[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT72 KNHC 300832
SPFAT2
TROPICAL STORM KATRINA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT TUE AUG 30 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 34.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  88.4 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1AM CDT FRI SEP  2 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

40.3N  82.8W      33  2  X  X 35   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  7  2  9
43.7N  77.0W       X 17  2  X 19   EASTPORT ME        X  X  5  3  8
47.5N  71.4W       X  X 11  2 13   ST JOHN NB         X  X  4  4  8
OCEAN CITY MD      X  3  X  X  3   MONCTON NB         X  X  2  6  8
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  5  1  X  6   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  3  3  6
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  6  2  1  9   HALIFAX NS         X  X  1  4  5
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  3  4  X  7   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  X  2  2
PROVIDENCE RI      X  2  5  1  8   SYDNEY NS          X  X  X  4  4
NANTUCKET MA       X  1  4  1  6   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  X  4  4
HYANNIS MA         X  1  5  1  7   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  X  4  4
BOSTON MA          X  2  6  1  9   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  X  3  3
PORTLAND ME        X  1  8  1 10   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  X  2  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1AM WED TO  1PM WED
C FROM  1PM WED TO  1AM THU
D FROM  1AM THU TO  1AM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BEVEN


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