[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Aug 22 21:38:48 CDT 2005


WTNT71 KNHC 230238
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM JOSE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT MON AUG 22 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF JOSE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  96.2 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7PM CDT THU AUG 25 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

20.1N  98.3W      52  X  X  X 52   MMTM 222N 979W    14  X  X  X 14
                  99  X  X  X 99   MMTX 210N 974W    50  X  X  X 50
                  99  X  X  X 99   MMVR 192N 961W    99  X  X  X 99

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7PM TUE TO  7AM WED
C FROM  7AM WED TO  7PM WED
D FROM  7PM WED TO  7PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER KNABB


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