[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT73 KNHC 282022
SPFAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SUN AUG 28 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  46.8 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST WED AUG 31 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

17.0N  50.5W      53  X  X  X 53   TAPA 171N 618W     X  X  X  3  3
18.0N  53.0W       1 40  X  X 41   TKPK 173N 627W     X  X  X  2  2
19.0N  55.0W       X 10 21  X 31   TNCM 181N 631W     X  X  X  2  2
TFFR 163N 615W     X  X  X  3  3

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
C FROM  2AM TUE TO  2PM TUE
D FROM  2PM TUE TO  2PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER AVILA


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