5N  67.0W    30 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 96HR VT     03/1200Z...DISSIPATED


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